| Omni Rankings™ | 2024 College football | through 11/16/24 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Texas State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Sun Belt page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Texas State schedule | Rating: 86.38 (D-I #56) Projected season record: 7 - 5 overall, 5 - 3 Sun Belt | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Texas State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Lamar | Home | Win | 34 - 27 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 76.30 | |||||||||||
| 2 | UTSA | Home | Win | 49 - 10 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 83.70 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Arizona State | Home | Loss | 28 - 31 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 83.67 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Sam Houston | Home | Loss | 39 - 40 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 0 | L2 | 82.77 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Troy | Road | Win | 38 - 17 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 0 | W1 | 3-2 | 84.91 | Texas State by 6 | 64% | ||||||||
| 6 | Arkansas State | Home | Win | 41 - 9 | 4 - 2 | 2 - 0 | W2 | 3-2 | 87.66 | Texas State by 12 | 75% | ||||||||
| 7 | Old Dominion | Road | Loss | 14 - 24 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 1 | L1 | 2-3 | 85.43 | Texas State by 8 | 68% | ||||||||
| 8 | Louisiana | Home | Loss | 17 - 23 | 4 - 4 | 2 - 2 | L2 | 2-3 | 83.63 | Texas State by 9 | 70% | ||||||||
| 9 | ULM | Road | Win | 38 - 17 | 5 - 4 | 3 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 85.45 | Texas State by 5 | 62% | ||||||||
| 10 | Southern Miss | Home | Win | 58 - 3 | 6 - 4 | 4 - 2 | W2 | 3-2 | 86.38 | Texas State by 29 | 94% | ||||||||
| 11 | Georgia State | Home | 11/23/2024 | Texas State by 22 | 88% | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | South Alabama | Road | 11/29/2024 | Texas State by 2 | 56% | ||||||||||||||
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