| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Mississippi State | |||||||||||||||||||
| SEC page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Mississippi State schedule | Rating: 86.18 (D-I #56) Projected season record: 5 - 8 overall, 1 - 7 SEC | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Mississippi State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Southern Miss | Road | Win | 34 - 17 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 88.80 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Arizona State | Home | Win | 24 - 20 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 90.14 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Alcorn State | Home | Win | 63 - 0 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 90.45 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Northern Illinois | Home | Win | 38 - 10 | 4 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W4 | 92.33 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Tennessee | Home | Loss | 34 - 41 | OT | 4 - 1 | 0 - 1 | L1 | 4-1 | 93.26 | Tennessee by 6 | 34% | |||||||
| 6 | Texas A&M | Road | Loss | 9 - 31 | 4 - 2 | 0 - 2 | L2 | 3-2 | 91.47 | Texas A&M by 9 | 28% | ||||||||
| 7 | Florida | Road | Loss | 21 - 23 | 4 - 3 | 0 - 3 | L3 | 2-3 | 91.50 | Florida by 2 | 44% | ||||||||
| 8 | Texas | Home | Loss | 38 - 45 | OT | 4 - 4 | 0 - 4 | L4 | 1-4 | 91.95 | Texas by 4 | 40% | |||||||
| 9 | Arkansas | Road | Win | 38 - 35 | 5 - 4 | 1 - 4 | W1 | 1-4 | 92.61 | Arkansas by 3 | 43% | ||||||||
| 10 | Georgia | Home | Loss | 21 - 41 | 5 - 5 | 1 - 5 | L1 | 1-4 | 91.01 | Georgia by 6 | 35% | ||||||||
| 11 | Missouri | Road | Loss | 27 - 49 | 5 - 6 | 1 - 6 | L2 | 1-4 | 89.20 | Missouri by 5 | 36% | ||||||||
| 12 | Ole Miss | Home | Loss | 19 - 38 | 5 - 7 | 1 - 7 | L3 | 1-4 | 88.04 | Ole Miss by 8 | 29% | ||||||||
| 13 | Wake Forest | Neutral | Loss | 29 - 43 | 5 - 8 | 1 - 7 | L4 | 1-4 | 86.18 | Mississippi State by 4 | 59% | ||||||||
| 14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||