Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/4/16 games
Southern 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 3.26 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Chattanooga 72.94 124 80.05 72.94 68.17 214 27 6 15 3 L1 7-3 11 1 11 4 5 1 0 2 3 1 24 3 vs Alabama State 88.48 vs UNCG 60.82
2 ETSU 70.17 162 73.73 68.46 69.33 184 22 12 14 4 L1 8-2 11 2 8 8 3 2 1 1 2 7 19 4 vs Green Bay 79.95 at UNC Asheville 62.22
3 Wofford 69.11 172 70.75 66.24 69.49 182 13 17 11 7 L3 5-5 9 2 4 14 0 1 0 4 0 4 13 9 vs VMI 77.34 vs Coastal Carolina 62.29
4 Furman 68.77 176 69.48 62.22 67.05 249 17 16 11 7 L1 5-5 12 2 3 12 2 2 0 1 2 4 15 11 vs Chattanooga 77.36 vs Gardner-Webb 52.22
5 Western Carolina 67.68 194 70.77 63.49 70.42 157 13 18 10 8 L2 7-3 9 2 3 15 1 1 0 2 2 8 11 8 at Pitt 75.74 at UNCG 56.71
6 Mercer 66.25 218 74.86 66.25 66.48 272 17 15 8 10 L2 1-9 9 3 4 11 4 1 0 0 1 4 16 11 vs Alabama State 78.79 at VMI 59.64
7 UNCG 66.20 220 67.34 59.18 67.73 226 12 19 10 8 L1 6-4 9 4 3 14 0 1 0 1 1 5 11 13 at Chattanooga 79.88 at VMI 53.58
8 Samford 64.43 243 68.54 62.26 66.33 277 12 19 4 14 L1 3-7 4 7 5 11 3 1 0 2 1 3 11 14 at Nebraska 79.30 at Furman 58.34
9 VMI 59.18 307 59.18 54.23 67.36 233 6 21 4 14 L2 3-7 5 6 1 14 0 1 0 1 0 5 6 15 vs Mercer 65.86 at Wofford 46.89
10 Citadel 55.77 337 59.94 52.78 66.67 262 7 22 3 15 L10 0-10 3 8 3 13 1 1 0 1 0 3 7 18 at ETSU 66.70 at UNCG 47.89
SoCon top performances SoCon surprise performances SoCon upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Chattanooga vs Alabama State W 95 - 58 88.48 1 UNCG at Chattanooga W 79 - 64 16.08 1 UNCG at Chattanooga W 79 - 64 16.36
2 Chattanooga at Dayton W 61 - 59 84.53 2 Chattanooga vs Alabama State W 95 - 58 13.06 2 ETSU at Georgia Tech W 69 - 68 15.94
3 Chattanooga at Lipscomb W 80 - 56 84.18 3 Samford at Nebraska W 69 - 58 12.92 3 Samford at Nebraska W 69 - 58 14.25
4 Chattanooga vs Citadel W 125 - 85 83.82 4 Furman vs Chattanooga W 70 - 55 12.54 4 Citadel at Western Carolina W 92 - 91 11.29
5 Chattanooga vs Wofford W 79 - 63 80.19 5 Furman vs VMI W 85 - 57 10.91 5 Chattanooga at Dayton W 61 - 59 11.21
6 Chattanooga vs Western Carolina W 77 - 58 80.04 6 VMI vs UNCG W 86 - 72 10.84 6 VMI at Gardner-Webb W 76 - 75 10.93
7 UNCG at Chattanooga W 79 - 64 79.88 7 VMI vs Mercer W 91 - 82 9.93 7 Citadel vs Georgia Southern W 95 - 90 10.93
8 ETSU at Western Carolina W 82 - 66 79.62 8 ETSU at Western Carolina W 82 - 66 9.82 8 Western Carolina vs Chattanooga W 67 - 61 10.46
9 Chattanooga vs Mercer W 74 - 62 79.61 9 Samford vs Idaho W 75 - 58 9.66 9 VMI vs Mercer W 91 - 82 10.37
10 ETSU at Georgia Tech W 69 - 68 79.54 10 Furman vs Samford W 77 - 57 9.45 10 Mercer at Arkansas W 69 - 66 OT 10.18
SoCon standings SoCon tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Chattanooga
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Chattanooga 15 3 27 6 8 Samford @ Asheville, NC Chattanooga
2 ETSU 14 4 22 12      
3 Wofford 11 7 13 17 @ Asheville, NC Samford  
4 Furman 11 7 17 16    
5 Western Carolina 10 8 13 18 9 VMI @ Asheville, NC Chattanooga
6 UNCG 10 8 12 19    
7 Mercer 8 10 17 15 4 Wofford    
8 Samford 4 14 12 19      
9 VMI 4 14 6 21 @ Asheville, NC Western Carolina  
10 Citadel 3 15 7 22    
5 Western Carolina  
 
SoCon tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ Asheville, NC Chattanooga
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket   2016 SoCon
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 ETSU   Men's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Chattanooga 81.88% 55.71% 37.55% 7 Mercer @ Asheville, NC ETSU  
2 ETSU 60.45% 34.08% 15.44%        
3 Furman 53.98% 26.08% 10.70% @ Asheville, NC Mercer    
4 Wofford 56.67% 23.05% 12.03%      
5 Western Carolina 43.33% 15.11% 6.88% 10 Citadel @ Asheville, NC ETSU
6 UNCG 46.02% 20.44% 7.64%  
7 Mercer 37.96% 19.18% 7.63% 3 Furman  
8 Samford 14.72% 5.42% 1.96%    
9 VMI 3.40% 0.71% 0.15% @ Asheville, NC Furman
10 Citadel 1.58% 0.23% 0.02%  
6 UNCG © Omni Rankings