Omni Rankings™ 2025-2026 Men's college basketball ratings through 3/3/26 games
Missouri Valley
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Men's basketball home NCAA bracket NIT bracket
Team ratings (1-365) NCAA probabilities NIT probabilities
#REF!
Home court factor = 2.47 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Belmont 80.51 57 81.14 72.03 70.15 149 25 5 16 4 L1 8-2 12 2 11 3 2 0 0 0 14 4 11 1 at UC Irvine 88.27 vs Air Force 71.17
2 Northern Iowa 78.82 68 80.15 74.39 71.86 117 18 12 11 9 W1 6-4 11 5 6 6 1 1 0 1 6 11 12 0 at Murray State 90.56 at Southern Illinois 68.50
3 Illinois State 75.97 95 78.21 69.04 71.40 124 19 11 12 8 W2 6-4 12 2 5 7 2 2 0 1 8 7 11 3 vs Bradley 86.42 at UIC 63.87
4 Southern Illinois 75.59 100 76.41 72.82 72.28 105 15 15 10 10 W4 7-3 7 6 7 8 1 1 0 0 6 14 9 1 vs UT Martin 85.97 at UIC 66.93
5 Bradley 75.13 104 77.10 72.29 71.88 116 19 11 13 7 W1 6-4 13 2 4 7 2 2 0 0 9 10 10 1 vs Central Michigan 84.76 at Illinois State 64.36
6 UIC 75.09 106 77.58 65.58 71.09 127 15 14 12 8 L1 6-4 7 5 7 8 1 1 0 0 7 9 8 5 at Evansville 89.00 vs Arkansas Pine Bluff 58.24
7 Murray State 72.21 134 78.27 72.21 70.99 129 20 11 12 8 L1 4-6 12 3 5 6 3 2 0 1 9 8 11 2 vs Akron 86.30 vs Northern Iowa 60.74
8 Valparaiso 71.44 146 72.52 65.36 72.23 107 16 14 11 9 L1 7-3 12 4 4 10 0 0 0 1 6 11 10 2 vs Western Michigan 78.58 vs Southern Indiana 56.89
9 Indiana State 70.08 165 70.72 67.15 72.58 102 9 20 4 16 W1 2-8 6 7 3 12 0 1 0 1 3 13 6 6 vs UIC 78.90 vs Alcorn State 61.16
10 Drake 68.12 188 76.08 68.12 72.49 103 10 19 6 14 L9 1-9 4 11 4 7 2 1 0 0 3 17 7 2 vs Western Illinois 82.13 at Bradley 60.97
11 Evansville 62.61 288 65.81 62.10 74.49 85 5 24 3 17 L1 2-8 3 10 1 12 1 2 0 1 2 18 3 5 vs Illinois State 73.12 vs UIC 52.52
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Northern Iowa at Murray State W 89 - 60  90.56 1 Illinois State vs Coastal Carolina W 94 - 42  16.40 1 UIC at Illinois State W 63 - 59 OT 10.59
2 UIC at Evansville W 84 - 46  89.00 2 Northern Iowa at Murray State W 89 - 60  15.42 2 Evansville vs Illinois State W 88 - 80  9.94
3 Belmont at UC Irvine W 84 - 58  88.27 3 Valparaiso vs Western Michigan W 84 - 55  13.22 3 UIC at Northern Iowa W 69 - 61  9.57
4 UIC vs Illinois State W 83 - 56  86.87 4 UIC at Evansville W 84 - 46  13.19 4 Southern Illinois at High Point W 86 - 84  9.03
5 Belmont vs Evansville W 98 - 64  86.52 5 UIC vs Illinois State W 83 - 56  12.70 5 Evansville vs Oregon State W 73 - 69  8.79
6 Illinois State vs Bradley W 88 - 62  86.42 6 Southern Illinois vs UT Martin W 83 - 54  12.06 6 Valparaiso at UIC W 71 - 67  8.73
7 Murray State vs Akron W 115 - 100  86.30 7 Belmont at UC Irvine W 84 - 58  11.86 7 Murray State vs George Washington W 96 - 95  8.33
8 Southern Illinois vs UT Martin W 83 - 54  85.97 8 Bradley vs Central Michigan W 85 - 54  11.48 8 Evansville at Indiana State W 72 - 69  7.59
9 Belmont at Murray State W 87 - 70  85.93 9 Murray State vs Akron W 115 - 100  10.61 9 Indiana State vs Belmont W 81 - 80 OT 7.37
10 Belmont at Middle Tennessee W 83 - 62  85.85 10 Illinois State vs Bradley W 88 - 62  10.52 10 Evansville vs Valparaiso W 80 - 79  7.22
MVC projected standings MVC projected tournament bracket (projections in italics)
Conference Overall 1 Belmont
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Belmont 16 4 25 5 8 Southern Illinois @ St. Louis, MO Belmont
2 Bradley 13 7 19 11      
3 Illinois State 12 8 19 11 @ St. Louis, MO Southern Illinois  
4 UIC 12 8 16 14    
5 Murray State 12 8 20 12 9 Drake @ St. Louis, MO Belmont
6 Northern Iowa 11 9 19 12    
7 Valparaiso 11 9 17 14 4 Murray State    
8 Southern Illinois 10 10 16 15      
9 Drake 6 14 10 20 @ St. Louis, MO UIC  
10 Indiana State 4 16 10 20    
11 Evansville 3 17 5 25 5 UIC  
 
@ St. Louis, MO Belmont
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized   Outcome unrealized     2026 MVC
Probabilities based on current ratings and projected bracket 2 Bradley   Men's Basketball
Reaching Reaching Winning     Tournament Champion
Seed Team semifinals final tournament 7 Valparaiso @ St. Louis, MO Bradley  
1 Belmont 70.75% 49.90% 31.79%        
2 Bradley 63.96% 27.36% 11.67% @ St. Louis, MO Valparaiso    
3 Illinois State 45.20% 26.09% 11.83%      
4 Murray State 40.50% 12.14% 4.54% 10 Indiana State @ St. Louis, MO Northern Iowa
5 UIC 59.50% 22.76% 10.57%  
6 Northern Iowa 53.34% 35.47% 19.29% 3 Illinois State  
7 Valparaiso 20.69% 6.53% 2.07%    
8 Southern Illinois 24.94% 13.84% 6.65% 6 Northern Iowa @ St. Louis, MO Northern Iowa
9 Drake 4.30% 1.36% 0.35%    
10 Indiana State 15.35% 4.27% 1.20% @ St. Louis, MO Northern Iowa
11 Evansville 1.46% 0.28% 0.04%  
11 Evansville
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