Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/5/16 games
Southern 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 2.80 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Chattanooga 76.76 96 81.09 73.73 71.35 122 24 8 12 2 L1 9-1 14 1 6 7 4 0 0 6 6 1 18 1 at UNC Wilmington 86.07 at Mercer 62.07
2 Mercer 70.72 150 71.39 65.87 64.94 284 22 9 12 2 L2 7-3 10 3 9 4 3 2 0 2 1 6 21 1 vs Chattanooga 80.85 at Western Carolina 60.52
3 Samford 69.75 167 72.02 68.32 66.44 250 18 11 11 3 L1 7-3 7 2 9 8 2 1 0 2 2 7 16 2 vs UNCG 78.25 at Chattanooga 63.08
4 Furman 63.16 244 66.21 61.68 65.79 267 13 16 7 7 L1 4-6 7 5 5 10 1 1 0 1 0 8 13 7 at Richmond 72.54 at North Carolina Central 54.23
5 ETSU 62.66 251 68.92 61.43 66.39 253 13 14 8 6 L4 5-5 7 3 6 10 0 1 0 1 2 7 11 6 at Old Dominion 69.88 at Eastern Kentucky 54.95
6 Wofford 57.97 298 58.83 53.73 64.23 299 7 20 3 11 L3 2-8 6 6 1 13 0 1 0 0 0 6 7 14 vs UNCG 70.32 at Mercer 49.34
7 Western Carolina 56.71 309 56.71 47.84 65.77 268 4 22 3 11 L1 3-7 2 7 1 14 1 1 0 1 0 6 4 15 at Samford 62.53 at Eastern Kentucky 45.11
8 UNCG 53.86 330 64.45 53.86 64.48 295 6 21 0 14 L15 0-10 4 8 1 12 1 1 0 1 0 6 6 14 vs North Carolina Central 68.35 at Wofford 41.69
SoCon top performances SoCon surprise performances SoCon upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Chattanooga at UNC Wilmington W 61 - 33 86.07 1 Mercer vs Chattanooga W 67 - 44 14.25 1 Furman at Richmond W 69 - 62 9.46
2 Chattanooga vs UT Martin W 61 - 46 85.44 2 Wofford vs UNCG W 104 - 64 13.25 2 Samford at LSU W 47 - 44 9.23
3 Chattanooga vs East Carolina W 72 - 61 84.73 3 Wofford vs Jacksonville State W 66 - 54 8.77 3 Wofford at UNCG W 58 - 56 OT 8.89
4 Chattanooga at Tennessee L 57 - 59 83.29 4 Wofford vs Radford W 79 - 70 8.61 4 Wofford vs Radford W 79 - 70 8.78
5 Chattanooga vs Samford W 53 - 30 81.87 5 UNCG vs Maryland Eastern Shore W 71 - 51 8.52 5 ETSU at Davidson W 65 - 58 8.10
6 Chattanooga vs Mercer W 67 - 45 81.84 6 Furman at UNCG W 75 - 59 8.41 6 Mercer at Samford W 63 - 60 7.17
7 Chattanooga vs McNeese State W 68 - 53 81.20 7 Mercer vs UNCG W 81 - 47 8.29 7 Mercer vs Chattanooga W 67 - 44 6.92
8 Mercer vs Chattanooga W 67 - 44 80.85 8 Mercer vs Wofford W 80 - 32 8.06 8 ETSU at Mercer W 55 - 53 6.54
9 Chattanooga vs Butler W 60 - 49 80.35 9 Furman at Richmond W 69 - 62 8.02 9 ETSU at Old Dominion W 56 - 52 6.39
10 Chattanooga vs Arkansas State W 55 - 54 80.12 10 Chattanooga vs Samford W 53 - 30 7.88 10 Wofford vs Jacksonville State W 66 - 54 6.28
SoCon standings SoCon tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Mercer
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Chattanooga 12 2 24 8 @ Asheville, NC Mercer
2 Mercer 12 2 22 9    
3 Samford 11 3 18 11 8 UNCG  
4 ETSU 8 6 13 14  
5 Furman 7 7 13 16 @ Asheville, NC Mercer
6 Wofford 3 11 7 20    
7 Western Carolina 3 11 4 22 4 ETSU    
8 UNCG 0 14 6 21      
@ Asheville, NC Furman  
   
SoCon tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized 5 Furman  
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket  
Reaching Reaching Winning @ Asheville, NC Chattanooga
Seed Team semifinals final tournament   2016 SoCon
1 Mercer 91.87% 68.56% 24.81% 2 Chattanooga   Women's Basketball
2 Chattanooga 95.19% 73.85% 56.55%     Tournament Champion
3 Samford 83.30% 23.82% 12.93% @ Asheville, NC Chattanooga  
4 ETSU 47.81% 13.81% 2.31%      
5 Furman 52.19% 15.93% 2.85% 7 Western Carolina    
6 Wofford 16.70% 1.48% 0.31%    
7 Western Carolina 4.81% 0.86% 0.14% @ Asheville, NC Chattanooga
8 UNCG 8.13% 1.69% 0.10%  
3 Samford  
   
@ Asheville, NC Samford
 
6 Wofford © Omni Rankings