| Omni Rankings™ | 2025-2026 Men's college basketball ratings | through 3/3/26 games | ||||||||||
| CBC probabilities | ||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket | ||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | ||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | ||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | |||||||||
| Team | quarterfinals | semifinals | finals | tournament | ||||||||
| Santa Clara | 100.00% | 61.82% | 40.10% | 23.48% | ||||||||
| New Mexico | 100.00% | 51.84% | 29.63% | 15.75% | ||||||||
| Baylor | 100.00% | 48.16% | 26.66% | 13.70% | ||||||||
| Minnesota | 100.00% | 57.91% | 27.21% | 13.43% | ||||||||
| Seton Hall | 100.00% | 57.18% | 24.26% | 11.26% | ||||||||
| Arizona State | 100.00% | 38.18% | 20.37% | 9.51% | ||||||||
| Providence | 100.00% | 42.09% | 16.50% | 6.87% | ||||||||
| USC | 100.00% | 42.82% | 15.27% | 6.01% | ||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | ||||||||||||