Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/4/16 games
Patriot 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 3.26 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Bucknell 69.44 168 70.97 64.60 65.43 305 16 14 14 4 L2 5-5 7 7 9 7 0 0 0 0 0 7 16 7 vs Army 81.13 vs Fairfield 58.35
2 Lehigh 69.30 169 70.51 62.71 67.13 245 16 15 13 5 L1 9-1 9 6 7 9 0 0 0 4 0 2 16 9 at Bucknell 78.58 at Columbia 57.23
3 Navy 65.79 226 69.38 61.35 64.22 324 18 14 9 9 L1 3-7 5 9 11 4 2 1 0 2 1 1 17 11 vs Fort Wayne 80.29 at Bucknell 51.70
4 Boston University 64.97 236 69.19 64.22 65.98 289 18 15 11 7 L1 6-4 8 6 10 9 0 0 0 1 1 2 17 12 at UMass Lowell 75.97 vs Navy 55.25
5 Colgate 63.64 255 71.35 60.54 65.97 290 12 17 9 9 L3 3-7 7 4 5 13 0 0 0 2 0 2 12 13 at Bucknell 75.31 at Binghamton 52.71
6 Holy Cross 62.45 266 65.15 57.37 66.48 273 15 20 5 13 L1 5-5 8 6 6 13 1 1 0 2 1 2 14 16 at Army 75.43 vs Bucknell 49.15
7 Army 62.26 270 72.13 62.26 63.59 337 18 14 9 9 L2 6-4 7 8 11 6 0 0 0 1 1 1 17 12 vs Monmouth 76.74 vs Holy Cross 48.99
8 Loyola (MD) 59.96 299 62.63 56.50 65.82 295 9 21 8 10 L2 3-7 5 9 4 12 0 0 0 1 0 4 9 16 at Holy Cross 71.14 at Bucknell 48.71
9 American 59.56 304 63.24 53.17 66.31 278 12 19 9 9 L1 6-4 5 7 7 12 0 0 0 1 0 3 12 15 at New Hampshire 73.13 at Mount St. Mary's 46.82
10 Lafayette 58.78 311 67.81 57.30 65.99 288 6 24 3 15 L1 1-9 4 9 2 15 0 0 0 2 0 1 6 21 at George Washington 68.78 vs American 50.53
Patriot top performances Patriot surprise performances Patriot upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Bucknell vs Army W 94 - 66 81.13 1 American at New Hampshire W 68 - 50 17.05 1 American at Navy W 63 - 58 16.96
2 Bucknell vs Loyola (MD) W 87 - 52 80.45 2 Holy Cross at Army W 60 - 38 16.03 2 Holy Cross at Bucknell W 77 - 72 2OT 15.35
3 Navy vs Fort Wayne W 75 - 53 80.29 3 Bucknell vs Navy W 88 - 58 15.44 3 American at New Hampshire W 68 - 50 15.14
4 Bucknell vs Navy W 88 - 58 80.04 4 Navy vs Fort Wayne W 75 - 53 14.27 4 American at Colgate W 54 - 49 14.11
5 Bucknell vs Holy Cross W 98 - 71 79.29 5 Loyola (MD) at UMBC W 76 - 57 12.36 5 Lafayette at Army W 76 - 73 13.41
6 Bucknell at Holy Cross W 77 - 52 78.75 6 Bucknell vs Loyola (MD) W 87 - 52 12.15 6 Holy Cross at Lehigh W 59 - 56 12.02
7 Lehigh at Bucknell W 80 - 65 78.58 7 American vs Bucknell W 69 - 55 12.11 7 American at Youngstown State W 60 - 56 11.25
8 Bucknell vs Boston University W 80 - 59 78.08 8 Lehigh at Holy Cross W 87 - 66 11.88 8 American at Boston University W 69 - 64 10.16
9 Lehigh at Colgate W 71 - 54 77.60 9 Bucknell vs Army W 94 - 66 11.80 9 American at Lafayette W 81 - 73 9.66
10 Army vs Monmouth W 91 - 84 76.74 10 American at Navy W 63 - 58 11.11 10 Boston University at Fordham W 69 - 66 9.59
Patriot standings Patriot tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Bucknell
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Bucknell 14 4 16 14 8 Loyola (MD) @ Lewisburg, PA Holy Cross
2 Lehigh 13 5 16 15      
3 Boston University 11 7 18 15 @ Baltimore, MD Holy Cross  
4 Navy 9 9 18 14            
5 Colgate 9 9 12 17 9 Holy Cross         @ West Point, NY Holy Cross
6 Army 9 9 18 14            
7 American 9 9 12 19 4 Army    
8 Loyola (MD) 8 10 9 21      
9 Holy Cross 5 13 15 20 @ West Point, NY Army  
10 Lafayette 3 15 6 24            
5 Colgate          
                 
Patriot tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized                 @ Bethlehem, PA Holy Cross
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket                   2016 Patriot
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Lehigh           Men's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament             Tournament Champion
1 Bucknell 87.31% 68.43% 45.95% 7 Navy @ Bethlehem, PA Lehigh  
2 Lehigh 78.61% 61.38% 31.73%        
3 Boston University 80.44% 26.50% 10.01% @ Annapolis, MD Navy    
4 Army 64.31% 18.74% 5.84%              
5 Colgate 35.69% 9.57% 2.74% 10 Lafayette         @ Bethlehem, PA Lehigh
6 American 19.56% 3.40% 0.53%          
7 Navy 19.24% 8.22% 2.54% 3 Boston University  
8 Loyola (MD) 9.86% 2.70% 0.51%    
9 Holy Cross 2.82% 0.56% 0.07% @ Boston, MA American
10 Lafayette 2.15% 0.50% 0.07%  
6 American © Omni Rankings