| Omni Rankings™ | 2023 College football | through 1/8/24 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Fresno State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Mountain West page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Fresno State schedule | Rating: 81.03 (D-I #73) Projected season record: 9 - 4 overall, 4 - 4 Mountain West | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Fresno State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Purdue | Road | Win | 39 - 35 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 87.06 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Eastern Washington | Home | Win | 34 - 31 | 2OT | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 80.72 | ||||||||||
| 3 | Arizona State | Road | Win | 29 - 0 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 84.79 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Kent State | Home | Win | 53 - 10 | 4 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W4 | 87.53 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Nevada | Home | Win | 27 - 9 | 5 - 0 | 1 - 0 | W5 | 5-0 | 87.03 | Fresno State by 21 | 90% | ||||||||
| 6 | Wyoming | Road | Loss | 19 - 24 | 5 - 1 | 1 - 1 | L1 | 4-1 | 86.04 | Fresno State by 2 | 56% | ||||||||
| 7 | Utah State | Road | Win | 37 - 32 | 6 - 1 | 2 - 1 | W1 | 4-1 | 85.88 | Fresno State by 6 | 65% | ||||||||
| 8 | UNLV | Home | Win | 31 - 24 | 7 - 1 | 3 - 1 | W2 | 4-1 | 85.94 | Fresno State by 6 | 66% | ||||||||
| 9 | Boise State | Home | Win | 37 - 30 | 8 - 1 | 4 - 1 | W3 | 4-1 | 86.45 | Fresno State by 3 | 56% | ||||||||
| 10 | San Jose State | Road | Loss | 18 - 42 | 8 - 2 | 4 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 83.54 | Fresno State by 1 | 54% | ||||||||
| 11 | New Mexico | Home | Loss | 17 - 25 | 8 - 3 | 4 - 3 | L2 | 3-2 | 80.22 | Fresno State by 22 | 91% | ||||||||
| 12 | San Diego State | Road | Loss | 18 - 33 | 8 - 4 | 4 - 4 | L3 | 2-3 | 77.96 | Fresno State by 6 | 64% | ||||||||
| 13 | New Mexico State | Neutral | Win | 37 - 10 | 9 - 4 | 4 - 4 | W1 | 2-3 | 81.03 | New Mexico State by 2 | 45% | ||||||||
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