Omni Rankings™ 2023-2024 Women's college basketball ratings through 4/7/24 games
Missouri Valley
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Women's basketball home NCAA bracket WNIT bracket
Team ratings (1-360) NCAA probabilities WNIT probabilities
#REF!
Home court factor = 2.23 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Drake 81.51 60 89.01 80.71 71.66 109 29 6 19 1 L1 9-1 15 2 11 3 3 1 1 3 13 3 15 0 vs Iowa State 92.83 vs Evansville 71.25
2 Belmont 78.94 72 84.74 77.63 72.81 98 26 9 17 3 L1 8-2 13 2 11 5 2 2 1 4 10 5 15 0 vs Georgia 92.95 at Missouri State 69.79
3 Northern Iowa 78.03 80 84.57 72.28 73.37 88 16 16 14 6 L2 7-3 9 4 6 9 1 3 0 4 5 11 11 1 vs Green Bay 87.60 vs South Dakota State 67.83
4 Missouri State 76.53 97 76.53 66.35 70.10 140 23 10 15 5 L2 6-4 14 1 7 8 2 1 0 1 8 8 15 1 vs Belmont 85.16 at Oklahoma State 61.93
5 Murray State 74.54 117 77.15 72.05 67.84 211 19 12 12 8 L2 5-5 9 4 9 7 1 1 0 1 2 10 17 1 vs Illinois State 88.52 at Western Carolina 66.12
6 Illinois State 72.10 142 78.50 71.97 69.45 159 21 12 13 7 L1 6-4 13 2 6 9 2 1 0 2 5 9 16 1 vs Southern Illinois 84.46 at Murray State 59.53
7 UIC 69.49 163 75.07 69.19 67.56 221 18 16 10 10 L2 4-6 8 5 8 9 2 2 0 0 2 12 16 4 at Indiana State 81.95 vs Murray State 61.82
8 Southern Illinois 64.97 223 71.01 64.97 68.53 191 11 20 6 14 L1 4-6 6 10 3 8 2 2 0 1 1 13 10 6 vs SIUE 75.26 at Missouri State 55.15
9 Indiana State 61.14 262 63.86 59.71 68.47 193 11 20 6 14 L1 3-7 3 9 6 9 2 2 0 0 0 14 11 6 vs Belmont 68.88 vs UIC 53.77
10 Valparaiso 58.74 299 58.74 53.91 67.69 218 5 25 4 16 L8 1-9 2 10 3 13 0 2 0 0 0 11 5 14 vs Bradley 66.00 vs Bethune-Cookman 47.72
11 Bradley 54.60 333 59.52 54.22 68.55 189 5 26 2 18 L11 0-10 3 11 1 13 1 2 0 0 0 14 5 12 at Illinois State 65.59 at Valparaiso 45.99
12 Evansville 53.81 338 55.02 50.41 68.60 187 4 28 2 18 L8 2-8 2 13 2 14 0 1 0 2 0 12 4 14 at Drake 64.21 at Southeast Missouri 43.41
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Belmont vs Georgia W 76 - 50  92.95 1 Belmont vs Georgia W 76 - 50  14.36 1 Valparaiso at UIC W 71 - 70  17.83
2 Drake vs Iowa State W 85 - 73  92.83 2 Evansville at Drake L 68 - 78  13.80 2 Evansville vs Southern Illinois W 93 - 89 OT 12.88
3 Belmont vs Middle Tennessee W 71 - 57  89.90 3 Murray State vs Illinois State W 90 - 55  13.64 3 Bradley vs Southern Illinois W 58 - 56  9.65
4 Drake vs St. Thomas (MN) W 94 - 69  89.44 4 Illinois State vs Southern Illinois W 76 - 43  12.49 4 Evansville at Valparaiso W 71 - 68  8.11
5 Drake at UIC W 82 - 62  89.24 5 Missouri State vs Belmont W 73 - 54  11.65 5 Northern Iowa vs Green Bay W 78 - 67  7.56
6 Murray State vs Illinois State W 90 - 55  88.52 6 Valparaiso vs Bradley W 79 - 55  11.19 6 Southern Illinois at UIC W 69 - 65 OT 6.87
7 Drake at North Dakota W 108 - 60  88.10 7 Northern Iowa vs Illinois State W 74 - 47  10.77 7 Missouri State vs BYU W 56 - 55  6.49
8 Northern Iowa vs Green Bay W 78 - 67  87.60 8 Northern Iowa at UIC W 65 - 43  10.54 8 Illinois State vs Drake W 79 - 70  6.31
9 Drake at Southern Illinois W 78 - 59  87.52 9 Missouri State vs Southern Illinois W 77 - 42  10.12 9 Indiana State vs Southern Illinois W 66 - 54  6.11
10 Belmont at Ball State W 77 - 59  87.47 10 UIC at Indiana State W 76 - 48  10.08 10 Missouri State vs Belmont W 73 - 54  5.69
MVC projected standings MVC projected tournament bracket (projections in italics)
Conference Overall 1 Drake
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Drake 19 1 29 6 8 Southern Illinois @ Moline, IL Drake
2 Belmont 17 3 26 9      
3 Missouri State 15 5 23 10 @ Moline, IL Indiana State  
4 Northern Iowa 14 6 16 16    
5 Illinois State 13 7 21 12 9 Indiana State @ Moline, IL Drake
6 Murray State 12 8 19 12    
7 UIC 10 10 18 16 4 Northern Iowa    
8 Southern Illinois 6 14 11 20      
9 Indiana State 6 14 11 20 5 Illinois State @ Moline, IL Northern Iowa  
10 Valparaiso 4 16 5 25      
11 Bradley 2 18 5 26 @ Moline, IL Illinois State  
12 Evansville 2 18 4 28    
12 Evansville @ Moline, IL Drake
  2024 MVC
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized 2 Belmont   Women's Basketball
Probabilities based on current ratings and projected bracket     Tournament Champion
Reaching Reaching Winning 7 UIC @ Moline, IL Belmont  
Seed Team semifinals final tournament        
1 Drake 92.54% 62.84% 42.78% @ Moline, IL UIC    
2 Belmont 81.77% 54.74% 25.23%      
3 Missouri State 55.03% 22.09% 6.91% 10 Valparaiso @ Moline, IL Missouri State
4 Northern Iowa 69.39% 28.08% 15.68%  
5 Illinois State 30.45% 7.83% 3.00% 3 Missouri State  
6 Murray State 44.58% 16.99% 5.00%    
7 UIC 17.52% 6.10% 1.17% 6 Murray State @ Moline, IL Missouri State
8 Southern Illinois 6.32% 1.15% 0.22%    
9 Indiana State 1.14% 0.10% 0.01% @ Moline, IL Murray State
10 Valparaiso 0.71% 0.06% 0.00%  
11 Bradley 0.40% 0.02% 0.00% 11 Bradley
12 Evansville 0.16% 0.00% 0.00% © Omni Rankings