Omni Rankingsô 2014-2015 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/7/15 games
NCAA probabilities 14-15 13-14 12-13 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team final 32 final 16 quarterfinals semifinals final tournament
1 UConn 99.84% 97.59% 93.48% 88.85% 80.50% 69.80%
1 Maryland 98.57% 79.48% 56.43% 34.72% 6.63% 3.28%
1 Notre Dame 97.23% 85.62% 68.48% 47.67% 29.00% 7.65%
1 South Carolina 99.15% 89.48% 70.35% 51.05% 30.97% 8.22%
2 Kentucky 95.21% 62.25% 25.22% 1.66% 0.50% 0.11%
2 Tennessee 95.91% 87.14% 58.90% 31.59% 5.35% 2.41%
2 Baylor 99.17% 85.15% 64.24% 30.97% 15.36% 3.00%
2 Florida State 99.32% 83.40% 58.48% 25.41% 11.51% 2.02%
3 Louisville 87.34% 38.43% 23.86% 2.14% 0.83% 0.25%
3 Oregon State 86.89% 68.72% 29.96% 12.62% 1.55% 0.53%
3 Iowa 87.82% 61.89% 20.34% 5.78% 1.68% 0.17%
3 Arizona State 84.36% 63.86% 25.70% 7.88% 2.53% 0.29%
4 California 82.54% 51.91% 2.92% 1.40% 0.46% 0.12%
4 Duke 83.90% 62.93% 25.99% 12.59% 1.29% 0.37%
4 Stanford 84.57% 60.63% 16.31% 6.69% 2.15% 0.25%
4 North Carolina 93.11% 60.12% 16.17% 7.25% 2.39% 0.28%
5 Texas 73.12% 35.80% 2.20% 1.11% 0.39% 0.11%
5 Mississippi State 64.96% 22.80% 5.21% 1.49% 0.11% 0.02%
5 Oklahoma 62.62% 23.95% 6.60% 2.76% 0.70% 0.06%
5 Ohio State 65.65% 28.72% 7.73% 3.47% 1.14% 0.14%
6 USF 83.12% 54.88% 35.42% 3.44% 1.41% 0.46%
6 George Washington 67.10% 20.25% 5.78% 1.54% 0.11% 0.02%
6 Washington 62.07% 24.06% 6.49% 1.51% 0.36% 0.03%
6 Texas A&M 69.35% 24.04% 6.97% 1.49% 0.34% 0.03%
7 Dayton 62.31% 25.78% 10.07% 0.63% 0.18% 0.04%
7 Chattanooga 50.87% 5.99% 1.54% 0.25% 0.01% 0.00%
7 Northwestern 61.99% 10.51% 5.01% 1.17% 0.28% 0.02%
7 FGCU 59.63% 11.11% 4.95% 1.08% 0.25% 0.02%
8 Rutgers 64.73% 1.83% 0.91% 0.41% 0.13% 0.03%
8 Princeton 71.23% 17.04% 9.04% 3.82% 0.43% 0.13%
8 Minnesota 26.23% 1.89% 0.51% 0.10% 0.01% 0.00%
8 Syracuse 42.90% 3.87% 1.31% 0.37% 0.07% 0.00%
9 Seton Hall 35.27% 0.56% 0.20% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00%
9 Green Bay 28.77% 3.38% 1.11% 0.26% 0.02% 0.00%
9 DePaul 73.77% 11.94% 6.02% 2.30% 0.69% 0.07%
9 Nebraska 57.10% 6.58% 2.66% 0.91% 0.22% 0.02%
10 Iowa State 37.69% 11.54% 3.26% 0.14% 0.03% 0.00%
10 Pitt 49.13% 5.64% 1.42% 0.23% 0.01% 0.00%
10 Arkansas 38.01% 4.30% 1.56% 0.25% 0.04% 0.00%
10 Oklahoma State 40.37% 5.46% 1.95% 0.32% 0.05% 0.00%
11 LSU 16.88% 5.20% 1.86% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
11 Gonzaga 32.90% 6.11% 1.41% 0.30% 0.01% 0.00%
11 Miami (FL) 37.93% 10.95% 2.06% 0.33% 0.05% 0.00%
11 UALR 30.65% 6.18% 0.98% 0.11% 0.01% 0.00%
12 WKU 26.88% 7.44% 0.19% 0.05% 0.01% 0.00%
12 Tulane 35.04% 8.26% 1.16% 0.21% 0.01% 0.00%
12 Quinnipiac 37.38% 10.44% 1.48% 0.35% 0.06% 0.00%
12 James Madison 34.35% 10.30% 1.74% 0.53% 0.11% 0.01%
13 Wichita State 17.46% 4.85% 0.10% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Albany 16.10% 6.01% 1.05% 0.23% 0.01% 0.00%
13 Cal State Northridge 15.43% 4.97% 0.50% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00%
13 Liberty 6.89% 0.86% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 BYU 12.66% 1.49% 0.29% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
14 South Dakota State 13.11% 4.91% 0.83% 0.12% 0.00% 0.00%
14 American 12.18% 3.10% 0.31% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Ohio 15.64% 5.92% 0.98% 0.12% 0.01% 0.00%
15 Tennessee State 4.79% 0.43% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Boise State 4.09% 1.23% 0.16% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Northwestern State 0.83% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Alabama State 0.68% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 St. Francis Brooklyn 0.16% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 New Mexico State 1.43% 0.10% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Montana 2.77% 0.55% 0.09% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Savannah State 0.85% 0.07% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
© Omni Rankings
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