Omni Rankingsô 2016-2017 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/3/17 games
Colonial 16-17 15-16 14-15 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 2.86 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 UNC Wilmington 78.73 69 81.25 75.85 70.48 140 27 6 15 3 L1 8-2 11 1 11 3 5 2 0 2 13 4 14 0 vs Toledo 88.02 at William & Mary 67.14
2 College of Charleston 75.11 96 76.30 70.99 70.55 138 24 10 14 4 L2 6-4 12 4 10 5 2 1 0 2 9 6 15 2 at East Carolina 83.00 vs Wake Forest 65.13
3 Towson 73.59 111 74.07 68.32 69.28 170 19 13 11 7 L1 7-3 11 3 6 8 2 2 0 1 4 8 15 4 vs Northeastern 85.83 at James Madison 57.57
4 William & Mary 72.03 131 74.80 68.84 70.80 134 15 14 10 8 L1 5-5 11 1 3 12 1 1 0 3 6 5 9 6 vs Northeastern 84.46 at Hampton 59.82
5 Elon 70.99 149 72.53 66.60 69.21 173 16 14 10 8 L1 5-5 8 4 6 8 2 2 0 1 4 8 12 5 at Hofstra 78.51 at Radford 58.27
6 Hofstra 68.80 184 69.80 58.57 68.86 189 14 17 7 11 L1 5-5 6 7 6 7 2 3 0 1 2 11 12 5 vs Stony Brook 80.56 vs Coppin State 55.93
7 Northeastern 68.09 190 75.65 68.09 69.74 155 15 16 8 10 L2 3-7 7 4 7 10 1 2 1 0 8 8 6 8 vs Delaware 84.64 vs Towson 56.33
8 James Madison 66.99 201 71.49 61.64 69.38 167 9 23 7 11 L1 4-6 5 9 3 13 1 1 0 0 3 11 6 12 vs Towson 75.78 vs Richmond 54.47
9 Drexel 63.95 258 66.00 62.08 68.97 186 8 23 3 15 L6 1-9 4 8 4 14 0 1 0 0 1 12 7 11 vs William & Mary 77.24 at Niagara 52.98
10 Delaware 61.38 289 66.74 59.63 69.73 156 11 20 5 13 L1 4-6 7 5 3 12 1 3 0 1 2 12 9 7 vs Iona 70.69 at USF 49.35
CAA top performances CAA surprise performances CAA upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 UNC Wilmington vs Toledo W 102 - 77 88.02 1 Hofstra vs Stony Brook W 96 - 58 16.02 1 Delaware vs Northeastern W 69 - 62 11.99
2 UNC Wilmington vs William & Mary W 101 - 77 86.76 2 Towson vs Northeastern W 82 - 54 13.55 2 Northeastern at Michigan State W 81 - 73 11.31
3 Towson vs Northeastern W 82 - 54 85.83 3 William & Mary vs UNC Wilmington W 96 - 78 13.37 3 Delaware vs Hofstra W 81 - 76 9.87
4 UNC Wilmington vs Radford W 100 - 64 85.66 4 James Madison vs Towson W 64 - 44 13.07 4 Delaware vs Elon W 76 - 74 OT 9.20
5 Northeastern vs Delaware W 90 - 54 84.64 5 Drexel vs William & Mary W 79 - 61 12.97 5 Delaware at James Madison W 58 - 57 8.94
6 William & Mary vs Northeastern W 94 - 69 84.46 6 William & Mary vs Northeastern W 94 - 69 11.72 6 Hofstra vs South Dakota W 65 - 57 8.78
7 UNC Wilmington at Drexel W 90 - 72 83.73 7 Hofstra at William & Mary W 96 - 82 11.65 7 Northeastern at Oakland W 61 - 59 8.71
8 William & Mary vs UNC Wilmington W 96 - 78 83.24 8 College of Charleston vs Davidson W 76 - 61 11.23 8 Hofstra at William & Mary W 96 - 82 8.54
9 College of Charleston at East Carolina W 53 - 35 83.00 9 UNC Wilmington vs Toledo W 102 - 77 11.23 9 Hofstra at Columbia W 88 - 86 8.52
10 UNC Wilmington vs Delaware W 108 - 80 82.57 10 Hofstra vs Siena W 84 - 64 11.00 10 Northeastern at College of Charleston W 73 - 72 8.50
CAA standings CAA tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 UNC Wilmington
Rank Team W L W L  
1 UNC Wilmington 15 3 27 6 8 Hofstra @ North Charleston, SC UNC Wilmington
2 College of Charleston 14 4 24 10      
3 Towson 11 7 19 13 @ North Charleston, SC Delaware  
4 William & Mary 10 8 15 14    
5 Elon 10 8 16 14 9 Delaware @ North Charleston, SC UNC Wilmington
6 Northeastern 8 10 15 16    
7 Hofstra 7 11 14 17 4 William & Mary    
8 James Madison 7 11 9 23      
9 Delaware 5 13 11 20 @ North Charleston, SC William & Mary  
10 Drexel 3 15 8 23    
5 Elon  
 
CAA tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ North Charleston, SC UNC Wilmington
Probabilities based on current ratings and tournament bracket   2017 CAA
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 College of Charleston   Men's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 UNC Wilmington 79.26% 55.82% 36.44% 7 James Madison @ North Charleston, SC College of Charleston  
2 College of Charleston 80.88% 52.26% 27.08%      
3 Towson 58.53% 26.39% 10.80% @ North Charleston, SC James Madison    
4 William & Mary 53.28% 19.69% 9.12%      
5 Elon 46.72% 15.95% 6.89% 10 Drexel @ North Charleston, SC College of Charleston
6 Northeastern 41.47% 15.50% 5.16%  
7 James Madison 11.55% 3.76% 0.87% 3 Towson  
8 Hofstra 19.37% 8.33% 3.20%    
9 Delaware 1.37% 0.21% 0.03% @ North Charleston, SC Towson
10 Drexel 7.56% 2.09% 0.40%  
6 Northeastern © Omni Rankings