Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/5/16 games
Colonial 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 2.80 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 James Madison 81.55 50 82.89 77.27 70.20 150 27 6 17 1 L1 9-1 14 0 10 3 3 3 0 4 7 1 20 1 at College of Charleston 88.37 at Hampton 71.20
2 Hofstra 77.02 91 79.41 72.87 70.61 142 25 9 13 5 L1 7-3 14 1 10 6 1 2 0 3 6 4 19 2 vs Buffalo 89.73 vs Northeastern 67.80
3 Drexel 75.86 104 76.51 71.18 71.37 121 19 14 13 5 L2 7-3 10 4 7 7 2 3 0 6 5 6 14 2 vs Elon 87.26 vs Montana 65.68
4 Elon 73.44 122 75.57 71.12 71.29 127 17 13 11 7 L2 5-5 9 3 8 9 0 1 0 4 3 4 14 5 at NC State 80.32 at Drexel 58.64
5 Delaware 70.49 155 75.19 69.74 70.08 155 16 15 10 8 L1 5-5 8 4 6 9 2 2 0 3 3 8 13 4 vs Lafayette 77.81 at Bucknell 58.30
6 Northeastern 70.48 156 74.77 66.82 71.19 132 15 16 9 9 L1 7-3 6 9 8 4 1 3 0 4 4 8 11 4 vs Maine 79.33 vs Boston College 61.75
7 William & Mary 65.39 220 69.60 64.54 66.44 252 15 15 6 12 L3 2-8 9 5 6 9 0 1 1 1 1 7 13 7 at College of Charleston 77.52 at UNC Wilmington 58.81
8 College of Charleston 64.32 233 65.14 59.42 69.78 166 11 20 5 13 L1 2-8 7 8 3 11 1 1 0 4 2 9 9 7 vs UNC Wilmington 75.24 vs William & Mary 50.32
9 Towson 60.89 271 63.33 57.63 69.64 174 7 24 3 15 L1 2-8 4 9 1 14 2 1 0 2 1 9 6 13 at Hofstra 69.92 vs Drexel 50.37
10 UNC Wilmington 59.04 290 65.44 59.04 70.79 141 6 23 3 15 L8 1-9 3 11 3 11 0 1 0 3 1 9 5 11 vs William & Mary 70.08 at College of Charleston 46.61
CAA top performances CAA surprise performances CAA upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Hofstra vs Buffalo W 79 - 36 89.73 1 Drexel vs Elon W 74 - 31 13.94 1 Towson vs Western Illinois W 83 - 77 17.45
2 James Madison at College of Charleston W 76 - 46 88.37 2 Hofstra vs Buffalo W 79 - 36 13.89 2 Towson vs Elon W 85 - 78 13.61
3 James Madison at UNC Wilmington W 77 - 41 88.25 3 College of Charleston vs UNC Wilmington W 68 - 24 13.29 3 Towson at Northeastern W 72 - 71 12.93
4 James Madison at Hofstra W 71 - 54 88.06 4 William & Mary at College of Charleston W 66 - 40 12.93 4 William & Mary vs James Madison W 65 - 59 OT 9.90
5 James Madison at Delaware W 65 - 43 87.95 5 Towson vs Western Illinois W 83 - 77 11.54 5 Elon at NC State W 69 - 66 9.22
6 Drexel vs Elon W 74 - 31 87.26 6 Towson vs Elon W 85 - 78 10.09 6 College of Charleston at Weber State W 50 - 42 8.85
7 James Madison at Richmond W 73 - 47 87.21 7 James Madison at Richmond W 73 - 47 9.94 7 Northeastern at Elon W 67 - 61 8.56
8 James Madison vs Davidson W 87 - 45 86.46 8 Drexel at Towson W 74 - 33 9.91 8 College of Charleston vs Drexel W 49 - 46 8.06
9 James Madison vs Delaware W 68 - 47 86.30 9 Hofstra vs Harvard W 76 - 50 9.24 9 Hofstra at Villanova W 82 - 74 7.73
10 James Madison vs Drexel W 60 - 46 86.03 10 Hofstra vs William & Mary W 75 - 45 8.70 10 Northeastern at Drexel W 73 - 65 OT 7.61
CAA standings CAA tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 James Madison
Rank Team W L W L  
1 James Madison 17 1 27 6 8 College of Charleston @ Upper Marlboro, MD James Madison
2 Hofstra 13 5 25 9      
3 Drexel 13 5 19 14 @ Upper Marlboro, MD College of Charleston  
4 Elon 11 7 17 13    
5 Delaware 10 8 16 15 9 UNC Wilmington @ Upper Marlboro, MD James Madison
6 Northeastern 9 9 15 16    
7 William & Mary 6 12 15 15 4 Elon    
8 College of Charleston 5 13 11 20      
9 Towson 3 15 7 24 @ Upper Marlboro, MD Delaware  
10 UNC Wilmington 3 15 6 23    
5 Delaware  
 
CAA tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ Upper Marlboro, MD James Madison
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket   2016 CAA
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Drexel   Women's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 James Madison 95.96% 77.94% 58.96% 7 William & Mary @ Upper Marlboro, MD Drexel  
2 Drexel 84.25% 47.19% 16.01%        
3 Hofstra 71.31% 39.43% 13.42% @ Upper Marlboro, MD Towson    
4 Elon 64.07% 15.61% 7.35%      
5 Delaware 35.93% 5.77% 1.95% 10 Towson @ Upper Marlboro, MD Drexel
6 Northeastern 28.69% 9.96% 1.84%  
7 William & Mary 13.21% 3.13% 0.37% 3 Hofstra  
8 College of Charleston 2.99% 0.56% 0.08%    
9 UNC Wilmington 1.05% 0.13% 0.01% @ Upper Marlboro, MD Northeastern
10 Towson 2.54% 0.29% 0.02%  
6 Northeastern © Omni Rankings