Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/4/16 games
NCAA probabilities 15-16 14-15 13-14
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Omni Rankings home NCAA bracket NIT probabilities
Men's basketball home NCAA selection NIT bracket
Team ratings (1-351) NIT selection
#REF!
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team final 32 final 16 quarterfinals semifinals final tournament
1 Kansas 97.93% 79.06% 60.72% 40.74% 28.77% 16.60%
1 Oregon 97.14% 68.23% 46.00% 27.90% 13.15% 5.72%
1 North Carolina 96.95% 79.82% 47.82% 33.45% 18.28% 11.00%
1 Virginia 97.66% 75.94% 47.38% 24.61% 13.69% 7.76%
2 Villanova 92.10% 66.50% 38.87% 19.26% 11.58% 5.34%
2 Oklahoma 85.07% 46.42% 27.56% 15.58% 6.96% 2.85%
2 Xavier 90.54% 59.00% 31.25% 11.55% 4.20% 1.75%
2 Michigan State 94.60% 81.59% 62.76% 41.00% 26.36% 17.18%
3 Miami (FL) 86.17% 35.92% 15.85% 5.91% 2.78% 0.93%
3 Texas A&M 87.65% 64.13% 41.27% 22.98% 10.07% 4.05%
3 West Virginia 69.45% 54.00% 35.06% 15.91% 7.09% 3.55%
3 Utah 76.26% 33.30% 9.50% 3.24% 1.08% 0.37%
4 California 72.00% 43.37% 14.84% 6.50% 3.13% 1.08%
4 Duke 79.78% 23.88% 11.10% 5.67% 2.13% 0.73%
4 Kentucky 90.25% 57.77% 30.13% 19.86% 9.95% 5.54%
4 Iowa State 79.16% 34.41% 13.65% 4.88% 1.87% 0.74%
5 Maryland 76.65% 39.88% 12.25% 4.86% 2.14% 0.66%
5 Baylor 61.11% 50.82% 21.56% 10.15% 3.43% 1.05%
5 Indiana 88.36% 39.04% 16.64% 9.38% 3.78% 1.73%
5 Purdue 83.46% 56.52% 29.22% 13.78% 6.97% 3.60%
6 Arizona 59.31% 39.15% 21.79% 10.50% 6.16% 2.76%
6 Texas 63.86% 23.16% 10.76% 3.93% 1.04% 0.24%
6 Notre Dame 56.54% 16.75% 6.36% 1.38% 0.29% 0.07%
6 Seton Hall 41.08% 23.52% 6.89% 2.42% 0.83% 0.29%
7 Iowa 77.44% 28.25% 11.47% 3.83% 1.63% 0.48%
7 Oregon State 39.10% 32.52% 10.37% 2.97% 0.60% 0.11%
7 Wisconsin 53.47% 21.84% 8.75% 2.23% 0.56% 0.16%
7 Dayton 46.04% 7.33% 2.47% 0.57% 0.13% 0.03%
8 Colorado 39.40% 6.64% 2.57% 0.72% 0.23% 0.05%
8 Saint Joseph's 42.30% 11.82% 5.11% 1.88% 0.47% 0.10%
8 USC 51.69% 10.45% 2.71% 0.96% 0.22% 0.06%
8 Texas Tech 40.08% 7.96% 2.27% 0.49% 0.11% 0.03%
9 UConn 60.60% 14.12% 6.90% 2.55% 1.05% 0.30%
9 Cincinnati 57.70% 19.75% 9.99% 4.37% 1.34% 0.37%
9 Providence 48.31% 9.30% 2.30% 0.78% 0.17% 0.04%
9 Butler 59.92% 15.91% 5.86% 1.68% 0.51% 0.16%
10 Temple 22.56% 3.63% 0.62% 0.08% 0.02% 0.00%
10 VCU 60.90% 7.07% 2.92% 1.11% 0.31% 0.08%
10 Pitt 46.53% 17.60% 6.51% 1.50% 0.34% 0.09%
10 Syracuse 53.96% 9.64% 3.59% 0.93% 0.23% 0.06%
11 Vanderbilt 15.38% 8.40% 3.67% 1.35% 0.63% 0.21%
11 Wichita State 25.31% 15.09% 7.37% 3.07% 1.59% 0.61%
11 Northern Iowa 36.14% 9.19% 3.15% 0.79% 0.14% 0.02%
11 Michigan 31.99% 8.16% 2.71% 0.50% 0.09% 0.02%
11 Tulsa 11.47% 2.56% 0.76% 0.12% 0.02% 0.00%
12 Gonzaga 58.92% 38.54% 13.95% 6.04% 2.55% 1.10%
12 South Dakota State 23.35% 6.02% 0.78% 0.13% 0.03% 0.00%
12 Yale 38.89% 10.90% 3.52% 1.30% 0.32% 0.07%
12 Chattanooga 11.64% 1.34% 0.14% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
12 UALR 16.54% 5.21% 1.00% 0.17% 0.03% 0.01%
13 Hawai'i 28.00% 10.73% 1.92% 0.46% 0.12% 0.02%
13 UNC Wilmington 20.22% 14.40% 2.71% 0.61% 0.09% 0.01%
13 Stony Brook 9.75% 1.85% 0.23% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Iona 20.84% 3.86% 0.61% 0.09% 0.01% 0.00%
14 Buffalo 13.83% 1.43% 0.18% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Green Bay 12.35% 3.52% 0.83% 0.13% 0.01% 0.00%
14 Stephen F. Austin 30.55% 18.53% 8.43% 2.30% 0.62% 0.20%
14 Fresno State 23.74% 4.64% 0.58% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00%
15 UNC Asheville 7.90% 1.62% 0.18% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
15 CSU Bakersfield 14.93% 14.00% 3.15% 0.62% 0.08% 0.01%
15 Weber State 9.46% 1.56% 0.19% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Middle Tennessee 5.40% 1.44% 0.25% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Austin Peay 2.07% 0.18% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Holy Cross 0.93% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Southern 1.93% 0.15% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 FGCU 2.64% 0.41% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.41% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Hampton 2.34% 0.19% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
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