Omni Rankings 2016-2017 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/3/17 games
NCAA probabilities 16-17 15-16 14-15 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Omni Rankings home NCAA bracket NIT probabilities
Men's basketball home NCAA selection NIT bracket
Team ratings (1-351) NIT selection
#REF!
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team final 32 final 16 quarterfinals semifinals final tournament
1 Villanova 98.24% 78.88% 51.30% 35.97% 22.62% 14.50%
1 Gonzaga 96.54% 81.48% 62.08% 46.53% 28.44% 18.22%
1 Kansas 96.32% 73.50% 44.43% 25.33% 12.98% 6.11%
1 North Carolina 98.05% 79.74% 63.65% 38.82% 24.20% 13.04%
2 Duke 92.72% 67.13% 37.40% 15.58% 7.38% 3.53%
2 Arizona 92.46% 37.76% 22.19% 8.24% 3.10% 1.24%
2 Louisville 95.70% 57.26% 35.63% 19.99% 10.17% 4.75%
2 Kentucky 95.14% 52.21% 34.08% 18.85% 10.67% 5.13%
3 Baylor 86.64% 43.95% 22.74% 8.18% 3.41% 1.43%
3 Florida State 89.00% 63.48% 32.33% 11.85% 4.39% 1.74%
3 Oregon 91.93% 59.91% 28.70% 14.33% 6.41% 2.61%
3 UCLA 91.44% 55.71% 22.48% 10.21% 4.68% 1.77%
4 Florida 88.89% 51.88% 23.16% 13.64% 7.03% 3.67%
4 West Virginia 86.70% 24.09% 10.02% 6.13% 2.80% 1.36%
4 Purdue 80.79% 45.04% 22.54% 11.20% 4.94% 1.98%
4 Butler 85.94% 53.92% 16.86% 5.77% 2.03% 0.58%
5 Virginia 85.29% 43.59% 18.11% 10.07% 4.87% 2.38%
5 Notre Dame 73.28% 56.09% 17.98% 9.01% 3.17% 1.19%
5 Iowa State 72.67% 40.95% 20.67% 10.37% 4.62% 1.87%
5 Minnesota 52.84% 23.38% 5.35% 1.33% 0.34% 0.07%
6 SMU 78.35% 47.10% 26.88% 11.06% 5.18% 2.45%
6 Maryland 45.20% 14.37% 4.01% 0.75% 0.13% 0.03%
6 Creighton 59.74% 25.30% 9.25% 3.58% 1.22% 0.37%
6 Cincinnati 60.33% 28.29% 9.59% 3.76% 1.47% 0.47%
7 South Carolina 44.47% 12.99% 3.97% 0.79% 0.20% 0.05%
7 Saint Mary's 74.58% 56.96% 33.63% 12.59% 4.76% 1.93%
7 Michigan 55.82% 25.04% 13.84% 6.78% 2.97% 1.18%
7 Dayton 19.25% 4.43% 1.45% 0.38% 0.10% 0.02%
8 Wisconsin 61.45% 14.57% 5.21% 2.15% 0.75% 0.26%
8 Northwestern 37.67% 5.26% 1.72% 0.51% 0.09% 0.02%
8 Miami (FL) 52.64% 14.20% 4.85% 1.49% 0.40% 0.09%
8 Arkansas 53.06% 11.13% 5.54% 1.57% 0.46% 0.11%
9 Virginia Tech 38.55% 6.42% 1.69% 0.52% 0.13% 0.03%
9 Vanderbilt 62.33% 12.67% 5.52% 2.23% 0.60% 0.17%
9 Michigan State 47.36% 11.88% 3.79% 1.08% 0.27% 0.06%
9 Seton Hall 46.94% 8.98% 4.20% 1.09% 0.29% 0.06%
10 Marquette 55.53% 18.63% 6.57% 1.55% 0.45% 0.13%
10 VCU 25.42% 3.05% 1.05% 0.19% 0.03% 0.01%
10 Oklahoma State 44.18% 17.42% 8.64% 3.75% 1.44% 0.50%
10 Wichita State 80.75% 43.02% 28.51% 16.06% 9.26% 4.55%
11 Providence 14.29% 4.91% 1.53% 0.29% 0.07% 0.02%
11 USC 7.36% 2.01% 0.49% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
11 Xavier 54.80% 19.55% 6.21% 1.33% 0.28% 0.06%
11 Rhode Island 40.26% 13.62% 3.83% 1.15% 0.30% 0.07%
11 Kansas State 17.93% 6.47% 1.57% 0.46% 0.13% 0.03%
12 Wake Forest 21.74% 8.41% 2.23% 0.71% 0.22% 0.05%
12 UNC Wilmington 14.71% 2.60% 0.32% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00%
12 Princeton 26.72% 5.90% 0.95% 0.26% 0.04% 0.01%
12 Nevada 27.33% 9.35% 2.72% 0.76% 0.18% 0.04%
12 Middle Tennessee 47.16% 19.66% 4.14% 0.95% 0.22% 0.04%
13 ETSU 11.11% 1.93% 0.20% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Bucknell 13.30% 13.91% 1.64% 0.33% 0.04% 0.01%
13 Vermont 19.21% 4.65% 0.97% 0.19% 0.03% 0.00%
13 Winthrop 14.06% 3.05% 0.24% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
14 New Mexico State 13.36% 2.03% 0.32% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
14 FGCU 11.00% 2.60% 0.32% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Iona 8.07% 1.16% 0.09% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Kent State 8.56% 1.11% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Troy 7.28% 1.26% 0.12% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 North Dakota 7.54% 2.23% 0.26% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Jacksonville State 4.30% 0.27% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Northern Kentucky 4.86% 0.34% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Mount St. Mary's 0.62% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 New Orleans 1.14% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 South Dakota State 3.46% 0.59% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
16 North Carolina Central 2.44% 0.31% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 UC Davis 1.24% 0.11% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Texas Southern 1.95% 0.16% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Omni Rankings