Omni Rankingsô 2017-2018 Women's college basketball ratings through 12/9/17 games
NCAA probabilities 17-18 16-17 15-16 -5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Seed Team final 32 final 16 quarterfinals semifinals final tournament
1 UConn 99.81% 97.74% 92.83% 82.45% 72.35% 60.82%
1 Texas 97.82% 86.56% 64.34% 38.55% 8.66% 4.24%
1 Baylor 99.14% 91.33% 70.47% 48.67% 30.89% 10.19%
1 Notre Dame 98.76% 89.08% 70.42% 45.97% 25.73% 7.74%
2 Oregon 94.18% 80.34% 47.95% 8.25% 4.35% 1.97%
2 South Carolina 97.33% 84.82% 62.34% 36.00% 7.86% 3.76%
2 Louisville 93.69% 71.14% 45.83% 21.34% 11.13% 2.75%
2 Mississippi State 97.12% 82.59% 54.19% 27.18% 12.82% 3.08%
3 Florida State 93.22% 77.68% 40.87% 6.34% 3.12% 1.31%
3 UCLA 88.16% 64.83% 23.69% 9.31% 1.16% 0.35%
3 Ohio State 92.35% 75.16% 38.23% 14.78% 6.49% 1.27%
3 Green Bay 88.61% 65.34% 31.09% 13.33% 4.23% 0.63%
4 Oregon State 80.12% 51.98% 3.52% 1.18% 0.38% 0.10%
4 Maryland 87.83% 62.73% 21.86% 8.71% 1.06% 0.31%
4 Tennessee 89.28% 68.07% 21.12% 9.76% 3.94% 0.70%
4 Arizona State 86.68% 60.10% 17.12% 6.55% 1.95% 0.27%
5 West Virginia 71.99% 33.93% 2.28% 0.76% 0.24% 0.06%
5 USC 65.14% 24.94% 6.99% 2.27% 0.21% 0.05%
5 Stanford 68.40% 22.54% 4.71% 1.56% 0.44% 0.05%
5 Oklahoma State 67.39% 27.67% 6.74% 2.24% 0.57% 0.07%
6 Villanova 59.83% 13.58% 3.93% 0.27% 0.07% 0.01%
6 Duke 62.32% 22.11% 5.99% 1.76% 0.15% 0.03%
6 Elon 60.05% 15.15% 4.63% 0.97% 0.23% 0.02%
6 Iowa 62.96% 22.19% 6.45% 1.66% 0.38% 0.04%
7 Michigan State 57.07% 11.23% 3.51% 0.24% 0.06% 0.01%
7 USF 56.49% 9.05% 3.71% 0.99% 0.07% 0.01%
7 Utah 68.28% 21.66% 7.49% 1.56% 0.38% 0.04%
7 NC State 59.26% 11.19% 4.24% 1.06% 0.23% 0.02%
8 Kentucky 51.25% 1.18% 0.57% 0.17% 0.04% 0.01%
8 Georgia Tech 52.21% 7.07% 2.65% 0.66% 0.04% 0.01%
8 UC Davis 51.07% 4.46% 1.43% 0.34% 0.07% 0.01%
8 Rutgers 49.75% 5.34% 2.05% 0.50% 0.09% 0.01%
9 South Dakota State 48.75% 1.07% 0.41% 0.09% 0.02% 0.00%
9 WKU 47.79% 6.04% 2.14% 0.50% 0.03% 0.00%
9 Missouri 48.93% 4.12% 1.28% 0.30% 0.06% 0.00%
9 California 50.25% 5.44% 2.10% 0.52% 0.09% 0.01%
10 Georgia 42.93% 6.87% 1.78% 0.10% 0.02% 0.00%
10 Michigan 43.51% 5.70% 2.00% 0.44% 0.03% 0.00%
10 FGCU 31.72% 6.01% 1.61% 0.25% 0.04% 0.00%
10 St. John's 40.74% 5.79% 1.74% 0.33% 0.05% 0.00%
11 Minnesota 40.17% 6.88% 1.52% 0.08% 0.01% 0.00%
11 IUPUI 37.68% 9.76% 1.85% 0.38% 0.02% 0.00%
11 Virginia Tech 39.95% 7.61% 1.78% 0.27% 0.05% 0.00%
11 Belmont 37.04% 9.36% 1.87% 0.33% 0.05% 0.00%
12 New Mexico 28.01% 7.59% 0.22% 0.04% 0.01% 0.00%
12 Marquette 34.86% 9.10% 1.64% 0.35% 0.02% 0.00%
12 Buffalo 31.60% 6.26% 0.72% 0.14% 0.02% 0.00%
12 Texas A&M 32.61% 8.66% 1.23% 0.25% 0.04% 0.00%
13 Princeton 19.88% 6.50% 0.18% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Saint Mary's 12.17% 3.24% 0.35% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Mercer 10.72% 3.13% 0.26% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Dayton 13.32% 3.58% 0.33% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Northern Iowa 6.78% 1.86% 0.23% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Northern Colorado 11.84% 3.30% 0.37% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Troy 7.65% 2.08% 0.28% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Quinnipiac 11.39% 3.11% 0.37% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Navy 5.82% 1.57% 0.22% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Hampton 2.67% 0.44% 0.05% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Maine 6.31% 1.19% 0.15% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
15 Central Arkansas 2.88% 0.44% 0.04% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Southern 0.19% 0.02% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Robert Morris 2.18% 0.33% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Seattle U 0.86% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Campbell 1.24% 0.14% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
© Omni Rankings