Omni Rankingsô 2016-2017 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/2/17 games
Patriot 16-17 15-16 14-15 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 2.57 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Bucknell 74.37 110 77.60 73.81 67.68 219 27 6 16 2 L1 9-1 16 0 11 6 0 0 0 2 7 1 20 3 at Colgate 84.51 at Holy Cross 64.09
2 Navy 73.31 122 74.38 67.88 68.13 209 23 10 14 4 L1 6-4 12 2 10 7 1 1 0 1 4 6 19 3 vs Lehigh 80.42 vs Colgate 62.71
3 Army 71.87 138 78.83 71.39 64.70 288 21 9 12 6 L1 7-3 12 3 9 5 0 1 0 0 0 7 21 2 at Delaware 80.95 vs Lafayette 64.94
4 American 69.25 172 72.44 67.21 68.15 208 15 16 11 7 L1 5-5 10 4 5 10 0 2 0 2 3 6 12 8 vs Bucknell 78.29 vs William & Mary 63.32
5 Boston University 66.01 205 66.01 54.35 67.25 232 13 17 11 7 L1 6-4 8 6 5 10 0 1 0 1 1 9 12 7 at Army 72.33 vs Dartmouth 51.94
6 Loyola (MD) 65.18 216 68.48 61.44 66.65 247 11 20 6 12 L1 2-8 8 8 3 12 0 0 0 1 1 9 10 10 vs Lehigh 73.96 at Lehigh 56.41
7 Colgate 62.18 264 64.61 61.49 66.88 245 10 20 7 11 L3 4-6 7 5 3 15 0 0 0 2 1 7 9 11 at Navy 72.79 vs Bucknell 53.78
8 Lehigh 59.73 286 67.99 59.73 66.03 269 9 20 5 13 L1 4-6 7 8 2 12 0 0 0 1 0 9 9 10 at Mount St. Mary's 70.40 vs Norfolk State 48.74
9 Holy Cross 59.06 293 64.48 58.80 66.29 259 8 22 6 12 L3 3-7 5 10 3 12 0 0 0 2 1 6 7 14 vs Bucknell 72.78 vs Boston University 49.22
10 Lafayette 57.77 304 61.50 54.19 69.65 163 4 28 2 16 L1 3-7 1 11 3 14 0 3 0 1 0 14 4 13 at Army 67.51 at Loyola (MD) 48.26
Patriot top performances Patriot surprise performances Patriot upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Bucknell at Colgate W 79 - 49 84.51 1 Lafayette at Holy Cross W 85 - 70 12.63 1 Holy Cross at American W 61 - 60 13.88
2 Bucknell vs Drexel W 78 - 66 82.88 2 Holy Cross vs Bucknell W 63 - 51 11.59 2 American vs George Washington W 66 - 61 OT 13.56
3 Bucknell at St. Bonaventure W 57 - 35 82.82 3 Boston University at Holy Cross W 66 - 49 11.43 3 Colgate at Navy W 69 - 61 13.03
4 Bucknell at Akron W 61 - 47 80.97 4 Loyola (MD) vs Lehigh W 78 - 50 10.90 4 Holy Cross vs Bucknell W 63 - 51 11.92
5 Army at Delaware W 61 - 47 80.95 5 Lafayette at Army L 73 - 76 3OT 10.34 5 Lafayette at Holy Cross W 85 - 70 11.17
6 Navy vs Lehigh W 79 - 44 80.42 6 Colgate at Navy W 69 - 61 10.27 6 Boston University at Army W 66 - 62 10.84
7 Bucknell vs Holy Cross W 77 - 48 79.80 7 Bucknell at Colgate W 79 - 49 10.25 7 Navy at George Washington W 61 - 51 OT 9.50
8 Bucknell at Navy W 63 - 54 79.58 8 Loyola (MD) at Holy Cross W 56 - 37 9.76 8 Colgate at Brown W 67 - 62 8.68
9 Navy vs Loyola (MD) W 77 - 51 79.54 9 Lehigh vs Loyola (MD) W 86 - 69 9.31 9 Holy Cross vs American W 51 - 46 8.66
10 Bucknell at Lehigh W 77 - 58 79.41 10 Navy vs Lehigh W 79 - 44 9.16 10 Boston University at Lehigh W 69 - 64 8.08
Patriot standings Patriot tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Bucknell
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Bucknell 16 2 27 6 8 Loyola (MD) @ Lewisburg, PA Bucknell
2 Navy 14 4 23 10      
3 Army 12 6 21 9 @ Baltimore, MD Loyola (MD)  
4 American 11 7 15 16    
5 Boston University 11 7 13 17 9 Lehigh @ Lewisburg, PA Bucknell
6 Colgate 7 11 10 20    
7 Loyola (MD) 6 12 11 20 4 American    
8 Holy Cross 6 12 8 22      
9 Lehigh 5 13 9 20 @ Washington, DC American  
10 Lafayette 2 16 4 28    
5 Boston University  
 
Patriot tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ Lewisburg, PA Bucknell
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket   2017 Patriot
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Navy   Women's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Bucknell 91.22% 73.66% 52.25% 7 Holy Cross @ Annapolis, MD Navy  
2 Navy 91.86% 50.96% 20.30%        
3 Army 87.40% 45.22% 17.46% @ Worcester, MA Lafayette    
4 American 70.95% 18.44% 7.46%      
5 Boston University 29.05% 5.30% 1.54% 10 Lafayette @ Annapolis, MD Navy
6 Colgate 12.60% 2.54% 0.34%  
7 Holy Cross 6.15% 1.04% 0.11% 3 Army  
8 Loyola (MD) 6.27% 1.96% 0.42%    
9 Lehigh 2.50% 0.64% 0.11% @ West Point, NY Army
10 Lafayette 1.99% 0.25% 0.02%  
6 Colgate © Omni Rankings