Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/5/16 games
Patriot 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 2.80 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Army 82.56 38 83.24 73.53 65.43 276 28 3 17 1 L1 9-1 16 0 11 3 1 0 1 2 2 0 25 1 at Holy Cross 89.55 at Bucknell 71.65
2 Bucknell 70.39 158 72.59 67.59 65.36 278 25 8 17 1 L1 8-2 14 1 11 6 0 1 1 3 0 0 24 5 vs Delaware 82.71 at Morgan State 55.99
3 Lehigh 66.65 200 75.95 66.63 64.80 288 17 13 10 8 L1 4-6 9 6 8 7 0 0 0 3 1 3 16 7 vs Montana 82.62 at Colgate 59.48
4 Loyola (MD) 65.67 215 65.67 57.67 66.17 257 16 16 11 7 L1 7-3 8 6 7 10 1 0 0 4 0 2 16 10 vs Bucknell 73.50 vs Fairfield 50.44
5 Navy 64.62 227 71.15 62.40 64.61 293 14 15 9 9 L3 5-5 10 5 4 9 0 1 0 3 1 2 13 10 at Hofstra 73.14 vs Army 55.57
6 Holy Cross 63.88 236 71.30 63.88 66.10 260 13 17 10 8 L2 5-5 9 5 4 12 0 0 0 2 0 6 13 9 at Penn State 73.91 vs Army 57.66
7 American 61.83 257 69.74 61.45 67.45 227 8 23 6 13 L1 3-7 5 9 3 14 0 0 0 5 0 4 8 14 vs Boston University 71.35 vs Lafayette 55.24
8 Colgate 59.48 280 64.59 56.48 68.28 207 7 23 5 14 L1 3-7 4 11 3 12 0 0 0 5 0 2 7 16 at Lafayette 68.27 vs Boston University 46.92
9 Lafayette 57.76 302 64.33 57.76 65.14 283 6 23 4 15 L5 2-8 4 8 2 13 0 2 0 3 0 2 6 18 at American 66.48 at Wagner 51.45
10 Boston University 51.71 341 52.53 48.87 66.87 244 3 27 3 16 L5 2-8 2 13 1 14 0 0 0 3 0 2 3 22 at Colgate 61.92 at American 42.73
Patriot top performances Patriot surprise performances Patriot upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Army at Holy Cross W 80 - 49 89.55 1 Bucknell vs Delaware W 80 - 51 15.12 1 Boston University at Colgate W 71 - 58 11.18
2 Army vs Lehigh W 76 - 46 87.62 2 Boston University at Colgate W 71 - 58 11.69 2 Boston University vs American W 63 - 59 11.00
3 Army vs Navy W 75 - 38 86.99 3 Loyola (MD) at Colgate W 65 - 49 9.43 3 American at Lehigh W 59 - 55 10.72
4 Army vs Lehigh W 63 - 39 86.48 4 Bucknell vs Army W 79 - 69 9.37 4 Bucknell vs Army W 79 - 69 9.35
5 Army at Lehigh W 69 - 49 85.90 5 Loyola (MD) vs Bucknell W 65 - 53 9.31 5 Navy at Lehigh W 62 - 54 8.62
6 Army vs American W 87 - 51 85.75 6 Army at Holy Cross W 80 - 49 8.73 6 Boston University vs Navy W 51 - 49 8.48
7 Army at Lafayette W 78 - 45 85.55 7 Loyola (MD) vs Navy W 51 - 38 8.67 7 Lafayette at American W 60 - 51 8.32
8 Army at Boston University W 79 - 44 83.48 8 Lafayette at American W 60 - 51 8.38 8 Loyola (MD) vs Bucknell W 65 - 53 7.36
9 Army at NJIT W 71 - 35 82.90 9 Lehigh vs Montana W 80 - 53 8.34 9 Colgate vs Lehigh W 82 - 72 7.11
10 Army vs Loyola (MD) W 70 - 37 82.89 10 Colgate vs Lehigh W 82 - 72 8.25 10 Loyola (MD) at Holy Cross W 59 - 49 6.69
Patriot standings Patriot tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Army
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Army 17 1 28 3 8 Colgate @ West Point, NY Army
2 Bucknell 17 1 25 8      
3 Loyola (MD) 11 7 16 16 @ Hamilton, NY Colgate  
4 Lehigh 10 8 17 13    
5 Holy Cross 10 8 13 17 9 Lafayette @ West Point, NY Army
6 Navy 9 9 14 15    
7 American 6 13 8 23 4 Lehigh    
8 Colgate 5 14 7 23      
9 Lafayette 4 15 6 23 @ Bethlehem, PA Lehigh  
10 Boston University 3 16 3 27    
5 Holy Cross  
 
Patriot tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ West Point, NY Army
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket   2016 Patriot
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Bucknell   Women's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Army 98.19% 93.12% 84.59% 7 American @ Lewisburg, PA Bucknell  
2 Bucknell 89.08% 67.23% 10.65%        
3 Loyola (MD) 58.98% 16.61% 1.13% @ Washington, DC American    
4 Lehigh 67.49% 4.67% 1.89%      
5 Holy Cross 32.51% 1.74% 0.59% 10 Boston University @ Lewisburg, PA Loyola (MD)
6 Navy 41.02% 11.98% 0.85%  
7 American 10.51% 4.13% 0.20% 3 Loyola (MD)  
8 Colgate 1.29% 0.36% 0.07%    
9 Lafayette 0.51% 0.12% 0.02% @ Baltimore, MD Loyola (MD)
10 Boston University 0.41% 0.05% 0.00%  
6 Navy © Omni Rankings