Omni Rankingsô 2015-2016 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/5/16 games
NCAA probabilities 15-16 14-15 13-14 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team final 32 final 16 quarterfinals semifinals final tournament
1 UConn 99.92% 99.25% 96.93% 93.95% 81.51% 73.01%
1 Baylor 98.18% 93.84% 85.49% 70.65% 14.32% 9.09%
1 South Carolina 98.07% 91.98% 74.56% 53.72% 29.08% 5.27%
1 Notre Dame 99.50% 90.35% 63.34% 35.97% 22.09% 4.14%
2 Texas 99.27% 81.59% 43.64% 2.19% 0.64% 0.21%
2 Oregon State 97.98% 87.86% 53.73% 15.09% 1.56% 0.65%
2 Arizona State 94.16% 67.04% 27.47% 8.67% 2.38% 0.17%
2 Maryland 98.28% 87.63% 64.61% 37.78% 23.70% 4.63%
3 UCLA 92.91% 65.98% 35.94% 1.81% 0.53% 0.18%
3 Louisville 97.69% 64.73% 28.98% 6.35% 0.49% 0.16%
3 Ohio State 96.70% 74.31% 49.97% 21.77% 8.59% 0.98%
3 Kentucky 97.80% 72.08% 25.80% 10.26% 3.61% 0.28%
4 Michigan State 88.42% 48.12% 1.69% 0.83% 0.22% 0.07%
4 Texas A&M 82.05% 47.52% 5.58% 1.72% 0.08% 0.02%
4 Syracuse 79.90% 63.32% 17.64% 7.99% 2.24% 0.16%
4 Stanford 94.65% 80.35% 30.66% 12.70% 5.86% 0.67%
5 Mississippi State 88.86% 48.30% 1.18% 0.46% 0.09% 0.02%
5 Florida State 79.56% 42.87% 6.40% 2.45% 0.15% 0.04%
5 Florida 50.93% 13.83% 2.04% 0.52% 0.07% 0.00%
5 Miami (FL) 67.97% 14.38% 2.62% 0.53% 0.12% 0.01%
6 USF 76.68% 28.76% 13.89% 0.57% 0.14% 0.04%
6 DePaul 76.45% 30.88% 13.63% 2.93% 0.22% 0.07%
6 West Virginia 57.64% 15.91% 8.25% 2.47% 0.64% 0.04%
6 Oklahoma 57.82% 17.51% 3.42% 0.75% 0.19% 0.01%
7 BYU 30.88% 3.46% 0.62% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
7 Oklahoma State 68.16% 9.41% 2.41% 0.24% 0.01% 0.00%
7 Tennessee 65.65% 23.87% 8.23% 2.17% 0.49% 0.03%
7 Washington 74.54% 10.60% 4.28% 1.10% 0.32% 0.02%
8 Seton Hall 48.93% 0.35% 0.09% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
8 St. John's 59.17% 3.73% 1.38% 0.30% 0.01% 0.00%
8 George Washington 51.94% 4.05% 1.34% 0.30% 0.04% 0.00%
8 Georgia 52.52% 5.27% 1.56% 0.30% 0.07% 0.00%
9 Duquesne 51.07% 0.39% 0.10% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
9 Auburn 40.83% 1.90% 0.55% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00%
9 Kansas State 48.06% 3.52% 1.11% 0.24% 0.03% 0.00%
9 Indiana 47.48% 4.36% 1.20% 0.22% 0.05% 0.00%
10 Missouri 69.12% 14.92% 4.82% 0.12% 0.02% 0.00%
10 St. Bonaventure 31.84% 2.39% 0.33% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
10 Green Bay 34.35% 8.26% 1.81% 0.30% 0.04% 0.00%
10 Penn 25.46% 1.51% 0.30% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
11 Colorado State 23.32% 4.00% 0.92% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
11 James Madison 23.55% 4.27% 0.90% 0.08% 0.00% 0.00%
11 Princeton 42.36% 9.44% 4.18% 1.03% 0.21% 0.01%
11 Purdue 42.18% 10.27% 1.58% 0.27% 0.06% 0.00%
12 Chattanooga 11.14% 1.72% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
12 Middle Tennessee 20.44% 5.12% 0.28% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
12 Albany 49.07% 12.99% 1.86% 0.47% 0.06% 0.00%
12 South Dakota State 32.03% 3.90% 0.55% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00%
13 Belmont 11.58% 1.86% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Missouri State 17.95% 4.50% 0.23% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Army 20.10% 9.86% 1.39% 0.34% 0.05% 0.00%
13 San Francisco 5.35% 1.37% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Hawai'i 7.09% 1.26% 0.17% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Central Arkansas 2.31% 0.12% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Buffalo 3.30% 0.35% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 UNC Asheville 2.20% 0.14% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Alabama State 0.73% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Troy 2.02% 0.34% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 New Mexico State 5.84% 0.82% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Iona 1.72% 0.26% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Robert Morris 0.08% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Idaho 1.82% 0.54% 0.10% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Jacksonville 1.93% 0.45% 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 North Carolina A&T 0.50% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
© Omni Rankings