Omni Rankings 2024-2025 Men's college basketball ratings through 4/7/25 games
NIT probabilities
Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket
Outcome realized
Outcome unrealized
Reaching Reaching Reaching Reaching Winning
Team final 16 quarterfinals semifinals finals tournament
SMU 79.49% 64.52% 50.98% 30.77% 20.66%
Santa Clara 87.39% 67.21% 43.43% 25.71% 16.90%
San Francisco 74.55% 58.06% 42.52% 26.61% 13.35%
UC Irvine 73.49% 52.34% 29.03% 14.17% 7.84%
George Mason 78.10% 52.75% 31.55% 15.86% 6.66%
Stanford 69.25% 50.78% 24.05% 12.98% 5.40%
Dayton 51.44% 34.40% 22.65% 11.84% 5.20%
North Texas 74.58% 48.26% 18.39% 7.61% 3.69%
Bradley 65.91% 28.32% 15.38% 6.80% 2.47%
Saint Joseph's 63.53% 19.52% 9.39% 3.91% 1.87%
Loyola Chicago 61.40% 22.24% 10.25% 4.98% 1.82%
Georgia Tech 73.47% 30.06% 9.55% 3.85% 1.79%
Arkansas State 62.32% 28.11% 9.79% 3.66% 1.62%
Oklahoma State 71.04% 20.59% 9.25% 3.53% 1.59%
St. Bonaventure 67.92% 25.57% 9.39% 3.90% 1.19%
Florida Atlantic 48.56% 22.09% 8.01% 3.32% 1.12%
Chattanooga 41.62% 20.62% 7.40% 2.76% 0.83%
Middle Tennessee 58.38% 22.90% 7.95% 2.86% 0.83%
Utah Valley 25.45% 11.72% 4.61% 2.13% 0.73%
Saint Louis 37.68% 16.08% 4.45% 1.56% 0.65%
CSUN 30.75% 13.94% 4.58% 2.01% 0.65%
UAB 36.47% 10.17% 3.79% 1.44% 0.63%
Northern Iowa 20.51% 8.88% 3.54% 1.33% 0.59%
North Alabama 34.09% 12.71% 5.07% 1.93% 0.59%
Northern Colorado 26.51% 10.11% 2.46% 0.85% 0.34%
Kent State 32.08% 9.71% 2.37% 0.79% 0.19%
Wichita State 28.96% 6.01% 2.02% 0.56% 0.19%
Samford 21.90% 6.22% 1.99% 0.60% 0.14%
Furman 25.42% 7.55% 1.58% 0.42% 0.14%
Jacksonville State 26.53% 7.48% 1.57% 0.43% 0.14%
San Jose State 38.60% 7.98% 2.22% 0.64% 0.13%
UC Riverside 12.61% 3.10% 0.77% 0.19% 0.06%
© Omni Rankings