| Omni Rankings™ | 2024-2025 Women's college basketball ratings | through 4/6/25 games | |||||||||||||||||
| NCAA probabilities | |||||||||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on pre-tournament ratings and tournament bracket | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | ||||||||||||||
| Seed | Team | final 32 | final 16 | quarterfinals | semifinals | final | tournament | ||||||||||||
| 1 | UCLA | 98.48% | 86.24% | 64.39% | 47.74% | 20.76% | 9.18% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | USC | 98.37% | 81.75% | 60.91% | 22.97% | 13.63% | 5.61% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | South Carolina | 99.07% | 91.28% | 81.59% | 64.78% | 46.83% | 29.62% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Texas | 99.41% | 85.87% | 67.65% | 42.39% | 19.20% | 9.25% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | TCU | 98.19% | 73.38% | 29.68% | 12.06% | 3.42% | 1.04% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Duke | 97.42% | 78.82% | 56.26% | 19.91% | 9.88% | 4.00% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | UConn | 99.16% | 92.32% | 78.03% | 60.75% | 47.05% | 29.10% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | NC State | 90.92% | 56.28% | 29.73% | 10.82% | 2.59% | 0.62% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | LSU | 91.18% | 63.22% | 37.21% | 14.99% | 4.05% | 1.10% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Oklahoma | 87.10% | 52.70% | 11.53% | 5.21% | 2.33% | 0.65% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | North Carolina | 86.03% | 32.76% | 9.10% | 1.40% | 0.31% | 0.05% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Notre Dame | 96.63% | 76.16% | 54.82% | 31.01% | 13.17% | 5.96% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Ohio State | 78.22% | 39.47% | 10.48% | 3.39% | 0.69% | 0.15% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Maryland | 79.44% | 32.77% | 3.72% | 1.02% | 0.20% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Kentucky | 84.86% | 50.37% | 17.77% | 3.78% | 1.44% | 0.33% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Baylor | 84.76% | 44.16% | 13.90% | 6.92% | 1.56% | 0.35% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Ole Miss | 87.50% | 50.63% | 17.04% | 8.94% | 2.18% | 0.53% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Kansas State | 84.60% | 43.32% | 13.75% | 2.59% | 0.89% | 0.18% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Alabama | 86.19% | 59.71% | 10.57% | 4.18% | 1.28% | 0.31% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Tennessee | 87.81% | 52.90% | 15.76% | 5.68% | 1.30% | 0.32% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Michigan | 64.55% | 16.83% | 7.72% | 2.42% | 0.51% | 0.11% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | West Virginia | 74.11% | 53.15% | 23.19% | 5.94% | 2.19% | 0.64% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Iowa | 78.65% | 39.60% | 7.60% | 3.11% | 1.25% | 0.31% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Florida State | 66.57% | 26.39% | 11.68% | 3.25% | 0.57% | 0.10% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Michigan State | 76.16% | 36.51% | 17.15% | 5.37% | 1.08% | 0.22% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Oklahoma State | 58.65% | 4.99% | 1.66% | 0.43% | 0.11% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Vanderbilt | 64.88% | 15.57% | 6.70% | 1.08% | 0.25% | 0.05% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Louisville | 56.76% | 16.29% | 3.54% | 0.78% | 0.11% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Illinois | 43.56% | 5.40% | 1.88% | 0.39% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Utah | 41.41% | 2.97% | 1.16% | 0.28% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | California | 52.79% | 9.96% | 3.93% | 0.53% | 0.14% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Richmond | 42.25% | 4.93% | 1.33% | 0.35% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Georgia Tech | 57.75% | 8.67% | 2.88% | 0.94% | 0.12% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Mississippi State | 47.21% | 8.17% | 3.02% | 0.38% | 0.09% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Indiana | 58.59% | 5.65% | 2.66% | 0.80% | 0.18% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Creighton | 56.44% | 8.71% | 3.54% | 0.88% | 0.13% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Nebraska | 43.24% | 10.23% | 1.81% | 0.33% | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Oregon | 35.12% | 5.34% | 1.58% | 0.16% | 0.02% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | South Dakota State | 41.35% | 2.60% | 0.68% | 0.14% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Harvard | 23.84% | 5.79% | 1.32% | 0.18% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | George Mason | 33.43% | 8.72% | 2.53% | 0.43% | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Murray State | 21.35% | 5.06% | 0.36% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Columbia | 7.28% | 2.94% | 0.52% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Washington | 18.61% | 9.79% | 2.54% | 0.36% | 0.07% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Iowa State | 30.57% | 6.16% | 2.32% | 0.57% | 0.09% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Princeton | 4.88% | 0.43% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | USF | 12.19% | 2.35% | 0.15% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Green Bay | 13.81% | 3.99% | 0.16% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Fairfield | 15.40% | 2.81% | 0.25% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Ball State | 12.50% | 2.36% | 0.19% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Grand Canyon | 15.24% | 2.86% | 0.26% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Liberty | 15.14% | 3.50% | 0.35% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Norfolk State | 20.56% | 3.53% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Montana State | 21.78% | 5.27% | 0.54% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | SFA | 3.37% | 0.42% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Oregon State | 13.97% | 1.36% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | FGCU | 12.90% | 2.64% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | San Diego State | 8.82% | 1.67% | 0.22% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Vermont | 9.08% | 1.42% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Arkansas State | 0.84% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Lehigh | 2.58% | 0.28% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 1.81% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | High Point | 0.47% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | William & Mary | 0.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Tennessee Tech | 0.93% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | UNCG | 1.63% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | UC San Diego | 1.30% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Southern U | 0.23% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||||||||