| Omni Rankings™ | 2024-2025 Men's college basketball ratings | through 1/4/25 games | |||||||||||||
| NIT probabilities | |||||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket | |||||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | |||||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | |||||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | |||||||||||
| Team | final 16 | quarterfinals | semifinals | finals | tournament | ||||||||||
| Maryland | 73.65% | 52.39% | 41.35% | 25.47% | 15.61% | ||||||||||
| Colorado | 61.41% | 31.20% | 16.44% | 7.14% | 3.03% | ||||||||||
| Creighton | 64.81% | 32.53% | 19.23% | 8.98% | 4.19% | ||||||||||
| Iowa | 66.54% | 38.72% | 22.28% | 11.16% | 5.34% | ||||||||||
| LSU | 74.58% | 39.05% | 17.67% | 7.71% | 3.35% | ||||||||||
| BYU | 70.57% | 50.51% | 30.34% | 17.57% | 9.75% | ||||||||||
| Georgetown | 59.20% | 35.14% | 12.20% | 4.72% | 1.80% | ||||||||||
| Texas | 66.80% | 42.76% | 25.01% | 13.24% | 6.86% | ||||||||||
| Wake Forest | 56.23% | 26.35% | 8.76% | 3.24% | 1.18% | ||||||||||
| Florida State | 60.11% | 27.08% | 14.52% | 6.97% | 3.27% | ||||||||||
| Indiana | 60.91% | 34.39% | 18.01% | 9.12% | 4.62% | ||||||||||
| St. Bonaventure | 64.20% | 24.87% | 12.02% | 5.51% | 2.40% | ||||||||||
| Dayton | 46.38% | 23.84% | 11.50% | 5.58% | 2.71% | ||||||||||
| Saint Mary's | 61.12% | 31.27% | 14.40% | 7.43% | 3.66% | ||||||||||
| Washington State | 58.75% | 22.05% | 12.81% | 6.19% | 2.97% | ||||||||||
| Northwestern | 63.62% | 37.21% | 18.67% | 9.93% | 5.16% | ||||||||||
| New Mexico | 41.25% | 15.47% | 8.98% | 4.34% | 2.07% | ||||||||||
| San Francisco | 36.38% | 19.49% | 8.82% | 4.24% | 1.99% | ||||||||||
| Cincinnati | 53.62% | 33.76% | 20.28% | 12.23% | 7.42% | ||||||||||
| Boise State | 38.88% | 18.96% | 8.29% | 4.07% | 1.91% | ||||||||||
| Villanova | 39.09% | 21.26% | 8.60% | 4.16% | 2.02% | ||||||||||
| Bradley | 35.80% | 12.09% | 4.16% | 1.67% | 0.64% | ||||||||||
| South Carolina | 43.77% | 21.59% | 6.26% | 2.47% | 0.96% | ||||||||||
| UC Irvine | 39.89% | 17.43% | 7.39% | 3.44% | 1.57% | ||||||||||
| Washington | 40.80% | 16.92% | 4.75% | 1.81% | 0.68% | ||||||||||
| USC | 33.20% | 12.73% | 5.14% | 2.28% | 0.99% | ||||||||||
| Virginia | 25.42% | 5.30% | 1.16% | 0.32% | 0.09% | ||||||||||
| Xavier | 29.43% | 12.53% | 4.88% | 2.20% | 0.94% | ||||||||||
| Oregon State | 35.19% | 9.87% | 3.54% | 1.44% | 0.58% | ||||||||||
| TCU | 33.46% | 11.04% | 3.63% | 1.52% | 0.60% | ||||||||||
| Utah | 26.35% | 10.09% | 4.89% | 2.21% | 0.99% | ||||||||||
| Butler | 38.59% | 12.10% | 4.00% | 1.63% | 0.65% | ||||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||||