| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Fresno State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Mountain West page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Fresno State schedule | Rating: 81.41 (D-I #75) Projected season record: 9 - 4 overall, 5 - 3 Mountain West | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Fresno State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Kansas | Road | Loss | 7 - 31 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 78.33 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Georgia Southern | Home | Win | 42 - 14 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 82.88 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Oregon State | Road | Win | 36 - 27 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 81.71 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Southern U | Home | Win | 56 - 7 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 81.78 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Hawai'i | Road | Win | 23 - 21 | 4 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W4 | 4-1 | 80.76 | Fresno State by 9 | 72% | ||||||||
| 6 | Nevada | Home | Win | 20 - 17 | 5 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W5 | 5-0 | 78.63 | Fresno State by 19 | 88% | ||||||||
| 7 | Colorado State | Road | Loss | 21 - 49 | 5 - 2 | 2 - 1 | L1 | 4-1 | 74.08 | Fresno State by 8 | 70% | ||||||||
| 8 | San Diego State | Home | Loss | 0 - 23 | 5 - 3 | 2 - 2 | L2 | 3-2 | 72.43 | San Diego State by 9 | 27% | ||||||||
| 9 | Boise State | Road | Win | 30 - 7 | 6 - 3 | 3 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 77.32 | Boise State by 20 | 11% | ||||||||
| 10 | Wyoming | Home | Win | 24 - 3 | 7 - 3 | 4 - 2 | W2 | 3-2 | 79.40 | Fresno State by 3 | 57% | ||||||||
| 11 | Utah State | Home | Loss | 17 - 28 | 7 - 4 | 4 - 3 | L1 | 2-3 | 78.00 | Fresno State by 2 | 55% | ||||||||
| 12 | San Jose State | Road | Win | 41 - 14 | 8 - 4 | 5 - 3 | W1 | 3-2 | 80.12 | Fresno State by 8 | 69% | ||||||||
| 13 | Miami (OH) | Neutral | Win | 18 - 3 | 9 - 4 | 5 - 3 | W2 | 4-1 | 81.41 | Fresno State by 3 | 57% | ||||||||
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