| Omni Rankings™ | 2024 College football | through 1/4/25 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Texas State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Sun Belt page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Texas State schedule | Rating: 83.19 (D-I #66) Projected season record: 8 - 5 overall, 5 - 3 Sun Belt | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Texas State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Lamar | Home | Win | 34 - 27 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 76.08 | |||||||||||
| 2 | UTSA | Home | Win | 49 - 10 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 83.48 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Arizona State | Home | Loss | 28 - 31 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 83.43 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Sam Houston | Home | Loss | 39 - 40 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 0 | L2 | 82.54 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Troy | Road | Win | 38 - 17 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 0 | W1 | 3-2 | 84.71 | Texas State by 6 | 64% | ||||||||
| 6 | Arkansas State | Home | Win | 41 - 9 | 4 - 2 | 2 - 0 | W2 | 3-2 | 87.43 | Texas State by 12 | 77% | ||||||||
| 7 | Old Dominion | Road | Loss | 14 - 24 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 1 | L1 | 2-3 | 85.25 | Texas State by 7 | 68% | ||||||||
| 8 | Louisiana | Home | Loss | 17 - 23 | 4 - 4 | 2 - 2 | L2 | 2-3 | 83.44 | Texas State by 9 | 71% | ||||||||
| 9 | ULM | Road | Win | 38 - 17 | 5 - 4 | 3 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 85.29 | Texas State by 5 | 61% | ||||||||
| 10 | Southern Miss | Home | Win | 58 - 3 | 6 - 4 | 4 - 2 | W2 | 3-2 | 86.22 | Texas State by 29 | 95% | ||||||||
| 11 | Georgia State | Home | Loss | 44 - 52 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 3 | L1 | 2-3 | 82.95 | Texas State by 22 | 90% | ||||||||
| 12 | South Alabama | Road | Win | 45 - 38 | 7 - 5 | 5 - 3 | W1 | 3-2 | 83.86 | South Alabama by 1 | 47% | ||||||||
| 13 | North Texas | Neutral | Win | 30 - 28 | 8 - 5 | 5 - 3 | W2 | 4-1 | 83.19 | Texas State by 8 | 70% | ||||||||
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