| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State | |||||||||||||||||||
| UAC page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State schedule | Rating: 81.43 (D-I #74) Projected season record: 12 - 2 overall, 7 - 1 UAC | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Tarleton State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Portland State | Road | Win | 42 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 81.88 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Army | Road | Win | 30 - 27 | 2OT | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 82.52 | ||||||||||
| 3 | Mississippi Valley State | Home | Win | 59 - 3 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 82.96 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Central Arkansas | Road | Win | 56 - 10 | 4 - 0 | 1 - 0 | W4 | 85.64 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Chattanooga | Home | Win | 52 - 24 | 5 - 0 | 1 - 0 | W5 | 5-0 | 85.59 | ||||||||||
| 6 | Southern Utah | Home | Win | 52 - 42 | 6 - 0 | 2 - 0 | W6 | 5-0 | 83.81 | Tarleton State by 23 | 92% | ||||||||
| 7 | Utah Tech | Road | Win | 41 - 23 | 7 - 0 | 3 - 0 | W7 | 5-0 | 83.11 | Tarleton State by 24 | 92% | ||||||||
| 8 | West Georgia | Home | Win | 45 - 10 | 8 - 0 | 4 - 0 | W8 | 5-0 | 85.38 | Tarleton State by 16 | 85% | ||||||||
| 9 | Eastern Kentucky | Road | Win | 31 - 7 | 9 - 0 | 5 - 0 | W9 | 5-0 | 85.29 | Tarleton State by 25 | 93% | ||||||||
| 10 | Abilene Christian | Road | Loss | 28 - 31 | 9 - 1 | 5 - 1 | L1 | 4-1 | 83.43 | Tarleton State by 13 | 80% | ||||||||
| 11 | North Alabama | Home | Win | 61 - 0 | 10 - 1 | 6 - 1 | W1 | 4-1 | 83.85 | Tarleton State by 33 | 97% | ||||||||
| 12 | Austin Peay | Home | Win | 45 - 44 | OT | 11 - 1 | 7 - 1 | W2 | 4-1 | 81.85 | Tarleton State by 18 | 87% | |||||||
| 13 | North Dakota | Home | Win | 31 - 13 | 12 - 1 | 7 - 1 | W3 | 4-1 | 83.35 | Tarleton State by 4 | 60% | ||||||||
| 14 | Villanova | Home | Loss | 21 - 26 | 12 - 2 | 7 - 1 | L1 | 3-2 | 81.43 | Tarleton State by 13 | 80% | ||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||