| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Michigan State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Big Ten page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Michigan State schedule | Rating: 82.93 (D-I #73) Projected season record: 4 - 8 overall, 1 - 8 Big Ten | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Michigan State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Western Michigan | Home | Win | 23 - 6 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 84.00 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Boston College | Home | Win | 42 - 40 | 2OT | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 82.69 | ||||||||||
| 3 | Youngstown State | Home | Win | 41 - 24 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 82.74 | |||||||||||
| 4 | USC | Road | Loss | 31 - 45 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 1 | L1 | 84.24 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Nebraska | Road | Loss | 27 - 38 | 3 - 2 | 0 - 2 | L2 | 3-2 | 84.41 | Nebraska by 12 | 22% | ||||||||
| 6 | UCLA | Home | Loss | 13 - 38 | 3 - 3 | 0 - 3 | L3 | 2-3 | 79.03 | Michigan State by 14 | 82% | ||||||||
| 7 | Indiana | Road | Loss | 13 - 38 | 3 - 4 | 0 - 4 | L4 | 1-4 | 79.97 | Indiana by 32 | 3% | ||||||||
| 8 | Michigan | Home | Loss | 20 - 31 | 3 - 5 | 0 - 5 | L5 | 0-5 | 80.35 | Michigan by 14 | 18% | ||||||||
| 9 | Minnesota | Road | Loss | 20 - 23 | OT | 3 - 6 | 0 - 6 | L6 | 0-5 | 80.96 | Minnesota by 5 | 36% | |||||||
| 10 | Penn State | Home | Loss | 10 - 28 | 3 - 7 | 0 - 7 | L7 | 0-5 | 80.25 | Penn State by 12 | 22% | ||||||||
| 11 | Iowa | Road | Loss | 17 - 20 | 3 - 8 | 0 - 8 | L8 | 0-5 | 82.13 | Iowa by 20 | 10% | ||||||||
| 12 | Maryland | Home | Win | 38 - 28 | 4 - 8 | 1 - 8 | W1 | 1-4 | 82.93 | Michigan State by 3 | 57% | ||||||||
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