| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Toledo | |||||||||||||||||||
| MAC page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Toledo schedule | Rating: 88.29 (D-I #48) Projected season record: 8 - 5 overall, 6 - 2 MAC | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Toledo win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Kentucky | Road | Loss | 16 - 24 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 79.99 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Western Kentucky | Home | Win | 45 - 21 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 84.78 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Morgan State | Home | Win | 60 - 0 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 85.54 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Western Michigan | Road | Loss | 13 - 14 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 1 | L1 | 83.98 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Akron | Home | Win | 45 - 3 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 1 | W1 | 3-2 | 86.85 | Toledo by 17 | 85% | ||||||||
| 6 | Bowling Green | Road | Loss | 23 - 28 | 3 - 3 | 1 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 84.99 | Toledo by 9 | 71% | ||||||||
| 7 | Kent State | Home | Win | 45 - 10 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 86.07 | Toledo by 26 | 94% | ||||||||
| 8 | Washington State | Road | Loss | 7 - 28 | 4 - 4 | 2 - 2 | L1 | 2-3 | 83.11 | Toledo by 3 | 59% | ||||||||
| 9 | Northern Illinois | Home | Win | 42 - 3 | 5 - 4 | 3 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 85.38 | Toledo by 17 | 86% | ||||||||
| 10 | Miami (OH) | Road | Win | 24 - 3 | 6 - 4 | 4 - 2 | W2 | 3-2 | 87.18 | Toledo by 5 | 63% | ||||||||
| 11 | Ball State | Home | Win | 38 - 9 | 7 - 4 | 5 - 2 | W3 | 4-1 | 87.57 | Toledo by 25 | 94% | ||||||||
| 12 | Central Michigan | Road | Win | 21 - 3 | 8 - 4 | 6 - 2 | W4 | 4-1 | 88.40 | Toledo by 10 | 75% | ||||||||
| 13 | Louisville | Neutral | Loss | 22 - 27 | 8 - 5 | 6 - 2 | L1 | 4-1 | 88.29 | Louisville by 4 | 40% | ||||||||
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