Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/4/16 games
Colonial 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 3.26 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Hofstra 77.00 83 77.08 72.76 71.26 132 23 10 14 4 L2 8-2 10 2 9 5 4 3 0 1 9 8 14 1 vs William & Mary 90.07 at Siena 68.10
2 William & Mary 76.91 85 83.44 75.80 72.42 108 18 11 11 7 L1 5-5 10 3 7 7 1 1 0 1 10 6 8 4 at NC State 90.58 at Hofstra 63.83
3 UNC Wilmington 76.57 89 81.86 76.46 71.20 135 23 8 14 4 L1 7-3 10 2 8 5 5 1 0 1 10 4 13 3 at ETSU 87.80 at Towson 66.57
4 James Madison 75.39 102 76.96 70.14 69.79 171 20 11 11 7 L1 5-5 11 6 9 3 0 2 0 1 6 6 14 4 at Drexel 83.21 vs UT Martin 61.10
5 Northeastern 72.22 134 76.39 70.34 72.14 112 17 15 9 9 L1 6-4 6 7 8 7 3 1 1 1 6 9 10 5 vs Delaware 83.82 vs UNC Wilmington 64.03
6 College of Charleston 72.12 136 74.20 68.00 70.22 164 16 14 8 10 L1 4-6 9 5 6 8 1 1 0 1 4 9 12 4 vs Hofstra 78.59 vs Coastal Carolina 64.35
7 Towson 70.39 156 71.95 62.42 69.17 187 18 13 11 7 L3 4-6 10 3 7 6 1 4 0 0 5 11 13 2 vs William & Mary 80.75 vs Hofstra 53.01
8 Elon 69.23 171 69.87 64.30 70.33 160 14 16 7 11 L1 4-6 6 8 8 7 0 1 0 2 4 10 10 4 vs Delaware 78.28 vs Kennesaw State 58.40
9 Drexel 64.31 248 66.78 61.77 71.52 126 6 24 3 15 L1 3-7 3 10 2 11 1 3 0 1 2 16 4 7 at William & Mary 73.86 vs UNC Asheville 55.60
10 Delaware 60.81 287 63.94 60.13 70.84 147 7 23 2 16 L4 2-8 5 7 2 15 0 1 0 1 1 16 6 6 vs Bradley 70.51 at Elon 53.10
CAA top performances CAA surprise performances CAA upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Hofstra vs William & Mary W 91 - 63 90.07 1 Hofstra at Towson W 90 - 58 17.22 1 Northeastern at Miami (FL) W 78 - 77 23.24
2 Hofstra at Towson W 90 - 58 89.98 2 Hofstra vs William & Mary W 91 - 63 15.62 2 Drexel at William & Mary W 74 - 69 18.77
3 UNC Wilmington at ETSU W 94 - 73 87.80 3 Towson vs George Mason W 75 - 54 13.29 3 Towson at William & Mary W 76 - 69 14.00
4 UNC Wilmington at Northeastern W 90 - 73 85.19 4 Towson vs UNC Wilmington W 76 - 60 12.64 4 Elon at UNC Asheville W 86 - 81 10.98
5 William & Mary vs UNC Wilmington W 87 - 69 85.19 5 Northeastern at Miami (FL) W 78 - 77 12.15 5 Elon at James Madison W 79 - 73 10.35
6 UNC Wilmington vs Kansas City W 76 - 56 84.85 6 Drexel at William & Mary W 74 - 69 12.02 6 Northeastern at UNC Wilmington W 65 - 63 9.10
7 William & Mary vs Northeastern W 78 - 60 84.75 7 Towson vs William & Mary W 99 - 82 11.63 7 Northeastern at James Madison W 95 - 94 3OT 8.99
8 William & Mary vs Hampton W 86 - 67 84.35 8 UNC Wilmington at ETSU W 94 - 73 11.32 8 Drexel at La Salle W 66 - 53 8.54
9 William & Mary vs James Madison W 79 - 64 84.17 9 Drexel at La Salle W 66 - 53 11.12 9 Elon at Northeastern W 71 - 67 8.54
10 Northeastern vs Delaware W 88 - 56 83.82 10 Towson at William & Mary W 76 - 69 10.69 10 Elon at College of Charleston W 65 - 64 8.50
CAA standings CAA tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Hofstra
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Hofstra 14 4 23 10 8 Elon @ Baltimore, MD Hofstra
2 UNC Wilmington 14 4 23 8      
3 William & Mary 11 7 18 11 @ Baltimore, MD Drexel  
4 James Madison 11 7 20 11    
5 Towson 11 7 18 13 9 Drexel @ Baltimore, MD Hofstra
6 Northeastern 9 9 17 15    
7 College of Charleston 8 10 16 14 4 James Madison    
8 Elon 7 11 14 16      
9 Drexel 3 15 6 24 @ Baltimore, MD William & Mary  
10 Delaware 2 16 7 23    
5 William & Mary  
 
CAA tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ Baltimore, MD UNC Wilmington
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket     2016 CAA
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 UNC Wilmington   Men's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Hofstra 76.01% 38.42% 22.23% 7 College of Charleston @ Baltimore, MD UNC Wilmington  
2 UNC Wilmington 68.44% 45.78% 24.14%      
3 Towson 52.15% 20.33% 7.47% @ Baltimore, MD College of Charleston    
4 James Madison 51.36% 28.76% 16.67%      
5 William & Mary 48.64% 26.60% 15.08% 10 Delaware @ Baltimore, MD UNC Wilmington
6 Northeastern 47.85% 17.72% 6.16%  
7 College of Charleston 30.13% 15.93% 6.12% 3 Towson  
8 Elon 19.30% 5.50% 1.95%    
9 Drexel 4.69% 0.72% 0.15% @ Baltimore, MD Northeastern
10 Delaware 1.43% 0.24% 0.03%  
6 Northeastern © Omni Rankings