| Omni Rankings™ | 2024 College football | through 1/4/25 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Fresno State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Mountain West page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Fresno State schedule | Rating: 80.34 (D-I #81) Projected season record: 6 - 7 overall, 4 - 3 Mountain West | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Fresno State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Michigan | Road | Loss | 10 - 30 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 82.56 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Sacramento State | Home | Win | 46 - 30 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 83.32 | |||||||||||
| 3 | New Mexico State | Home | Win | 48 - 0 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 87.78 | |||||||||||
| 4 | New Mexico | Road | Win | 38 - 21 | 3 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W3 | 87.84 | |||||||||||
| 5 | UNLV | Road | Loss | 14 - 59 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 1 | L1 | 3-2 | 84.34 | ||||||||||
| 6 | Washington State | Home | Loss | 17 - 25 | 3 - 3 | 1 - 1 | L2 | 3-2 | 83.77 | Washington State by 4 | 41% | ||||||||
| 7 | Nevada | Road | Win | 24 - 21 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 1 | W1 | 3-2 | 83.65 | Fresno State by 4 | 60% | ||||||||
| 8 | San Jose State | Home | Win | 33 - 10 | 5 - 3 | 3 - 1 | W2 | 3-2 | 85.80 | Fresno State by 5 | 63% | ||||||||
| 9 | Hawai'i | Home | Loss | 20 - 21 | 5 - 4 | 3 - 2 | L1 | 2-3 | 83.66 | Fresno State by 18 | 86% | ||||||||
| 10 | Air Force | Road | Loss | 28 - 36 | 5 - 5 | 3 - 3 | L2 | 2-3 | 80.98 | Fresno State by 16 | 83% | ||||||||
| 11 | Colorado State | Home | Win | 28 - 22 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 3 | W1 | 3-2 | 80.87 | Fresno State by 7 | 67% | ||||||||
| 12 | UCLA | Road | Loss | 13 - 20 | 6 - 6 | 4 - 3 | L1 | 2-3 | 80.63 | UCLA by 5 | 38% | ||||||||
| 13 | Northern Illinois | Neutral | Loss | 20 - 28 | 2OT | 6 - 7 | 4 - 3 | L2 | 1-4 | 80.34 | Fresno State by 3 | 57% | |||||||
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