| Omni Rankings™ | 2023-2024 Women's college basketball ratings | through 4/7/24 games | |||||||||||||||||
| NCAA probabilities | |||||||||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | ||||||||||||||
| Seed | Team | final 32 | final 16 | quarterfinals | semifinals | final | tournament | ||||||||||||
| 1 | South Carolina | 99.53% | 90.49% | 80.26% | 65.12% | 50.91% | 33.97% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Texas | 98.19% | 84.62% | 61.61% | 38.87% | 15.57% | 6.96% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Iowa | 99.41% | 82.51% | 62.45% | 36.12% | 18.89% | 9.08% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | USC | 98.18% | 76.69% | 51.69% | 17.41% | 6.97% | 2.35% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Ohio State | 95.47% | 61.29% | 17.29% | 9.79% | 3.73% | 1.19% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | UCLA | 96.20% | 80.00% | 47.08% | 26.45% | 12.92% | 5.77% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Stanford | 97.21% | 75.13% | 49.66% | 27.17% | 9.82% | 3.96% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Notre Dame | 96.42% | 77.47% | 53.93% | 18.16% | 9.89% | 4.02% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Oregon State | 89.55% | 61.83% | 27.30% | 6.62% | 2.74% | 0.80% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | NC State | 95.15% | 59.99% | 27.03% | 11.62% | 3.11% | 0.92% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | LSU | 95.39% | 78.13% | 42.85% | 23.30% | 10.97% | 4.71% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | UConn | 98.20% | 89.86% | 71.83% | 58.14% | 38.74% | 22.58% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Virginia Tech | 78.22% | 38.96% | 15.20% | 3.11% | 0.76% | 0.15% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Kansas State | 85.05% | 40.15% | 11.21% | 3.24% | 0.85% | 0.19% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Gonzaga | 91.53% | 53.23% | 19.11% | 8.09% | 1.92% | 0.50% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Indiana | 90.03% | 55.46% | 9.67% | 4.00% | 1.47% | 0.37% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Oklahoma | 73.00% | 35.44% | 5.21% | 1.89% | 0.60% | 0.13% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Utah | 77.14% | 39.76% | 13.60% | 5.49% | 1.23% | 0.30% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Colorado | 84.68% | 53.51% | 18.60% | 6.72% | 2.19% | 0.63% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Baylor | 77.52% | 48.33% | 21.83% | 5.40% | 1.60% | 0.39% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Syracuse | 43.42% | 3.73% | 0.94% | 0.26% | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Louisville | 56.52% | 12.84% | 3.28% | 0.81% | 0.17% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Tennessee | 77.34% | 34.83% | 13.34% | 4.85% | 1.06% | 0.26% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Nebraska | 63.14% | 25.24% | 7.84% | 1.25% | 0.35% | 0.07% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Ole Miss | 60.40% | 14.85% | 6.08% | 0.91% | 0.24% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Iowa State | 52.58% | 13.39% | 5.12% | 1.48% | 0.25% | 0.05% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Creighton | 58.73% | 12.54% | 3.46% | 0.87% | 0.18% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Duke | 81.35% | 35.20% | 7.82% | 3.74% | 1.13% | 0.28% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Kansas | 59.45% | 15.27% | 6.28% | 0.98% | 0.18% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | West Virginia | 63.78% | 12.88% | 5.71% | 1.52% | 0.36% | 0.08% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Alabama | 50.18% | 7.64% | 2.38% | 0.55% | 0.06% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | North Carolina | 40.89% | 3.16% | 1.25% | 0.35% | 0.08% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Michigan State | 59.11% | 6.33% | 3.06% | 1.09% | 0.34% | 0.07% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Florida State | 49.82% | 7.54% | 2.34% | 0.53% | 0.06% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Princeton | 36.22% | 4.60% | 1.46% | 0.25% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Michigan | 40.55% | 7.84% | 2.56% | 0.29% | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Richmond | 18.65% | 3.08% | 0.23% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | UNLV | 41.27% | 6.81% | 1.48% | 0.29% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Maryland | 47.42% | 11.23% | 4.03% | 1.08% | 0.17% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Marquette | 39.60% | 7.19% | 2.28% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Texas A&M | 36.86% | 10.71% | 2.31% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Green Bay | 22.66% | 4.73% | 0.78% | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Middle Tennessee | 43.48% | 8.19% | 1.75% | 0.36% | 0.06% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Arizona | 33.30% | 3.88% | 1.26% | 0.44% | 0.09% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Auburn | 23.28% | 2.22% | 0.61% | 0.18% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Columbia | 13.10% | 4.70% | 1.03% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Vanderbilt | 9.38% | 3.00% | 0.57% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Drake | 15.32% | 4.03% | 0.40% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | South Dakota State | 22.86% | 5.92% | 0.89% | 0.15% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | FGCU | 27.00% | 7.46% | 0.49% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Fairfield | 9.97% | 1.64% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | UC Irvine | 8.47% | 1.09% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Portland | 14.95% | 2.32% | 0.17% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Marshall | 21.78% | 5.02% | 0.82% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Jackson State | 1.80% | 0.31% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Rice | 4.61% | 0.85% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Chattanooga | 4.85% | 0.45% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Eastern Washington | 10.45% | 2.22% | 0.22% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Kent State | 3.58% | 0.49% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Norfolk State | 2.79% | 0.25% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | California Baptist | 3.80% | 0.64% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Maine | 4.53% | 0.44% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 1.82% | 0.20% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | UT Martin | 0.27% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Holy Cross | 0.32% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Drexel | 1.81% | 0.19% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Presbyterian | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Sacred Heart | 0.46% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||||||||