| Omni Rankings™ | 2025-2026 Men's college basketball | through 3/3/26 games | |||||||||||
| Virginia | |||||||||||||
| ACC page | |||||||||||||
| Virginia schedule | Rating: 88.14 (D-I #18) Projected season record: 27 - 4 overall, 15 - 3 ACC | ||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 10 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Virginia win probability | ||
| 1 | Rider | Home | Win | 87 - 53 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 79.49 | |||||
| 2 | North Carolina Central | Home | Win | 81 - 62 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 78.60 | |||||
| 3 | Hampton | Home | Win | 91 - 53 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 81.50 | |||||
| 4 | Marshall | Home | Win | 104 - 78 | 4 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W4 | 84.57 | |||||
| 5 | Northwestern | Neutral | Win | 83 - 78 | 5 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W5 | 85.10 | Northwestern by 1 | 48% | |||
| 6 | Butler | Neutral | Loss | 73 - 80 | 5 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 84.09 | Virginia by 3 | 60% | |||
| 7 | Queens (NC) | Home | Win | 94 - 69 | 6 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 84.68 | Virginia by 19 | 93% | |||
| 8 | Texas | Road | Win | 88 - 69 | 7 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 86.63 | Texas by 2 | 44% | |||
| 9 | Dayton | Neutral | Win | 86 - 73 | 8 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 86.95 | Virginia by 9 | 78% | |||
| 10 | Maryland Eastern Shore | Home | Win | 84 - 60 | 9 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W4 | 9-1 | 86.37 | Virginia by 31 | 99% | ||
| 11 | Maryland | Home | Win | 80 - 72 | 10 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W5 | 9-1 | 85.80 | Virginia by 15 | 89% | ||
| 12 | American | Home | Win | 95 - 51 | 11 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W6 | 9-1 | 86.93 | Virginia by 22 | 95% | ||
| 13 | Virginia Tech | Road | Loss | 85 - 95 | 3OT | 11 - 2 | 0 - 1 | L1 | 8-2 | 86.49 | Virginia by 6 | 69% | |
| 14 | NC State | Road | Win | 76 - 61 | 12 - 2 | 1 - 1 | W1 | 8-2 | 87.80 | NC State by 3 | 39% | ||
| 15 | California | Home | Win | 84 - 60 | 13 - 2 | 2 - 1 | W2 | 8-2 | 88.61 | Virginia by 12 | 83% | ||
| 16 | Stanford | Home | Win | 70 - 55 | 14 - 2 | 3 - 1 | W3 | 9-1 | 88.79 | Virginia by 12 | 84% | ||
| 17 | Louisville | Road | Win | 79 - 70 | 15 - 2 | 4 - 1 | W4 | 9-1 | 89.58 | Louisville by 3 | 42% | ||
| 18 | SMU | Road | Win | 72 - 68 | 16 - 2 | 5 - 1 | W5 | 9-1 | 89.54 | Virginia by 5 | 65% | ||
| 19 | North Carolina | Home | Loss | 80 - 85 | 16 - 3 | 5 - 2 | L1 | 8-2 | 88.73 | Virginia by 7 | 73% | ||
| 20 | Notre Dame | Road | Win | 100 - 97 | 2OT | 17 - 3 | 6 - 2 | W1 | 8-2 | 88.07 | Virginia by 10 | 80% | |
| 21 | Boston College | Road | Win | 73 - 66 | 18 - 3 | 7 - 2 | W2 | 8-2 | 87.56 | Virginia by 15 | 88% | ||
| 22 | Pitt | Home | Win | 67 - 47 | 19 - 3 | 8 - 2 | W3 | 8-2 | 87.93 | Virginia by 14 | 87% | ||
| 23 | Syracuse | Home | Win | 72 - 59 | 20 - 3 | 9 - 2 | W4 | 9-1 | 88.01 | Virginia by 12 | 83% | ||
| 24 | Florida State | Road | Win | 61 - 58 | 21 - 3 | 10 - 2 | W5 | 9-1 | 87.66 | Virginia by 9 | 76% | ||
| 25 | Ohio State | Neutral | Win | 70 - 66 | 22 - 3 | 10 - 2 | W6 | 9-1 | 87.62 | Virginia by 5 | 65% | ||
| 26 | Georgia Tech | Road | Win | 94 - 68 | 23 - 3 | 11 - 2 | W7 | 9-1 | 88.32 | Virginia by 15 | 88% | ||
| 27 | Miami (FL) | Home | Win | 86 - 83 | 24 - 3 | 12 - 2 | W8 | 9-1 | 88.03 | Virginia by 8 | 73% | ||
| 28 | NC State | Home | Win | 90 - 61 | 25 - 3 | 13 - 2 | W9 | 9-1 | 89.61 | Virginia by 4 | 63% | ||
| 29 | Duke | Road | Loss | 51 - 77 | 25 - 4 | 13 - 3 | L1 | 9-1 | 88.66 | Duke by 11 | 19% | ||
| 30 | Wake Forest | Home | Win | 75 - 70 | 26 - 4 | 14 - 3 | W1 | 9-1 | 88.14 | Virginia by 14 | 86% | ||
| 31 | Virginia Tech | Home | 3/7/2026 | Virginia by 11 | 79% | ||||||||
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