| Omni Rankings™ | 2025-2026 Men's college basketball | through 3/3/26 games | |||||||||||
| Florida State | |||||||||||||
| ACC page | |||||||||||||
| Florida State schedule | Rating: 79.88 (D-I #63) Projected season record: 16 - 15 overall, 9 - 9 ACC | ||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 10 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Florida State win probability | ||
| 1 | Alcorn State | Home | Win | 108 - 76 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 81.11 | |||||
| 2 | Alabama State | Home | Win | 101 - 64 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 82.76 | |||||
| 3 | Florida | Road | Loss | 76 - 78 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 84.52 | |||||
| 4 | UT Martin | Home | Win | 87 - 73 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 86.15 | |||||
| 5 | Georgia Southern | Home | Win | 98 - 72 | 4 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 86.41 | Florida State by 23 | 96% | |||
| 6 | CSU Bakersfield | Home | Win | 89 - 59 | 5 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 86.73 | Florida State by 27 | 97% | |||
| 7 | Texas A&M | Neutral | Loss | 59 - 95 | 5 - 2 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 82.53 | Florida State by 8 | 74% | |||
| 8 | Georgia | Home | Loss | 73 - 107 | 5 - 3 | 0 - 0 | L2 | 79.52 | Georgia by 2 | 43% | |||
| 9 | Houston | Neutral | Loss | 67 - 82 | 5 - 4 | 0 - 0 | L3 | 79.01 | Houston by 9 | 22% | |||
| 10 | UMass | Neutral | Loss | 95 - 103 | 5 - 5 | 0 - 0 | L4 | 5-5 | 77.51 | Florida State by 10 | 79% | ||
| 11 | Dayton | Road | Loss | 69 - 97 | 5 - 6 | 0 - 0 | L5 | 4-6 | 75.53 | Dayton by 3 | 41% | ||
| 12 | Mississippi Valley | Home | Win | 96 - 49 | 6 - 6 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 4-6 | 75.86 | Florida State by 33 | 99% | ||
| 13 | Jacksonville | Home | Win | 87 - 63 | 7 - 6 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 5-5 | 76.17 | Florida State by 20 | 94% | ||
| 14 | North Carolina | Road | Loss | 66 - 79 | 7 - 7 | 0 - 1 | L1 | 4-6 | 76.28 | North Carolina by 15 | 12% | ||
| 15 | Duke | Home | Loss | 87 - 91 | 7 - 8 | 0 - 2 | L2 | 3-7 | 77.03 | Duke by 15 | 12% | ||
| 16 | NC State | Home | Loss | 69 - 113 | 7 - 9 | 0 - 3 | L3 | 2-8 | 75.06 | NC State by 6 | 30% | ||
| 17 | Syracuse | Road | Loss | 86 - 94 | 7 - 10 | 0 - 4 | L4 | 2-8 | 75.10 | Syracuse by 9 | 24% | ||
| 18 | Wake Forest | Home | Loss | 68 - 69 | 7 - 11 | 0 - 5 | L5 | 2-8 | 75.15 | Wake Forest by 2 | 44% | ||
| 19 | Miami (FL) | Road | Win | 65 - 63 | 8 - 11 | 1 - 5 | W1 | 3-7 | 76.09 | Miami (FL) by 12 | 16% | ||
| 20 | SMU | Road | Loss | 80 - 83 | 8 - 12 | 1 - 6 | L1 | 3-7 | 76.55 | SMU by 10 | 20% | ||
| 21 | California | Home | Win | 63 - 61 | 9 - 12 | 2 - 6 | W1 | 4-6 | 76.73 | California by 1 | 47% | ||
| 22 | Stanford | Home | Win | 88 - 80 | 10 - 12 | 3 - 6 | W2 | 4-6 | 77.15 | Florida State by 2 | 55% | ||
| 23 | Notre Dame | Road | Win | 82 - 79 | 11 - 12 | 4 - 6 | W3 | 4-6 | 77.49 | Notre Dame by 2 | 43% | ||
| 24 | Virginia | Home | Loss | 58 - 61 | 11 - 13 | 4 - 7 | L1 | 4-6 | 77.83 | Virginia by 9 | 24% | ||
| 25 | Virginia Tech | Road | Win | 92 - 69 | 12 - 13 | 5 - 7 | W1 | 5-5 | 79.61 | Virginia Tech by 6 | 30% | ||
| 26 | Boston College | Home | Win | 80 - 72 | 13 - 13 | 6 - 7 | W2 | 6-4 | 79.46 | Florida State by 10 | 80% | ||
| 27 | Clemson | Road | Win | 70 - 65 | 14 - 13 | 7 - 7 | W3 | 7-3 | 80.30 | Clemson by 8 | 25% | ||
| 28 | Miami (FL) | Home | Loss | 73 - 83 | 14 - 14 | 7 - 8 | L1 | 7-3 | 79.75 | Miami (FL) by 1 | 46% | ||
| 29 | Georgia Tech | Road | Win | 80 - 71 | 15 - 14 | 8 - 8 | W1 | 7-3 | 79.88 | Florida State by 7 | 72% | ||
| 30 | Pitt | Road | 3/4/2026 | Florida State by 1 | 52% | ||||||||
| 31 | SMU | Home | 3/7/2026 | SMU by 1 | 48% | ||||||||
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