Omni Rankings™ 2024-2025 Women's college basketball ratings through 1/4/25 games
Missouri Valley
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Women's basketball home NCAA bracket WNIT bracket
Team ratings (1-362) NCAA probabilities WNIT probabilities
#REF!
Home court factor = 2.25 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Northern Iowa 82.48 51 85.77 82.23 77.55 19 7 6 3 0 W3 5-5 4 2 2 2 1 2 1 4 1 2 5 0 at Green Bay 88.87 at Indiana State 78.37
2 Drake 80.86 61 84.13 80.35 72.04 120 9 5 3 0 W7 7-3 5 1 3 2 1 2 0 3 2 2 7 0 vs Saint Louis 87.40 vs Wyoming 73.26
3 Murray State 79.52 73 80.89 74.93 70.18 178 8 4 2 1 L1 7-3 4 1 4 3 0 0 0 2 1 2 7 0 vs Austin Peay 87.14 vs Southern Indiana 69.94
4 Belmont 79.28 75 81.64 78.02 78.02 13 7 7 2 1 W1 5-5 3 1 3 4 1 2 1 6 1 1 5 0 vs Middle Tennessee 86.39 at Duke 72.54
5 Missouri State 76.55 99 76.55 70.82 71.28 144 10 4 2 1 W2 7-3 6 0 3 2 1 2 0 1 5 1 5 2 vs Southern Miss 83.95 at UT Martin 64.36
6 Illinois State 73.53 128 73.80 70.17 68.46 232 7 6 2 1 W2 5-5 3 2 2 3 2 1 0 0 1 4 6 2 vs New Mexico State 79.24 at Saint Louis 68.64
7 UIC 71.33 151 71.94 69.05 75.36 39 3 8 1 2 L2 3-7 2 3 1 5 0 0 0 1 1 6 2 1 vs Ohio 76.13 at DePaul 63.94
8 Bradley 64.35 233 65.01 56.09 63.98 333 6 6 1 1 W1 5-5 3 1 2 5 1 0 0 1 0 1 6 4 vs Bethune-Cookman 73.82 vs Western Illinois 52.33
9 Valparaiso 62.99 251 62.99 59.30 69.43 200 3 9 1 2 L2 3-7 2 2 0 6 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 4 vs North Dakota 71.23 vs Purdue Fort Wayne 58.12
10 Indiana State 61.35 270 65.34 61.35 71.90 126 2 11 0 2 L7 1-9 0 3 2 7 0 1 0 1 0 5 2 5 at Wright State 70.63 at Illinois State 55.94
11 Evansville 57.58 307 57.94 51.88 67.35 268 3 10 0 3 L5 1-9 3 1 0 7 0 2 0 1 0 2 3 7 vs Southeast Missouri 61.46 at IU Indy 49.95
12 Southern Illinois 54.33 335 61.20 52.88 68.93 219 1 10 0 3 L7 1-9 0 5 1 5 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 6 at IU Indy 63.95 at North Texas 49.57
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Northern Iowa at Green Bay W 71 - 56  88.87 1 Bradley vs IU Indy W 72 - 47  12.97 1 Southern Illinois at IU Indy W 85 - 80  9.82
2 Northern Iowa vs Iowa State W 87 - 75  88.29 2 Valparaiso vs North Dakota W 76 - 57  11.67 2 Missouri State vs Gonzaga W 65 - 64  8.62
3 Drake vs Saint Louis W 95 - 70  87.40 3 Bradley vs Bethune-Cookman W 71 - 36  10.86 3 Evansville vs Wright State W 65 - 63  7.57
4 Murray State vs Austin Peay W 116 - 80  87.14 4 Murray State at Little Rock W 105 - 57  9.94 4 Valparaiso vs North Dakota W 76 - 57  5.84
5 Northern Iowa at Iowa L 86 - 92  86.48 5 Missouri State at Saint Louis W 91 - 68  9.49 5 Bradley vs Northern Kentucky W 62 - 57  4.93
6 Belmont vs Middle Tennessee W 65 - 52  86.39 6 Missouri State vs Southern Miss W 92 - 54  9.16 6 Bradley at Central Michigan W 66 - 57  4.22
7 Northern Iowa vs Auburn L 64 - 65  86.13 7 Evansville vs Southeast Missouri W 70 - 55  8.01 7 UIC vs Missouri State W 69 - 62  3.01
8 Murray State at Little Rock W 105 - 57  85.87 8 Murray State vs Austin Peay W 116 - 80  7.90 8 Missouri State vs Wyoming W 62 - 50  2.95
9 Drake vs UIC W 86 - 63  85.61 9 Indiana State at Wright State W 68 - 51  7.40 9 Bradley vs IU Indy W 72 - 47  2.92
10 Murray State vs Western Carolina W 110 - 79  84.94 10 Southern Illinois at IU Indy W 85 - 80  7.21 10 Missouri State vs Belmont W 57 - 55  2.81
MVC projected standings MVC projected tournament bracket (projections in italics)
Conference Overall 1 Northern Iowa
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Northern Iowa 16 4 20 10 8 Bradley @ Evansville, IN Northern Iowa
2 Drake 15 5 21 10      
3 Murray State 14 6 20 9 @ Evansville, IN Bradley  
4 Belmont 14 6 19 12    
5 Missouri State 13 7 21 10 9 Valparaiso @ Evansville, IN Northern Iowa
6 Illinois State 12 8 17 13    
7 UIC 11 9 13 15 4 Belmont    
8 Bradley 7 13 12 18      
9 Valparaiso 6 14 8 21 5 Missouri State @ Evansville, IN Belmont  
10 Indiana State 5 15 7 24      
11 Evansville 4 16 7 23 @ Evansville, IN Missouri State  
12 Southern Illinois 2 18 3 25    
12 Southern Illinois @ Evansville, IN Northern Iowa
  2025 MVC
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized 2 Drake   Women's Basketball
Probabilities based on current ratings and projected bracket     Tournament Champion
Reaching Reaching Winning 7 UIC @ Evansville, IN Drake  
Seed Team semifinals final tournament        
1 Northern Iowa 93.98% 61.04% 37.16% @ Evansville, IN UIC    
2 Drake 82.84% 49.93% 25.01%      
3 Murray State 72.83% 36.95% 16.76% 10 Indiana State @ Evansville, IN Drake
4 Belmont 61.25% 25.53% 12.70%  
5 Missouri State 38.66% 12.77% 5.14% 3 Murray State  
6 Illinois State 26.84% 8.42% 2.21%    
7 UIC 16.15% 4.60% 0.95% 6 Illinois State @ Evansville, IN Murray State
8 Bradley 3.59% 0.42% 0.05%    
9 Valparaiso 2.43% 0.24% 0.02% @ Evansville, IN Illinois State
10 Indiana State 1.01% 0.09% 0.01%  
11 Evansville 0.33% 0.02% 0.00% 11 Evansville
12 Southern Illinois 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% © Omni Rankings