Omni Rankings™ 2025-2026 Men's college basketball through 3/3/26 games
North Carolina
ACC page
North Carolina schedule Rating: 85.56 (D-I #28)  Projected season record: 24 - 7 overall, 12 - 6 ACC
Overall Conf Ratings and projections
Game Division I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) North Carolina win probability
1 Central Arkansas Home Win 94 - 54   1 - 0 0 - 0 W1     88.25    
2 Kansas Home Win 87 - 74   2 - 0 0 - 0 W2     89.74    
3 Radford Home Win 89 - 74   3 - 0 0 - 0 W3     88.38    
4 North Carolina Central Home Win 97 - 53   4 - 0 0 - 0 W4     88.98    
5 Navy Home Win 73 - 61   5 - 0 0 - 0 W5     87.87    
6 St. Bonaventure Neutral Win 85 - 70   6 - 0 0 - 0 W6     87.88 North Carolina by 15 88%
7 Michigan State Neutral Loss 58 - 74   6 - 1 0 - 0 L1     86.25 North Carolina by 1 52%
8 Kentucky Road Win 67 - 64   7 - 1 0 - 0 W1     87.11 Kentucky by 6 31%
9 Georgetown Home Win 81 - 61   8 - 1 0 - 0 W2     87.69 North Carolina by 13 86%
10 USC Upstate Home Win 80 - 62   9 - 1 0 - 0 W3 9-1   86.92 North Carolina by 27 98%
11 ETSU Home Win 77 - 58   10 - 1 0 - 0 W4 9-1   87.06 North Carolina by 17 91%
12 Ohio State Neutral Win 71 - 70   11 - 1 0 - 0 W5 9-1   86.81 North Carolina by 4 64%
13 East Carolina Home Win 99 - 51   12 - 1 0 - 0 W6 9-1   87.42 North Carolina by 29 98%
14 Florida State Home Win 79 - 66   13 - 1 1 - 0 W7 9-1   87.31 North Carolina by 15 88%
15 SMU Road Loss 83 - 97   13 - 2 1 - 1 L1 8-2   86.12 North Carolina by 4 62%
16 Wake Forest Home Win 87 - 84   14 - 2 2 - 1 W1 8-2   85.61 North Carolina by 10 80%
17 Stanford Road Loss 90 - 95   14 - 3 2 - 2 L1 8-2   84.98 North Carolina by 4 64%
18 California Road Loss 78 - 84   14 - 4 2 - 3 L2 7-3   84.26 North Carolina by 5 65%
19 Notre Dame Home Win 91 - 69   15 - 4 3 - 3 W1 7-3   85.05 North Carolina by 10 79%
20 Virginia Road Win 85 - 80   16 - 4 4 - 3 W2 7-3   85.83 Virginia by 7 27%
21 Georgia Tech Road Win 91 - 75   17 - 4 5 - 3 W3 7-3   86.18 North Carolina by 11 81%
22 Syracuse Home Win 87 - 77   18 - 4 6 - 3 W4 7-3   86.19 North Carolina by 10 79%
23 Duke Home Win 71 - 68   19 - 4 7 - 3 W5 7-3   86.81 Duke by 7 29%
24 Miami (FL) Road Loss 66 - 75   19 - 5 7 - 4 L1 6-4   86.17 North Carolina by 1 54%
25 Pitt Home Win 79 - 65   20 - 5 8 - 4 W1 7-3   86.16 North Carolina by 14 87%
26 NC State Road Loss 58 - 82   20 - 6 8 - 5 L1 6-4   84.74 NC State by 2 44%
27 Syracuse Road Win 77 - 64   21 - 6 9 - 5 W1 7-3   85.30 North Carolina by 4 64%
28 Louisville Home Win 77 - 74   22 - 6 10 - 5 W2 8-2   85.59 Louisville by 2 44%
29 Virginia Tech Home Win 89 - 82   23 - 6 11 - 5 W3 8-2   85.55 North Carolina by 8 74%
30 Clemson Home Win 67 - 63   24 - 6 12 - 5 W4 8-2   85.56 North Carolina by 4 63%
31 Duke Road 3/7/2026                 Duke by 17 10%
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