| Omni Rankings™ | 2025-2026 Men's college basketball | through 3/3/26 games | |||||||||||
| Michigan State | |||||||||||||
| Big Ten page | |||||||||||||
| Michigan State schedule | Rating: 90.30 (D-I #9) Projected season record: 25 - 6 overall, 15 - 5 Big Ten | ||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 10 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Michigan State win probability | ||
| 1 | Colgate | Home | Win | 80 - 69 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 86.72 | |||||
| 2 | Arkansas | Home | Win | 69 - 66 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 86.76 | |||||
| 3 | San Jose State | Home | Win | 79 - 60 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 86.09 | |||||
| 4 | Kentucky | Neutral | Win | 83 - 66 | 4 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W4 | 87.74 | |||||
| 5 | Detroit Mercy | Home | Win | 84 - 56 | 5 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W5 | 86.85 | Michigan State by 37 | 99% | |||
| 6 | East Carolina | Neutral | Win | 89 - 56 | 6 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W6 | 87.36 | Michigan State by 28 | 98% | |||
| 7 | North Carolina | Neutral | Win | 74 - 58 | 7 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W7 | 88.98 | North Carolina by 1 | 48% | |||
| 8 | Iowa | Home | Win | 71 - 52 | 8 - 0 | 1 - 0 | W8 | 90.22 | Michigan State by 6 | 69% | |||
| 9 | Duke | Home | Loss | 60 - 66 | 8 - 1 | 1 - 0 | L1 | 89.96 | Duke by 3 | 40% | |||
| 10 | Penn State | Road | Win | 76 - 72 | 9 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W1 | 9-1 | 89.22 | Michigan State by 13 | 85% | ||
| 11 | Toledo | Home | Win | 92 - 69 | 10 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W2 | 9-1 | 88.99 | Michigan State by 26 | 97% | ||
| 12 | Oakland | Neutral | Win | 79 - 70 | 11 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W3 | 9-1 | 88.20 | Michigan State by 19 | 93% | ||
| 13 | Cornell | Home | Win | 114 - 97 | 12 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W4 | 9-1 | 87.81 | Michigan State by 22 | 95% | ||
| 14 | Nebraska | Road | Loss | 56 - 58 | 12 - 2 | 2 - 1 | L1 | 8-2 | 87.80 | Nebraska by 2 | 44% | ||
| 15 | USC | Home | Win | 80 - 51 | 13 - 2 | 3 - 1 | W1 | 8-2 | 89.12 | Michigan State by 9 | 78% | ||
| 16 | Northwestern | Home | Win | 76 - 66 | 14 - 2 | 4 - 1 | W2 | 8-2 | 89.05 | Michigan State by 11 | 81% | ||
| 17 | Indiana | Home | Win | 81 - 60 | 15 - 2 | 5 - 1 | W3 | 8-2 | 90.10 | Michigan State by 6 | 68% | ||
| 18 | Washington | Road | Win | 80 - 63 | 16 - 2 | 6 - 1 | W4 | 8-2 | 90.81 | Michigan State by 6 | 70% | ||
| 19 | Oregon | Road | Win | 68 - 52 | 17 - 2 | 7 - 1 | W5 | 9-1 | 91.16 | Michigan State by 11 | 81% | ||
| 20 | Maryland | Home | Win | 91 - 48 | 18 - 2 | 8 - 1 | W6 | 9-1 | 92.25 | Michigan State by 20 | 93% | ||
| 21 | Rutgers | Road | Win | 88 - 79 | OT | 19 - 2 | 9 - 1 | W7 | 9-1 | 91.09 | Michigan State by 18 | 92% | |
| 22 | Michigan | Home | Loss | 71 - 83 | 19 - 3 | 9 - 2 | L1 | 8-2 | 90.47 | Michigan by 3 | 42% | ||
| 23 | Minnesota | Road | Loss | 73 - 76 | 19 - 4 | 9 - 3 | L2 | 7-3 | 89.63 | Michigan State by 10 | 79% | ||
| 24 | Illinois | Home | Win | 85 - 82 | OT | 20 - 4 | 10 - 3 | W1 | 8-2 | 89.73 | Illinois by 2 | 45% | |
| 25 | Wisconsin | Road | Loss | 71 - 92 | 20 - 5 | 10 - 4 | L1 | 7-3 | 88.39 | Michigan State by 1 | 53% | ||
| 26 | UCLA | Home | Win | 82 - 59 | 21 - 5 | 11 - 4 | W1 | 7-3 | 89.40 | Michigan State by 7 | 72% | ||
| 27 | Ohio State | Home | Win | 66 - 60 | 22 - 5 | 12 - 4 | W2 | 7-3 | 89.28 | Michigan State by 8 | 74% | ||
| 28 | Purdue | Road | Win | 76 - 74 | 23 - 5 | 13 - 4 | W3 | 7-3 | 89.79 | Purdue by 6 | 31% | ||
| 29 | Indiana | Road | Win | 77 - 64 | 24 - 5 | 14 - 4 | W4 | 7-3 | 90.30 | Michigan State by 5 | 66% | ||
| 30 | Rutgers | Home | 3/5/2026 | Michigan State by 19 | 92% | ||||||||
| 31 | Michigan | Road | 3/8/2026 | Michigan by 11 | 20% | ||||||||
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| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||
