Omni Rankingsô 2016-2017 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/2/17 games
NCAA probabilities 16-17 15-16 14-15 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team final 32 final 16 quarterfinals semifinals final tournament
1 UConn 99.57% 95.06% 88.74% 77.64% 55.85% 44.02%
1 Baylor 99.83% 95.88% 79.75% 58.84% 26.29% 17.92%
1 Notre Dame 99.47% 92.01% 70.78% 44.37% 26.46% 9.49%
1 South Carolina 99.69% 89.79% 75.70% 47.25% 28.36% 10.16%
2 Duke 99.13% 83.98% 38.28% 6.31% 2.12% 0.87%
2 Mississippi State 96.76% 78.53% 37.55% 12.06% 2.79% 1.18%
2 Stanford 96.32% 75.05% 55.14% 30.91% 15.10% 4.05%
2 Oregon State 96.98% 86.09% 32.44% 11.76% 4.34% 0.79%
3 Maryland 97.65% 85.13% 54.19% 11.56% 4.86% 2.44%
3 Washington 97.97% 88.64% 54.04% 20.17% 5.53% 2.67%
3 Texas 96.75% 80.31% 33.07% 12.23% 4.67% 0.90%
3 Florida State 95.02% 83.79% 61.25% 33.50% 15.94% 4.06%
4 UCLA 94.37% 77.49% 8.13% 3.15% 0.85% 0.28%
4 Louisville 94.03% 74.38% 16.33% 6.75% 1.26% 0.45%
4 Kentucky 89.83% 54.65% 16.24% 6.33% 1.75% 0.23%
4 Miami (FL) 90.57% 71.96% 16.34% 4.86% 1.33% 0.17%
5 Texas A&M 75.98% 18.62% 0.93% 0.19% 0.02% 0.00%
5 Tennessee 76.25% 21.41% 2.68% 0.69% 0.07% 0.02%
5 Ohio State 78.01% 38.45% 9.99% 3.47% 1.08% 0.16%
5 Marquette 71.68% 20.84% 2.65% 0.46% 0.07% 0.00%
6 West Virginia 64.74% 10.84% 3.55% 0.29% 0.05% 0.01%
6 Oklahoma 50.97% 5.70% 1.58% 0.22% 0.01% 0.00%
6 NC State 65.74% 14.53% 3.35% 0.63% 0.12% 0.01%
6 Missouri 56.15% 8.97% 2.81% 0.51% 0.09% 0.01%
7 Temple 43.76% 6.20% 1.09% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00%
7 DePaul 80.77% 19.42% 5.53% 0.97% 0.12% 0.03%
7 Kansas State 73.88% 20.95% 6.96% 1.35% 0.27% 0.02%
7 Creighton 62.75% 9.51% 1.35% 0.17% 0.02% 0.00%
8 Syracuse 66.63% 3.87% 1.81% 0.55% 0.11% 0.03%
8 LSU 42.51% 1.47% 0.33% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
8 Green Bay 44.00% 3.09% 0.83% 0.15% 0.02% 0.00%
8 Arizona State 55.78% 6.20% 3.13% 0.79% 0.18% 0.02%
9 Iowa State 33.37% 1.04% 0.33% 0.06% 0.01% 0.00%
9 California 57.49% 2.64% 0.73% 0.13% 0.01% 0.00%
9 Purdue 56.00% 4.86% 1.54% 0.32% 0.06% 0.00%
9 Michigan State 44.22% 4.00% 1.80% 0.38% 0.07% 0.01%
10 Oregon 56.24% 9.78% 2.08% 0.14% 0.02% 0.00%
10 Northern Iowa 19.23% 1.56% 0.15% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
10 Drake 26.12% 3.50% 0.74% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00%
10 Toledo 37.25% 3.77% 0.36% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
11 Elon 35.26% 3.67% 0.79% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
11 Gonzaga 49.03% 5.31% 1.09% 0.11% 0.01% 0.00%
11 Auburn 34.26% 4.66% 0.68% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00%
11 USF 43.85% 5.82% 1.55% 0.24% 0.03% 0.00%
12 Penn 24.02% 2.54% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
12 Dayton 23.75% 2.91% 0.14% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
12 WKU 21.99% 5.19% 0.52% 0.07% 0.01% 0.00%
12 Quinnipiac 28.32% 4.33% 0.25% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Boise State 5.63% 1.35% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Chattanooga 5.97% 1.30% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Belmont 10.17% 1.71% 0.09% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
13 FGCU 9.43% 2.88% 0.14% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Bucknell 2.35% 0.36% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Montana State 2.03% 0.34% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Central Arkansas 3.25% 0.49% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Western Illinois 4.98% 1.42% 0.22% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Hampton 0.87% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Troy 3.24% 0.50% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 New Mexico State 3.68% 0.50% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Long Beach State 3.02% 0.63% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Albany 0.43% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Texas Southern 0.17% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Robert Morris 0.53% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 UNC Asheville 0.31% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
© Omni Rankings