| Omni Rankings™ | 2024-2025 Men's college basketball | through 2/16/25 games | |||||||||||
| North Carolina | |||||||||||||
| ACC page | |||||||||||||
| North Carolina schedule | Rating: 80.90 (D-I #54) Projected season record: 19 - 13 overall, 12 - 8 ACC | ||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 10 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | North Carolina win probability | ||
| 1 | Elon | Home | Win | 90 - 76 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 88.72 | |||||
| 2 | Kansas | Road | Loss | 89 - 92 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 88.25 | |||||
| 3 | American | Home | Win | 107 - 55 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 89.31 | |||||
| 4 | Hawai'i | Road | Win | 87 - 69 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 89.18 | |||||
| 5 | Dayton | Neutral | Win | 92 - 90 | 4 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 88.61 | North Carolina by 8 | 75% | |||
| 6 | Auburn | Neutral | Loss | 72 - 85 | 4 - 2 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 88.20 | Auburn by 9 | 23% | |||
| 7 | Michigan State | Neutral | Loss | 91 - 94 | OT | 4 - 3 | 0 - 0 | L2 | 87.58 | North Carolina by 6 | 69% | ||
| 8 | Alabama | Home | Loss | 79 - 94 | 4 - 4 | 0 - 0 | L3 | 85.83 | North Carolina by 3 | 61% | |||
| 9 | Georgia Tech | Home | Win | 68 - 65 | 5 - 4 | 1 - 0 | W1 | 84.48 | North Carolina by 18 | 92% | |||
| 10 | La Salle | Home | Win | 93 - 67 | 6 - 4 | 1 - 0 | W2 | 6-4 | 85.35 | North Carolina by 16 | 90% | ||
| 11 | Florida | Neutral | Loss | 84 - 90 | 6 - 5 | 1 - 0 | L1 | 5-5 | 85.27 | Florida by 5 | 34% | ||
| 12 | UCLA | Neutral | Win | 76 - 74 | 7 - 5 | 1 - 0 | W1 | 6-4 | 85.61 | UCLA by 2 | 43% | ||
| 13 | Campbell | Home | Win | 97 - 81 | 8 - 5 | 1 - 0 | W2 | 6-4 | 84.82 | North Carolina by 26 | 97% | ||
| 14 | Louisville | Road | Loss | 70 - 83 | 8 - 6 | 1 - 1 | L1 | 5-5 | 83.71 | North Carolina by 2 | 58% | ||
| 15 | Notre Dame | Road | Win | 74 - 73 | 9 - 6 | 2 - 1 | W1 | 5-5 | 83.33 | North Carolina by 6 | 71% | ||
| 16 | SMU | Home | Win | 82 - 67 | 10 - 6 | 3 - 1 | W2 | 6-4 | 84.11 | North Carolina by 4 | 63% | ||
| 17 | NC State | Road | Win | 63 - 61 | 11 - 6 | 4 - 1 | W3 | 7-3 | 83.84 | North Carolina by 6 | 69% | ||
| 18 | California | Home | Win | 79 - 53 | 12 - 6 | 5 - 1 | W4 | 8-2 | 84.70 | North Carolina by 14 | 86% | ||
| 19 | Stanford | Home | Loss | 71 - 72 | 12 - 7 | 5 - 2 | L1 | 7-3 | 83.94 | North Carolina by 10 | 80% | ||
| 20 | Wake Forest | Road | Loss | 66 - 67 | 12 - 8 | 5 - 3 | L2 | 6-4 | 83.66 | North Carolina by 3 | 61% | ||
| 21 | Boston College | Home | Win | 102 - 96 | OT | 13 - 8 | 6 - 3 | W1 | 7-3 | 82.26 | North Carolina by 21 | 94% | |
| 22 | Pitt | Road | Loss | 65 - 73 | 13 - 9 | 6 - 4 | L1 | 6-4 | 82.07 | Pitt by 5 | 33% | ||
| 23 | Duke | Road | Loss | 70 - 87 | 13 - 10 | 6 - 5 | L2 | 5-5 | 81.94 | Duke by 15 | 11% | ||
| 24 | Pitt | Home | Win | 67 - 66 | 14 - 10 | 7 - 5 | W1 | 6-4 | 81.86 | North Carolina by 2 | 58% | ||
| 25 | Clemson | Road | Loss | 65 - 85 | 14 - 11 | 7 - 6 | L1 | 5-5 | 80.99 | Clemson by 6 | 31% | ||
| 26 | Syracuse | Road | Win | 88 - 82 | 15 - 11 | 8 - 6 | W1 | 5-5 | 80.90 | North Carolina by 7 | 73% | ||
| 27 | NC State | Home | 2/19/2025 | North Carolina by 10 | 78% | ||||||||
| 28 | Virginia | Home | 2/22/2025 | North Carolina by 9 | 76% | ||||||||
| 29 | Florida State | Road | 2/24/2025 | North Carolina by 1 | 54% | ||||||||
| 30 | Miami (FL) | Home | 3/1/2025 | North Carolina by 14 | 86% | ||||||||
| 31 | Virginia Tech | Road | 3/4/2025 | North Carolina by 6 | 67% | ||||||||
| 32 | Duke | Home | 3/8/2025 | Duke by 12 | 18% | ||||||||
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