| Omni Rankings™ | 2024-2025 Men's college basketball ratings | through 4/7/25 games | ||||||||||
| CBC probabilities | ||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket | ||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | ||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | ||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | |||||||||
| Team | quarterfinals | semifinals | finals | tournament | ||||||||
| Boise State | 77.89% | 49.35% | 32.92% | 19.08% | ||||||||
| Cincinnati | 75.60% | 46.35% | 27.39% | 16.14% | ||||||||
| UCF | 66.02% | 33.28% | 17.67% | 9.37% | ||||||||
| Nebraska | 56.73% | 38.42% | 18.56% | 8.99% | ||||||||
| USC | 69.71% | 34.47% | 16.96% | 8.73% | ||||||||
| Villanova | 50.29% | 28.48% | 14.21% | 7.40% | ||||||||
| Utah | 57.96% | 26.90% | 15.38% | 7.35% | ||||||||
| Colorado | 49.71% | 28.01% | 13.90% | 7.20% | ||||||||
| Arizona State | 43.27% | 26.67% | 11.16% | 4.67% | ||||||||
| Butler | 42.04% | 16.43% | 8.11% | 3.25% | ||||||||
| Georgetown | 61.34% | 23.84% | 8.34% | 2.91% | ||||||||
| Oregon State | 33.98% | 11.96% | 4.43% | 1.65% | ||||||||
| Tulane | 30.29% | 9.03% | 2.73% | 0.88% | ||||||||
| DePaul | 24.40% | 8.40% | 2.70% | 0.88% | ||||||||
| George Washington | 22.11% | 7.32% | 2.71% | 0.78% | ||||||||
| Washington State | 38.66% | 11.07% | 2.83% | 0.72% | ||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | ||||||||||||