Omni Rankings™ 2024-2025 Men's college basketball ratings through 11/16/24 games
Missouri Valley
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Men's basketball home NCAA bracket NIT bracket
Team ratings (1-364) NCAA probabilities NIT probabilities
#REF!
Home court factor = 2.58 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Drake             2 0 0 0 W2   2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 vs SFA 80.08 vs FGCU 73.29
2 Murray State             1 1 0 0 W1   0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 at Middle Tennessee 84.24 at Pitt 75.21
3 Bradley 75.13 47 78.68 75.13 64.84 104 3 1 0 0 W2   3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 vs Southeast Missouri 77.39 at Washington State 72.06
4 UIC             1 1 0 0 L1   1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 vs Yale 79.59 at Northwestern 75.32
5 Northern Iowa             1 2 0 0 L2   1 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 vs Milwaukee 77.51 vs UC Irvine 67.41
6 Belmont             2 1 0 0 W2   0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 at Lipscomb 73.85 vs Furman 71.25
7 Southern Illinois             0 2 0 0 L2   0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 at Oklahoma State 71.84 vs College of Charleston 71.17
8 Indiana State             1 2 0 0 W1   0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 at Ball State 74.96 vs Florida Atlantic 64.40
9 Missouri State             1 1 0 0 W1   1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 at Butler 71.18 vs Tulsa 68.98
10 Illinois State             2 1 0 0 W2   1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 vs Ohio 72.94 vs UT Martin 66.18
11 Evansville             0 3 0 0 L3   0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 at North Texas 63.58 vs Radford 58.90
12 Valparaiso             0 2 0 0 L2   0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 vs Liberty 58.15 vs Cleveland State 55.81
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Murray State at Middle Tennessee W 88 - 67  84.24 1 Murray State at Middle Tennessee W 88 - 67  11.93 1 Murray State at Middle Tennessee W 88 - 67  3.81
2 Bradley vs Northern Illinois W 76 - 60  75.84 2 Indiana State at Ball State W 94 - 84  3.99 2 Belmont at Lipscomb W 80 - 79  0.14
3 UIC at Northwestern L 74 - 83  75.32 3 Illinois State at North Dakota State W 77 - 68  3.86 3      
4 Bradley vs UTSA W 85 - 72  75.25 4 Illinois State vs Ohio W 85 - 75  3.70 4      
5 Indiana State at Ball State W 94 - 84  74.96 5 UIC at Northwestern L 74 - 83  1.80 5      
6 Northern Iowa at Wichita State L 73 - 79  74.08 6 Northern Iowa at Wichita State L 73 - 79  0.98 6      
7 Belmont at Lipscomb W 80 - 79  73.85 7 Belmont at Lipscomb W 80 - 79  0.55 7      
8 Drake vs FGCU W 63 - 61  73.29 8 Bradley vs Northern Illinois W 76 - 60  -0.08 8      
9 Illinois State vs Ohio W 85 - 75  72.94 9 Southern Illinois at Oklahoma State L 78 - 85  -0.12 9      
10 Bradley at Washington State L 74 - 91  72.06 10 Bradley vs UTSA W 85 - 72  -1.22 10      
MVC projected standings MVC projected tournament bracket (projections in italics)
Conference Overall 1 Drake
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Drake 14 6 19 7 8 Indiana State @ St. Louis, MO Drake
2 Murray State 13 7 18 10      
3 Bradley 12 8 18 10 @ St. Louis, MO Indiana State  
4 UIC 12 8 15 11    
5 Northern Iowa 11 9 16 13 9 Missouri State @ St. Louis, MO Drake
6 Belmont 11 9 17 12    
7 Southern Illinois 10 10 14 15 4 UIC    
8 Indiana State 10 10 15 14      
9 Missouri State 10 10 13 14 5 Northern Iowa @ St. Louis, MO UIC  
10 Illinois State 9 11 14 14      
11 Evansville 5 15 7 23 @ St. Louis, MO Northern Iowa  
12 Valparaiso 3 17 5 24    
12 Valparaiso @ St. Louis, MO Drake
  2025 MVC
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized 2 Murray State   Men's Basketball
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and projected bracket     Tournament Champion
Reaching Reaching Winning 7 Southern Illinois @ St. Louis, MO Murray State  
Seed Team semifinals final tournament        
1 Drake 72.27% 46.54% 28.43% @ St. Louis, MO Southern Illinois    
2 Murray State 66.42% 38.11% 20.09%      
3 Bradley 62.94% 32.56% 15.95% 10 Illinois State @ St. Louis, MO Murray State
4 UIC 57.18% 24.92% 12.03%  
5 Northern Iowa 41.53% 17.01% 7.74% 3 Bradley  
6 Belmont 33.83% 15.01% 6.26%    
7 Southern Illinois 19.97% 8.62% 3.34% 6 Belmont @ St. Louis, MO Bradley
8 Indiana State 14.89% 6.28% 2.44%    
9 Missouri State 12.84% 5.15% 1.90% @ St. Louis, MO Belmont
10 Illinois State 13.60% 5.14% 1.73%  
11 Evansville 3.23% 0.56% 0.09% 11 Evansville
12 Valparaiso 1.29% 0.12% 0.01% © Omni Rankings