Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/5/16 games
Missouri Valley 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 2.80 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Drake 81.44 53 84.01 76.31 70.87 139 22 10 14 4 L1 6-4 11 3 9 6 2 1 0 2 7 6 15 2 at Wisconsin 88.14 at Northern Illinois 67.27
2 Missouri State 79.31 70 79.35 72.77 72.05 104 23 10 14 4 L1 8-2 9 4 10 4 4 2 0 4 7 6 16 0 vs Indiana State 86.03 vs Bradley 68.14
3 Northern Iowa 78.93 76 78.93 75.54 72.04 106 23 11 15 3 L1 8-2 10 4 9 5 4 2 1 2 9 7 13 2 vs Southern Illinois 86.03 vs Bradley 70.64
4 Southern Illinois 70.94 148 75.30 65.14 69.70 172 20 13 12 6 L2 6-4 10 5 9 7 1 1 0 1 4 8 16 4 at Drake 81.28 at Loyola (IL) 61.38
5 Loyola (IL) 68.71 177 71.47 63.17 71.90 108 14 16 10 8 L1 4-6 7 7 7 8 0 1 1 3 3 10 10 3 at DePaul 86.33 vs Western Michigan 54.78
6 Indiana State 67.02 193 70.44 65.70 69.60 175 13 17 9 9 L4 4-6 8 6 5 9 0 2 0 1 2 12 11 4 vs Drake 80.59 at Missouri State 57.87
7 Bradley 63.05 246 63.05 57.49 69.42 182 8 22 4 14 L1 3-7 4 9 3 12 1 1 0 1 0 12 8 9 at Iowa 69.86 at Evansville 53.32
8 Wichita State 61.57 260 73.41 61.56 69.56 176 8 22 5 13 L1 3-7 6 9 2 11 0 2 0 2 1 9 7 11 vs Prairie View 79.56 at Illinois State 52.56
9 Illinois State 59.24 286 61.32 54.20 69.11 188 8 22 6 12 L2 3-7 6 8 2 11 0 3 0 1 0 9 8 12 vs Wichita State 69.47 at UTSA 48.98
10 Evansville 57.97 299 64.96 57.97 70.44 145 3 28 1 17 L1 1-9 1 12 1 13 1 3 0 0 0 16 3 12 at Cleveland State 70.12 vs Murray State 48.81
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Drake at Wisconsin W 89 - 70 88.14 1 Loyola (IL) at DePaul W 88 - 75 20.87 1 Loyola (IL) at DePaul W 88 - 75 29.53
2 Drake vs Missouri State W 95 - 72 87.70 2 Illinois State vs Wichita State W 70 - 49 13.05 2 Indiana State vs Drake W 68 - 53 10.96
3 Drake vs Loyola (IL) W 91 - 61 87.60 3 Wichita State vs Prairie View W 64 - 36 12.97 3 Wichita State vs Southern Illinois W 57 - 48 9.53
4 Drake at Illinois State W 98 - 58 87.52 4 Indiana State vs Drake W 68 - 53 12.52 4 Indiana State at Tulsa W 67 - 63 9.01
5 Drake vs Sacred Heart W 95 - 59 87.35 5 Loyola (IL) vs Southern Illinois W 83 - 59 11.50 5 Southern Illinois at Drake W 77 - 67 7.92
6 Drake at Wichita State W 87 - 56 86.69 6 Missouri State vs Indiana State W 75 - 41 11.03 6 Loyola (IL) at Southern Illinois W 69 - 68 OT 7.74
7 Loyola (IL) at DePaul W 88 - 75 86.33 7 Drake at Wisconsin W 89 - 70 10.92 7 Northern Iowa at Drake W 79 - 73 7.50
8 Northern Iowa vs Southern Illinois W 67 - 43 86.03 8 Missouri State vs Marist W 77 - 45 10.79 8 Illinois State vs Indiana State W 73 - 62 7.10
9 Missouri State vs Indiana State W 75 - 41 86.03 9 Bradley at Iowa L 53 - 60 10.75 9 Wichita State vs Loyola (IL) W 65 - 62 OT 6.63
10 Drake vs Creighton W 81 - 72 85.87 10 Southern Illinois vs Morehead State W 102 - 69 10.46 10 Illinois State vs Wichita State W 70 - 49 6.40
MVC standings MVC tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Northern Iowa
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Northern Iowa 15 3 23 11 8 Wichita State @ Moline, IL Northern Iowa
2 Drake 14 4 22 10      
3 Missouri State 14 4 23 10 @ Moline, IL Bradley  
4 Southern Illinois 12 6 20 13    
5 Loyola (IL) 10 8 14 16 9 Bradley @ Moline, IL Northern Iowa
6 Indiana State 9 9 13 17    
7 Illinois State 6 12 8 22 4 Southern Illinois    
8 Wichita State 5 13 8 22      
9 Bradley 4 14 8 22 @ Moline, IL Southern Illinois  
10 Evansville 1 17 3 28    
5 Loyola (IL)  
 
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ Moline, IL Missouri State
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket   2016 MVC
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Drake   Women's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Northern Iowa 92.12% 69.17% 31.67% 7 Illinois State @ Moline, IL Drake  
2 Drake 96.47% 66.87% 44.76%        
3 Missouri State 79.40% 29.76% 15.91% @ Moline, IL Evansville    
4 Southern Illinois 60.44% 19.47% 4.96%      
5 Loyola (IL) 39.56% 9.71% 1.80% 10 Evansville @ Moline, IL Missouri State
6 Indiana State 20.60% 3.04% 0.75%  
7 Illinois State 1.94% 0.19% 0.02% 3 Missouri State  
8 Wichita State 4.00% 0.85% 0.06%    
9 Bradley 3.88% 0.81% 0.06% @ Moline, IL Missouri State
10 Evansville 1.59% 0.14% 0.01%  
6 Indiana State © Omni Rankings