Omni Rankingsô 2017-2018 Men's college basketball ratings through 12/9/17 games
NCAA probabilities 17-18 16-17 15-16
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Omni Rankings home NCAA bracket NIT probabilities
Men's basketball home NCAA selection NIT bracket
Team ratings (1-351) NIT selection
#REF!
Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team final 32 final 16 quarterfinals semifinals final tournament
1 Kansas 97.39% 76.73% 59.22% 41.06% 27.24% 17.42%
1 North Carolina 94.02% 68.36% 47.23% 29.11% 15.86% 8.91%
1 Villanova 93.75% 70.24% 48.83% 30.71% 18.54% 10.45%
1 Michigan State 92.61% 68.07% 46.57% 28.44% 16.49% 9.03%
2 Virginia 89.21% 61.56% 36.51% 17.51% 9.29% 4.67%
2 Gonzaga 91.57% 49.99% 33.25% 19.82% 10.69% 5.94%
2 Purdue 90.25% 63.78% 39.30% 21.58% 11.83% 6.02%
2 Xavier 90.76% 63.60% 40.70% 23.40% 12.94% 6.74%
3 Wichita State 87.35% 57.43% 31.64% 14.47% 7.33% 3.51%
3 Arkansas 81.12% 51.85% 26.54% 13.20% 5.82% 2.65%
3 Duke 85.73% 56.54% 30.23% 15.27% 7.69% 3.57%
3 Texas A&M 83.76% 53.58% 27.04% 13.63% 6.55% 2.94%
4 Seton Hall 74.36% 40.70% 13.26% 5.87% 2.42% 0.93%
4 Nevada 59.35% 34.69% 15.56% 7.64% 3.21% 1.39%
4 Florida State 77.49% 42.63% 17.82% 8.33% 3.67% 1.48%
4 Miami (FL) 78.28% 44.68% 19.59% 9.19% 4.02% 1.63%
5 Arizona State 61.90% 34.70% 11.25% 4.96% 2.03% 0.78%
5 Florida 71.89% 28.61% 11.21% 4.85% 1.77% 0.67%
5 Texas Tech 61.78% 34.42% 14.23% 6.58% 2.87% 1.14%
5 West Virginia 63.66% 34.44% 14.41% 6.46% 2.69% 1.04%
6 Arizona 62.94% 27.64% 12.17% 4.32% 1.71% 0.63%
6 TCU 69.94% 33.51% 14.51% 6.05% 2.20% 0.82%
6 Baylor 63.13% 27.86% 11.79% 4.65% 1.82% 0.65%
6 Texas 61.78% 28.57% 11.74% 4.82% 1.86% 0.67%
7 Tennessee 65.90% 26.73% 12.07% 4.21% 1.64% 0.59%
7 Virginia Tech 56.67% 41.67% 19.92% 8.11% 2.87% 1.05%
7 Kentucky 56.73% 20.73% 9.03% 3.35% 1.23% 0.41%
7 Notre Dame 59.15% 22.26% 10.54% 4.30% 1.66% 0.59%
8 Clemson 50.54% 11.72% 5.68% 2.22% 0.80% 0.27%
8 Cincinnati 53.81% 17.29% 8.28% 3.33% 1.12% 0.39%
8 UNLV 51.13% 14.89% 6.61% 2.49% 0.87% 0.28%
8 Creighton 54.39% 17.46% 8.10% 3.14% 1.12% 0.37%
9 Rhode Island 49.46% 11.29% 5.42% 2.09% 0.74% 0.24%
9 Oklahoma 46.19% 13.47% 5.96% 2.19% 0.67% 0.21%
9 Ohio State 48.87% 13.82% 5.99% 2.19% 0.75% 0.23%
9 SMU 45.61% 13.10% 5.52% 1.92% 0.61% 0.18%
10 South Dakota 34.10% 9.32% 2.84% 0.64% 0.16% 0.04%
10 Minnesota 43.33% 3.41% 1.41% 0.49% 0.15% 0.04%
10 Middle Tennessee 43.27% 13.45% 5.02% 1.57% 0.48% 0.13%
10 Maryland 40.85% 12.31% 4.76% 1.55% 0.47% 0.13%
11 Louisville 20.23% 6.81% 2.27% 0.59% 0.17% 0.05%
11 Alabama 16.83% 5.29% 1.64% 0.40% 0.11% 0.03%
11 Valparaiso 30.06% 8.92% 2.31% 0.56% 0.11% 0.02%
11 South Carolina 19.36% 6.43% 2.01% 0.57% 0.16% 0.04%
11 Houston 17.51% 5.60% 1.68% 0.46% 0.12% 0.03%
12 Temple 38.22% 13.62% 4.18% 1.28% 0.36% 0.09%
12 Auburn 38.10% 16.98% 3.98% 1.31% 0.40% 0.11%
12 Northern Kentucky 28.11% 10.91% 2.29% 0.54% 0.10% 0.02%
12 Syracuse 38.22% 16.99% 5.28% 1.85% 0.61% 0.18%
12 Missouri 36.34% 14.93% 4.46% 1.43% 0.42% 0.11%
13 FGCU 25.64% 7.63% 1.16% 0.26% 0.05% 0.01%
13 Cincinnati 53.81% 17.29% 8.28% 3.33% 1.12% 0.39%
13 Towson 22.51% 5.97% 1.10% 0.23% 0.04% 0.01%
13 UT Arlington 21.72% 5.95% 1.13% 0.23% 0.04% 0.01%
14 Portland State 12.65% 2.83% 0.47% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00%
14 Vermont 18.88% 5.72% 1.22% 0.24% 0.04% 0.01%
14 UNCG 14.27% 3.57% 0.62% 0.10% 0.01% 0.00%
14 New Mexico State 16.24% 4.23% 0.75% 0.13% 0.02% 0.00%
15 UC Davis 10.79% 2.39% 0.39% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00%
15 Monmouth 8.43% 4.93% 0.84% 0.11% 0.01% 0.00%
15 Bucknell 9.75% 2.04% 0.33% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00%
15 Ball State 9.24% 1.82% 0.30% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Saint Francis U (PA) 1.99% 0.22% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 North Carolina Central 0.62% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Texas Southern 5.98% 0.88% 0.12% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Lamar 6.25% 1.05% 0.15% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Penn 4.12% 0.79% 0.13% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Liberty 3.27% 0.57% 0.09% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
© Omni Rankings