| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Arkansas State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Sun Belt page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Arkansas State schedule | Rating: 74.17 (D-I #107) Projected season record: 7 - 6 overall, 5 - 3 Sun Belt | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Arkansas State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Southeast Missouri State | Home | Win | 42 - 24 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 72.27 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Arkansas | Road | Loss | 14 - 56 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 69.74 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Iowa State | Home | Loss | 16 - 24 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 0 | L2 | 71.88 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Kennesaw State | Road | Loss | 21 - 28 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 0 | L3 | 70.78 | |||||||||||
| 5 | ULM | Road | Loss | 16 - 28 | 1 - 4 | 0 - 1 | L4 | 1-4 | 69.45 | ||||||||||
| 6 | Texas State | Home | Win | 31 - 30 | 2 - 4 | 1 - 1 | W1 | 1-4 | 71.34 | Texas State by 13 | 20% | ||||||||
| 7 | South Alabama | Road | Win | 15 - 14 | 3 - 4 | 2 - 1 | W2 | 2-3 | 71.94 | South Alabama by 4 | 40% | ||||||||
| 8 | Georgia Southern | Home | Win | 34 - 24 | 4 - 4 | 3 - 1 | W3 | 3-2 | 72.89 | Arkansas State by 2 | 56% | ||||||||
| 9 | Troy | Road | Win | 23 - 10 | 5 - 4 | 4 - 1 | W4 | 4-1 | 75.27 | Troy by 8 | 30% | ||||||||
| 10 | Southern Miss | Home | Loss | 21 - 27 | 5 - 5 | 4 - 2 | L1 | 4-1 | 74.86 | Southern Miss by 2 | 44% | ||||||||
| 11 | Louisiana | Home | Loss | 30 - 34 | 5 - 6 | 4 - 3 | L2 | 3-2 | 73.82 | Arkansas State by 6 | 64% | ||||||||
| 12 | App State | Road | Win | 30 - 29 | 6 - 6 | 5 - 3 | W1 | 3-2 | 73.61 | Arkansas State by 3 | 58% | ||||||||
| 13 | Missouri State | Neutral | Win | 34 - 28 | 7 - 6 | 5 - 3 | W2 | 3-2 | 74.17 | Arkansas State by 1 | 52% | ||||||||
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