Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/4/16 games
Missouri Valley 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 3.26 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Wichita State 88.89 11 89.68 75.55 73.51 90 25 9 16 2 L1 8-2 13 1 9 3 3 5 3 4 9 5 13 0 vs Vanderbilt 97.38 vs Iowa 68.60
2 Northern Iowa 79.48 61 82.69 73.90 73.72 87 22 13 11 7 L1 8-2 10 3 6 8 6 2 6 3 6 6 10 4 at North Dakota 92.46 vs Loyola (IL) 64.82
3 Evansville 77.23 81 80.30 73.24 69.63 176 24 9 12 6 L1 7-3 12 3 8 4 4 2 0 2 6 6 18 1 vs Indiana State 86.14 vs Illinois State 67.90
4 Illinois State 74.41 115 75.47 68.88 71.72 120 17 14 12 6 L2 6-4 12 3 5 8 0 3 1 5 4 6 12 3 vs Indiana State 85.17 vs UAB 62.90
5 Southern Illinois 71.09 147 74.91 66.81 68.30 211 22 10 11 7 L1 4-6 12 4 9 4 1 2 0 2 3 5 19 3 at North Texas 82.92 vs Loyola (IL) 61.49
6 Loyola (IL) 70.30 158 71.03 65.93 71.30 130 14 17 7 11 L1 5-5 8 7 4 7 2 3 1 4 4 8 9 5 at Southern Illinois 79.50 vs Bradley 59.23
7 Indiana State 67.60 195 74.22 67.07 71.64 122 14 17 8 10 L1 3-7 9 4 2 11 3 2 0 4 6 7 8 6 vs Evansville 83.58 vs Evansville 58.75
8 Missouri State 64.34 245 66.53 58.97 71.86 118 12 19 8 10 L1 4-6 7 7 4 8 1 4 0 4 3 10 9 5 vs Oral Roberts 75.94 vs Butler 55.56
9 Drake 62.71 263 68.15 62.47 70.42 156 6 24 2 16 L1 2-8 4 9 0 12 2 3 0 3 1 9 5 12 vs Pepperdine 78.00 at Northern Iowa 56.16
10 Bradley 58.20 321 64.08 55.69 72.01 114 4 27 3 15 L3 2-8 3 11 1 12 0 4 0 5 1 12 3 10 vs Indiana State 65.88 vs Missouri State 49.05
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Wichita State vs Vanderbilt W 70 - 50 97.38 1 Drake vs Pepperdine W 69 - 53 14.36 1 Missouri State at Oklahoma State W 64 - 63 19.59
2 Wichita State at Indiana State W 84 - 51 97.34 2 Loyola (IL) at Northern Iowa W 51 - 41 12.69 2 Loyola (IL) at Northern Iowa W 51 - 41 14.84
3 Wichita State vs Arizona W 65 - 55 94.59 3 Evansville vs UC Irvine W 75 - 56 12.65 3 Bradley at Loyola (IL) W 54 - 53 14.64
4 Wichita State vs New Mexico State W 71 - 41 94.58 4 Northern Iowa at North Dakota W 97 - 51 12.42 4 Northern Iowa at Wichita State W 53 - 50 14.20
5 Wichita State at Southern Illinois W 83 - 58 93.35 5 Illinois State vs Indiana State W 78 - 50 12.30 5 Bradley vs Indiana State W 63 - 58 13.88
6 Wichita State at Loyola (IL) W 76 - 54 92.78 6 Loyola (IL) at Southern Illinois W 73 - 59 12.25 6 Illinois State vs Wichita State W 58 - 53 13.41
7 Northern Iowa at North Dakota W 97 - 51 92.46 7 Southern Illinois at North Texas W 95 - 63 11.95 7 Missouri State vs Northern Iowa W 59 - 58 11.96
8 Wichita State at Northern Iowa W 74 - 55 91.75 8 Missouri State vs Oral Roberts W 85 - 66 11.75 8 Drake vs Pepperdine W 69 - 53 11.86
9 Wichita State at Evansville W 78 - 65 90.73 9 Wichita State at Southern Illinois W 83 - 58 11.15 9 Northern Iowa vs Wichita State W 57 - 52 OT 10.78
10 Wichita State vs Missouri State W 99 - 68 90.59 10 Southern Illinois at Murray State W 88 - 73 10.92 10 Loyola (IL) at Southern Illinois W 73 - 59 9.75
MVC standings MVC tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Wichita State
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Wichita State 16 2 25 9 8 Loyola (IL) @ St. Louis, MO Wichita State
2 Evansville 12 6 24 9      
3 Illinois State 12 6 17 14 @ St. Louis, MO Loyola (IL)  
4 Northern Iowa 11 7 22 13    
5 Southern Illinois 11 7 22 10 9 Bradley @ St. Louis, MO Northern Iowa
6 Indiana State 8 10 14 17    
7 Missouri State 8 10 12 19 4 Northern Iowa    
8 Loyola (IL) 7 11 14 17      
9 Bradley 3 15 4 27 @ St. Louis, MO Northern Iowa  
10 Drake 2 16 6 24    
5 Southern Illinois  
 
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ St. Louis, MO Northern Iowa
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket   2016 MVC
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Evansville   Men's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Wichita State 94.48% 81.11% 70.90% 7 Missouri State @ St. Louis, MO Evansville  
2 Evansville 84.98% 49.34% 10.31%        
3 Illinois State 74.04% 39.57% 7.83% @ St. Louis, MO Missouri State    
4 Northern Iowa 71.14% 14.28% 8.43%      
5 Southern Illinois 28.86% 2.94% 1.10% 10 Drake @ St. Louis, MO Evansville
6 Indiana State 25.96% 7.92% 0.70%  
7 Missouri State 8.91% 2.00% 0.11% 3 Illinois State  
8 Loyola (IL) 5.32% 1.66% 0.56%    
9 Bradley 0.20% 0.02% 0.00% @ St. Louis, MO Indiana State
10 Drake 6.11% 1.18% 0.06%  
6 Indiana State © Omni Rankings