| Omni Rankings™ | 2024 College football | through 1/4/25 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State | |||||||||||||||||||
| UAC page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State schedule | Rating: 68.78 (D-I #134) Projected season record: 10 - 4 overall, 6 - 2 UAC | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Tarleton State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | McNeese | Home | Win | 26 - 23 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 64.68 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Baylor | Road | Loss | 3 - 45 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 63.10 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Houston Christian | Road | Win | 35 - 18 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 63.75 | |||||||||||
| 4 | North Alabama | Road | Win | 28 - 14 | 3 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W2 | 64.68 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Southeastern Louisiana | Home | Win | 36 - 33 | 4 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W3 | 4-1 | 63.18 | Tarleton State by 14 | 80% | ||||||||
| 6 | Southern Utah | Road | Win | 38 - 37 | OT | 5 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W4 | 4-1 | 63.73 | Southern Utah by 4 | 40% | |||||||
| 7 | Utah Tech | Home | Win | 42 - 0 | 6 - 1 | 3 - 0 | W5 | 5-0 | 65.87 | Tarleton State by 20 | 88% | ||||||||
| 8 | Austin Peay | Road | Win | 27 - 17 | 7 - 1 | 4 - 0 | W6 | 5-0 | 66.83 | Tarleton State by 2 | 55% | ||||||||
| 9 | Eastern Kentucky | Home | Loss | 13 - 17 | 7 - 2 | 4 - 1 | L1 | 4-1 | 65.23 | Tarleton State by 10 | 73% | ||||||||
| 10 | West Georgia | Road | Win | 38 - 21 | 8 - 2 | 5 - 1 | W1 | 4-1 | 66.53 | Tarleton State by 6 | 64% | ||||||||
| 11 | Abilene Christian | Home | Loss | 31 - 35 | 8 - 3 | 5 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 66.27 | Abilene Christian by 2 | 46% | ||||||||
| 12 | Central Arkansas | Home | Win | 39 - 14 | 9 - 3 | 6 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 68.69 | Tarleton State by 3 | 57% | ||||||||
| 13 | Drake | Home | Win | 43 - 29 | 10 - 3 | 6 - 2 | W2 | 3-2 | 67.95 | Tarleton State by 21 | 89% | ||||||||
| 14 | South Dakota | Road | Loss | 31 - 42 | 10 - 4 | 6 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 68.78 | South Dakota by 19 | 13% | ||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||