Omni Rankings™ 2024-2025 Men's college basketball through 3/30/25 games
North Carolina
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North Carolina schedule Rating: 86.34 (D-I #19)  Projected season record: 23 - 14 overall, 13 - 7 ACC
Overall Conf Ratings and projections
Game Division I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) North Carolina win probability
1 Elon Home Win 90 - 76   1 - 0 0 - 0 W1     88.68    
2 Kansas Road Loss 89 - 92   1 - 1 0 - 0 L1     88.24    
3 American Home Win 107 - 55   2 - 1 0 - 0 W1     89.28    
4 Hawai'i Road Win 87 - 69   3 - 1 0 - 0 W2     89.16    
5 Dayton Neutral Win 92 - 90   4 - 1 0 - 0 W3     88.58 North Carolina by 8 76%
6 Auburn Neutral Loss 72 - 85   4 - 2 0 - 0 L1     88.16 Auburn by 9 22%
7 Michigan State Neutral Loss 91 - 94 OT 4 - 3 0 - 0 L2     87.55 North Carolina by 6 70%
8 Alabama Home Loss 79 - 94   4 - 4 0 - 0 L3     85.77 North Carolina by 3 62%
9 Georgia Tech Home Win 68 - 65   5 - 4 1 - 0 W1     84.41 North Carolina by 18 93%
10 La Salle Home Win 93 - 67   6 - 4 1 - 0 W2 6-4   85.27 North Carolina by 16 91%
11 Florida Neutral Loss 84 - 90   6 - 5 1 - 0 L1 5-5   85.19 Florida by 5 33%
12 UCLA Neutral Win 76 - 74   7 - 5 1 - 0 W1 6-4   85.52 UCLA by 2 42%
13 Campbell Home Win 97 - 81   8 - 5 1 - 0 W2 6-4   84.74 North Carolina by 26 98%
14 Louisville Road Loss 70 - 83   8 - 6 1 - 1 L1 5-5   83.64 North Carolina by 2 58%
15 Notre Dame Road Win 74 - 73   9 - 6 2 - 1 W1 5-5   83.27 North Carolina by 6 71%
16 SMU Home Win 82 - 67   10 - 6 3 - 1 W2 6-4   84.03 North Carolina by 4 65%
17 NC State Road Win 63 - 61   11 - 6 4 - 1 W3 7-3   83.77 North Carolina by 6 69%
18 California Home Win 79 - 53   12 - 6 5 - 1 W4 8-2   84.62 North Carolina by 14 88%
19 Stanford Home Loss 71 - 72   12 - 7 5 - 2 L1 7-3   83.85 North Carolina by 10 82%
20 Wake Forest Road Loss 66 - 67   12 - 8 5 - 3 L2 6-4   83.58 North Carolina by 3 61%
21 Boston College Home Win 102 - 96 OT 13 - 8 6 - 3 W1 7-3   82.17 North Carolina by 21 95%
22 Pitt Road Loss 65 - 73   13 - 9 6 - 4 L1 6-4   81.99 Pitt by 5 32%
23 Duke Road Loss 70 - 87   13 - 10 6 - 5 L2 5-5   81.88 Duke by 15 10%
24 Pitt Home Win 67 - 66   14 - 10 7 - 5 W1 6-4   81.78 North Carolina by 3 59%
25 Clemson Road Loss 65 - 85   14 - 11 7 - 6 L1 5-5   80.92 Clemson by 6 29%
26 Syracuse Road Win 88 - 82   15 - 11 8 - 6 W1 5-5   80.84 North Carolina by 7 74%
27 NC State Home Win 97 - 73   16 - 11 9 - 6 W2 5-5   81.75 North Carolina by 10 81%
28 Virginia Home Win 81 - 66   17 - 11 10 - 6 W3 5-5   82.08 North Carolina by 10 81%
29 Florida State Road Win 96 - 85   18 - 11 11 - 6 W4 6-4   82.64 North Carolina by 2 58%
30 Miami (FL) Home Win 92 - 73   19 - 11 12 - 6 W5 7-3   82.74 North Carolina by 17 92%
31 Virginia Tech Road Win 91 - 59   20 - 11 13 - 6 W6 7-3   84.30 North Carolina by 8 75%
32 Duke Home Loss 69 - 82   20 - 12 13 - 7 L1 7-3   84.22 Duke by 12 16%
33 Notre Dame Neutral Win 76 - 56   21 - 12 13 - 7 W1 8-2   84.87 North Carolina by 10 80%
34 Wake Forest Neutral Win 68 - 59   22 - 12 13 - 7 W2 8-2   85.06 North Carolina by 6 70%
35 Duke Neutral Loss 71 - 74   22 - 13 13 - 7 L1 8-2   85.65 Duke by 13 14%
36 San Diego State Neutral Win 95 - 68   23 - 13 13 - 7 W1 8-2   87.04 North Carolina by 5 68%
37 Ole Miss Neutral Loss 64 - 71   23 - 14 13 - 7 L1 7-3   86.34 North Carolina by 4 63%
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