Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/4/16 games
Ohio Valley 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 3.26 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Morehead State 72.48 131 77.23 70.56 68.88 197 21 14 11 5 L2 7-3 12 2 8 11 1 1 0 2 4 6 17 6 at Saint Louis 84.01 vs UT Martin 61.86
2 Belmont 71.29 144 75.07 71.17 68.54 204 19 12 12 4 L3 4-6 10 1 8 10 1 1 1 2 2 5 16 5 at Kennesaw State 79.11 vs Eastern Kentucky 63.28
3 Murray State 70.12 163 79.11 68.09 67.25 240 15 14 10 6 L1 6-4 8 4 4 8 3 2 0 0 4 8 11 6 vs Middle Tennessee 79.39 at Eastern Illinois 61.34
4 Tennessee State 69.07 173 69.76 63.49 64.85 318 18 11 11 5 L2 5-5 9 3 7 7 2 1 0 0 2 7 16 4 vs Tennessee Tech 83.28 vs Eastern Kentucky 56.69
5 Eastern Kentucky 67.76 193 73.84 64.97 66.57 268 14 16 6 10 L1 3-7 9 6 5 10 0 0 0 2 2 4 12 10 at Jacksonville State 77.49 at Marshall 53.98
6 UT Martin 66.94 205 66.94 56.21 66.17 281 18 15 10 6 L1 7-3 9 2 8 10 1 3 0 0 3 6 15 9 vs Morehead State 75.56 at Oklahoma State 51.66
7 Austin Peay 66.17 221 66.17 59.05 68.16 215 16 18 7 9 L1 7-3 5 7 7 9 4 2 0 3 1 4 15 11 vs Tennessee Tech 75.97 vs Murray State 56.28
8 Tennessee Tech 65.75 227 71.18 63.08 67.75 225 17 12 11 5 L2 5-5 12 1 5 9 0 2 0 1 1 7 16 4 vs Southeast Missouri 77.56 vs Austin Peay 54.90
9 Eastern Illinois 61.68 277 62.61 54.07 66.50 270 11 17 9 7 L1 6-4 7 5 4 9 0 3 0 1 1 4 10 12 at SIUE 70.02 vs Western Illinois 52.09
10 Jacksonville State 60.01 298 63.16 58.86 66.91 254 6 23 4 12 L8 1-9 3 10 2 12 1 1 0 0 1 8 5 15 vs UT Martin 72.69 vs Tennessee State 50.09
11 SIUE 58.39 316 63.21 58.25 67.63 228 6 22 3 13 L2 2-8 3 11 3 11 0 0 0 2 1 7 5 13 at Southern Illinois 68.64 vs UT Martin 50.87
12 Southeast Missouri 54.53 342 62.25 53.12 67.13 246 3 24 2 14 L8 2-8 1 10 2 14 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 17 at Missouri State 63.80 vs Bowling Green 45.00
OVC top performances OVC surprise performances OVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Morehead State at Saint Louis W 60 - 46 84.01 1 Tennessee State vs Tennessee Tech W 85 - 55 16.24 1 UT Martin at James Madison W 78 - 75 19.45
2 Tennessee State vs Tennessee Tech W 85 - 55 83.28 2 Austin Peay vs Tennessee Tech W 92 - 72 13.15 2 SIUE at Southern Illinois W 76 - 74 17.81
3 Morehead State vs Marshall W 85 - 61 80.15 3 Tennessee State at Jacksonville State W 78 - 53 12.97 3 UT Martin at Saint Louis W 82 - 76 16.09
4 Tennessee State at Jacksonville State W 78 - 53 79.69 4 Jacksonville State vs UT Martin W 82 - 60 12.79 4 Southeast Missouri at Missouri State W 78 - 74 13.85
5 Belmont at Kennesaw State W 80 - 55 79.11 5 Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee State W 97 - 81 11.83 5 Eastern Illinois vs Indiana State W 68 - 62 13.22
6 Murray State vs Pepperdine W 59 - 55 78.74 6 UT Martin at James Madison W 78 - 75 11.31 6 Jacksonville State at Morehead State W 78 - 74 13.21
7 Murray State vs UT Martin W 79 - 55 78.51 7 UT Martin at Saint Louis W 82 - 76 11.21 7 Southeast Missouri at SIUE W 58 - 51 11.54
8 Belmont vs Valparaiso W 85 - 81 78.43 8 Eastern Kentucky at Jacksonville State W 76 - 54 10.60 8 Eastern Kentucky at Belmont W 88 - 78 10.52
9 Belmont vs Eastern Illinois W 85 - 59 78.36 9 UT Martin vs Morehead State W 83 - 70 10.57 9 Austin Peay at Murray State W 76 - 73 10.01
10 Murray State vs Milwaukee W 66 - 63 78.34 10 Eastern Kentucky at Belmont W 88 - 78 10.53 10 UT Martin at Central Michigan W 76 - 73 9.61
OVC standings OVC tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
East Division Conference Overall 1 Belmont
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Belmont 12 4 19 12 4 Tennessee State @ Nashville, TN Austin Peay
2 Morehead State 11 5 21 14      
3 Tennessee State 11 5 18 11 5 Tennessee Tech @ Nashville, TN Austin Peay  
4 Tennessee Tech 11 5 17 12      
5 Eastern Kentucky 6 10 14 16 @ Nashville, TN Austin Peay @ Nashville, TN Austin Peay
6 Jacksonville State 4 12 6 23     2016 OVC
8 Austin Peay 2 UT Martin   Men's Basketball
West Division Conference Overall     Tournament Champion
Rank Team W L W L 3 Morehead State @ Nashville, TN UT Martin  
1 Murray State 10 6 15 14    
2 UT Martin 10 6 18 15 6 Murray State @ Nashville, TN Morehead State
3 Eastern Illinois 9 7 11 17    
4 Austin Peay 7 9 16 18 @ Nashville, TN Murray State
5 SIUE 3 13 6 22  
6 Southeast Missouri 2 14 3 24 7 Eastern Illinois
OVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket
Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team semifinals final tournament
1 Belmont 100.00% 60.16% 34.90%
2 UT Martin 100.00% 31.13% 9.93%
3 Morehead State 62.12% 44.91% 24.56%
4 Tennessee State 60.97% 26.41% 13.64%
5 Tennessee Tech 29.94% 11.35% 5.26%
6 Murray State 32.59% 21.80% 10.55%
7 Eastern Illinois 5.29% 2.16% 0.53%
8 Austin Peay 9.09% 2.07% 0.62% © Omni Rankings