| Omni Rankings™ | 2023 College football | through 1/8/24 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State | |||||||||||||||||||
| UAC page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State schedule | Rating: 71.14 (D-I #124) Projected season record: 7 - 3 overall, 4 - 2 UAC | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Tarleton State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | McNeese State | Road | Win | 52 - 34 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 63.62 | |||||||||||
| 2 | North Alabama | Home | Win | 52 - 31 | 2 - 0 | 1 - 0 | W2 | 67.47 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Texas Tech | Road | Loss | 3 - 41 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | L1 | 66.05 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Southeastern Louisiana | Road | Win | 14 - 13 | 3 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W1 | 64.79 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Southern Utah | Home | Loss | 26 - 27 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 1 | L1 | 3-2 | 64.65 | Southern Utah by 0 | 50% | ||||||||
| 6 | Eastern Kentucky | Road | Loss | 35 - 41 | OT | 3 - 3 | 1 - 2 | L2 | 2-3 | 65.41 | Eastern Kentucky by 6 | 36% | |||||||
| 7 | Morehead State | Home | Win | 42 - 0 | 4 - 3 | 1 - 2 | W1 | 2-3 | 66.64 | Tarleton State by 27 | 94% | ||||||||
| 8 | Central Arkansas | Road | Win | 25 - 23 | 5 - 3 | 2 - 2 | W2 | 3-2 | 68.15 | Central Arkansas by 10 | 26% | ||||||||
| 9 | Stephen F. Austin | Home | Win | 59 - 17 | 6 - 3 | 3 - 2 | W3 | 3-2 | 71.96 | Tarleton State by 3 | 58% | ||||||||
| 10 | Abilene Christian | Road | Win | 31 - 30 | 7 - 3 | 4 - 2 | W4 | 4-1 | 71.14 | Tarleton State by 8 | 70% | ||||||||
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