Omni Rankingsô 2017-2018 Women's college basketball ratings through 12/9/17 games
Missouri Valley 17-18 16-17 15-16 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 2.97 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Northern Iowa 77.88 76 81.51 77.88 78.89 16 2 6 0 0 L4   1 1 0 5 1 0 0 2 2 3 0 1 vs Wyoming 84.83 at Omaha 72.44
2 Drake 74.02 116 76.55 72.42 72.98 102 4 5 0 0 L2   3 2 0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 2 0 vs Liberty 81.60 vs George Mason 68.85
3 Missouri State 70.70 154 70.97 68.46 78.81 17 1 6 0 0 W1   1 1 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 2 1 2 vs Wichita State 79.21 at Wichita State 65.57
4 Southern Illinois 67.60 193 68.14 65.95 65.71 296 4 3 0 0 W1   1 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 at Marshall 70.23 at Morehead State 63.66
5 Bradley 67.34 197 67.94 65.34 65.85 292 4 3 0 0 W2   2 0 1 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 4 2 vs Omaha 72.26 at Northern Illinois 61.89
6 Illinois State 64.34 231 64.34 56.97 69.44 197 3 4 0 0 L2   3 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 0 vs SIUE 72.56 at Oakland 57.17
7 Indiana State 62.47 263 66.31 61.61 71.62 144 1 7 0 0 L4   0 3 0 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 1 3 vs Saint Louis 69.49 at Illinois 52.30
8 Valparaiso 58.55 297 61.09 58.55 65.61 297 2 4 0 0 L1   1 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 at Miami (OH) 62.51 at Liberty 54.10
9 Loyola (IL) 51.96 334 51.96 47.27 69.14 208 1 7 0 0 L2   0 2 1 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 1 2 at Northern Illinois 60.51 vs Youngstown State 41.85
10 Evansville 50.40 339 58.29 49.16 65.97 286 1 5 0 0 L5   1 0 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 3 at Austin Peay 53.86 at Eastern Illinois 42.80
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Northern Iowa vs Wyoming W 55 - 40 84.83 1 Illinois State vs SIUE W 62 - 47 11.88 1 Illinois State vs SIUE W 62 - 47 9.69
2 Northern Iowa at Creighton L 78 - 89 2OT 81.71 2 Missouri State vs Wichita State W 94 - 71 10.75 2 Southern Illinois at Southeast Missouri W 79 - 74 OT 5.72
3 Drake vs Liberty W 96 - 68 81.60 3 Loyola (IL) at Chicago State W 46 - 28 10.75 3 Loyola (IL) at Chicago State W 46 - 28 4.60
4 Northern Iowa vs Iowa State W 57 - 53 80.97 4 Loyola (IL) at Northern Illinois L 71 - 80 10.68 4 Southern Illinois at Marshall W 64 - 59 1.93
5 Missouri State vs Wichita State W 94 - 71 79.21 5 Illinois State at Milwaukee L 59 - 61 OT 7.27 5 Northern Iowa vs Iowa State W 57 - 53 1.00
6 Northern Iowa vs IUPUI L 48 - 54 78.55 6 Drake vs Liberty W 96 - 68 7.09 6 Evansville vs Murray State W 89 - 81 0.78
7 Drake vs Mississippi Valley W 96 - 60 78.19 7 Indiana State vs Montana W 57 - 45 5.84 7 Indiana State vs Montana W 57 - 45 0.43
8 Northern Iowa at South Dakota State L 47 - 57 77.78 8 Drake vs Mississippi Valley W 96 - 60 5.77 8 Drake vs Iowa State W 83 - 80 0.40
9 Northern Iowa at North Dakota L 72 - 80 76.58 9 Illinois State vs Northern Kentucky W 49 - 37 5.27 9      
10 Northern Iowa at UCF L 43 - 53 76.51 10 Northern Iowa vs Wyoming W 55 - 40 4.77 10      
MVC projected standings MVC tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
Conference Overall 1 Northern Iowa
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Northern Iowa 15 3 17 11 8 Valparaiso @ Moline, IL Northern Iowa
2 Drake 13 5 18 11      
3 Missouri State 12 6 14 14 @ Moline, IL Valparaiso  
4 Southern Illinois 10 8 16 12    
5 Bradley 10 8 15 13 9 Loyola (IL) @ Moline, IL Northern Iowa
6 Illinois State 9 9 13 15    
7 Indiana State 8 10 9 19 4 Southern Illinois    
8 Valparaiso 6 12 10 17      
9 Loyola (IL) 3 15 5 24 @ Moline, IL Southern Illinois  
10 Evansville 3 15 4 23    
5 Bradley  
 
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized @ Moline, IL Northern Iowa
Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket   2018 MVC
Reaching Reaching Winning 2 Drake   Women's Basketball
Seed Team semifinals final tournament     Tournament Champion
1 Northern Iowa 93.24% 73.27% 49.83% 7 Indiana State @ Moline, IL Drake  
2 Drake 83.48% 54.65% 25.59%        
3 Missouri State 68.84% 31.34% 11.79% @ Moline, IL Indiana State    
4 Southern Illinois 50.84% 12.95% 4.96%      
5 Bradley 49.16% 12.25% 4.60% 10 Evansville @ Moline, IL Drake
6 Illinois State 31.16% 8.93% 2.02%  
7 Indiana State 15.64% 4.99% 0.95% 3 Missouri State  
8 Valparaiso 5.64% 1.39% 0.24%    
9 Loyola (IL) 1.12% 0.14% 0.01% @ Moline, IL Missouri State
10 Evansville 0.88% 0.08% 0.00%  
6 Illinois State © Omni Rankings