| Omni Rankings™ | 2023 College football | through 1/8/24 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Texas State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Sun Belt page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Texas State schedule | Rating: 80.08 (D-I #76) Projected season record: 8 - 5 overall, 4 - 4 Sun Belt | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Texas State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Baylor | Road | Win | 42 - 31 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 81.82 | |||||||||||
| 2 | UTSA | Road | Loss | 13 - 20 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 80.15 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Jackson State | Home | Win | 77 - 34 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 84.55 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Nevada | Home | Win | 35 - 24 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 83.65 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Southern Miss | Road | Win | 50 - 36 | 4 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W3 | 4-1 | 83.75 | Texas State by 13 | 79% | ||||||||
| 6 | Louisiana-Lafayette | Road | Loss | 30 - 34 | 4 - 2 | 1 - 1 | L1 | 3-2 | 82.11 | Texas State by 8 | 69% | ||||||||
| 7 | Louisiana-Monroe | Home | Win | 21 - 20 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 | W1 | 4-1 | 79.96 | Texas State by 18 | 86% | ||||||||
| 8 | Troy | Home | Loss | 13 - 31 | 5 - 3 | 2 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 78.53 | Troy by 6 | 35% | ||||||||
| 9 | Georgia Southern | Home | Win | 45 - 24 | 6 - 3 | 3 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 80.89 | Texas State by 0 | 51% | ||||||||
| 10 | Coastal Carolina | Road | Loss | 23 - 31 | 6 - 4 | 3 - 3 | L1 | 2-3 | 80.38 | Coastal Carolina by 4 | 41% | ||||||||
| 11 | Arkansas State | Road | Loss | 31 - 77 | 6 - 5 | 3 - 4 | L2 | 2-3 | 75.98 | Texas State by 5 | 63% | ||||||||
| 12 | South Alabama | Home | Win | 52 - 44 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 4 | W1 | 2-3 | 77.44 | South Alabama by 5 | 37% | ||||||||
| 13 | Rice | Neutral | Win | 45 - 21 | 8 - 5 | 4 - 4 | W2 | 3-2 | 80.08 | Rice by 1 | 48% | ||||||||
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