Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/4/16 games
SWAC 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 3.26 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Texas Southern 68.25 181 69.04 61.33 65.16 310 18 15 16 2 L2 7-3 9 0 7 13 2 2 0 6 0 4 18 5 at Mississippi Valley 78.21 at New Mexico 59.05
2 Southern 64.74 239 69.85 63.16 63.16 341 19 13 11 7 L1 5-5 9 1 6 10 4 2 0 0 1 3 18 10 vs Mississippi Valley 75.96 vs Prairie View 54.19
3 Jackson State 63.31 259 68.15 61.54 62.71 344 18 16 12 6 L1 6-4 9 2 7 13 2 1 0 2 0 3 18 11 vs Savannah State 75.34 vs Alcorn State 54.19
4 Alabama State 61.10 283 68.57 59.59 63.38 338 12 17 9 9 L1 7-3 6 3 5 12 1 2 0 0 1 3 11 14 at UAB 71.49 vs Southern 52.26
5 Alabama A&M 58.58 314 69.92 57.84 62.40 347 10 18 6 12 L1 3-7 5 5 4 12 1 1 0 0 0 2 10 16 at Murray State 71.62 at Prairie View 48.73
6 Alcorn State 58.50 315 59.43 44.93 63.07 342 13 15 13 5 L2 7-3 7 2 6 9 0 4 0 1 0 2 13 12 vs Southern 67.11 at Grand Canyon 42.13
7 Prairie View 55.91 336 59.35 53.95 65.56 302 7 24 7 11 L1 6-4 4 6 3 16 0 2 0 3 0 4 7 17 vs Alabama A&M 66.54 vs Alcorn State 47.66
8 Arkansas Pine Bluff 54.11 343 63.14 53.31 66.59 266 8 25 6 12 L1 3-7 3 6 4 18 1 1 0 3 0 6 8 16 at Iowa State 67.71 at Alcorn State 46.90
9 Mississippi Valley 53.92 344 54.75 48.45 64.59 321 8 27 6 12 L1 3-7 3 6 3 19 2 2 0 1 0 6 8 20 at Alabama A&M 64.80 vs Texas Southern 42.30
10 Grambling 53.08 347 55.68 51.14 63.81 332 4 24 4 14 L2 1-9 3 7 1 15 0 2 0 0 0 5 4 19 at Alabama A&M 60.91 at Alcorn State 44.92
SWAC top performances SWAC surprise performances SWAC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Texas Southern at Mississippi Valley W 98 - 67 78.21 1 Mississippi Valley at BYU L 68 - 75 13.46 1 Mississippi Valley at Alabama A&M W 79 - 73 17.20
2 Southern vs Mississippi Valley W 97 - 64 75.96 2 Prairie View vs Alabama A&M W 85 - 65 11.80 2 Alcorn State at Jackson State W 72 - 64 14.19
3 Texas Southern vs Southern W 88 - 66 75.69 3 Texas Southern vs Southern W 88 - 66 11.76 3 Grambling vs Alabama A&M W 81 - 78 OT 12.83
4 Jackson State vs Savannah State W 69 - 42 75.34 4 Mississippi Valley at Alabama A&M W 79 - 73 11.76 4 Southern at Mississippi State W 76 - 72 12.49
5 Texas Southern vs Alabama A&M W 77 - 54 75.26 5 Mississippi Valley at Air Force L 64 - 65 11.66 5 Prairie View at Southern W 79 - 71 12.30
6 Southern at Wyoming W 68 - 58 75.23 6 Alcorn State at Jackson State W 72 - 64 11.31 6 Alcorn State at Prairie View W 73 - 70 12.19
7 Texas Southern vs Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78 - 49 75.13 7 Texas Southern at Mississippi Valley W 98 - 67 10.92 7 Prairie View vs Texas Southern W 59 - 55 11.08
8 Jackson State vs Southeastern Louisiana W 89 - 66 74.09 8 Prairie View at Southern W 79 - 71 10.36 8 Grambling at Alabama A&M W 65 - 58 9.99
9 Southern vs Alabama A&M W 73 - 52 73.93 9 Southern vs Alabama State W 83 - 63 10.17 9 Alcorn State vs Alabama A&M W 63 - 58 9.02
10 Jackson State at Louisiana Tech L 88 - 95 2OT 73.61 10 Southern vs Mississippi Valley W 97 - 64 10.13 10 Alcorn State at Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73 - 65 8.35
SWAC standings SWAC tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
(Alcorn State ineligible for postseason berth)
Conference Overall 1 Texas Southern
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Texas Southern 16 2 18 15 8 Alabama A&M @ Houston, TX Texas Southern
2 Alcorn State 13 5 13 15      
3 Jackson State 12 6 18 16 @ Houston, TX Alabama A&M  
4 Southern 11 7 19 13    
5 Alabama State 9 9 12 17 9 Arkansas Pine Bluff @ Houston, TX Southern
6 Prairie View 7 11 7 24    
7 Alabama A&M 6 12 10 18 4 Southern    
8 Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 12 8 25      
9 Mississippi Valley 6 12 8 27 @ Houston, TX Southern  
10 Grambling 4 14 4 24    
5 Alabama State  
 
SWAC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ Houston, TX Southern
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket   2016 SWAC
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Alcorn State   Men's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Texas Southern 84.14% 58.79% 45.88% 7 Mississippi Valley @ Houston, TX Mississippi Valley  
2 Alcorn State 69.12% 31.84% 9.03%        
3 Jackson State 67.08% 43.56% 15.90% @ Houston, TX Mississippi Valley    
4 Southern 52.54% 19.57% 12.14%      
5 Alabama State 47.46% 16.66% 9.94% 10 Grambling @ Houston, TX Jackson State
6 Prairie View 32.92% 15.85% 3.59%  
7 Mississippi Valley 11.55% 2.85% 0.38% 3 Jackson State  
8 Alabama A&M 11.45% 3.93% 1.78%    
10 Grambling 19.32% 5.90% 1.01% @ Houston, TX Jackson State
 
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