| Omni Rankings™ | 2024-2025 Women's college basketball ratings | through 11/16/24 games | |||||||||||||||||
| NCAA probabilities | |||||||||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | ||||||||||||||
| Seed | Team | final 32 | final 16 | quarterfinals | semifinals | final | tournament | ||||||||||||
| 1 | South Carolina | 95.93% | 82.23% | 65.47% | 47.32% | 29.34% | 18.39% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Stanford | 97.75% | 82.88% | 58.84% | 35.59% | 20.20% | 11.70% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | USC | 99.08% | 81.21% | 51.81% | 32.69% | 13.84% | 5.85% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Iowa | 98.09% | 72.37% | 51.01% | 21.70% | 13.23% | 6.11% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | UConn | 97.60% | 83.50% | 49.97% | 34.85% | 24.97% | 14.48% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | LSU | 92.45% | 69.37% | 47.02% | 24.34% | 9.34% | 3.57% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | UCLA | 98.06% | 55.69% | 20.82% | 8.01% | 2.94% | 1.09% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Kansas State | 95.77% | 80.02% | 60.14% | 28.42% | 13.76% | 6.77% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Maryland | 91.33% | 54.11% | 19.22% | 5.32% | 1.46% | 0.41% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Texas | 98.04% | 87.71% | 61.15% | 34.52% | 18.74% | 10.39% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | NC State | 87.54% | 60.68% | 28.56% | 11.81% | 3.43% | 0.99% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Notre Dame | 97.44% | 83.13% | 42.98% | 28.37% | 19.29% | 10.38% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | South Dakota State | 80.23% | 24.05% | 4.94% | 0.65% | 0.15% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Arizona | 63.99% | 13.74% | 2.59% | 0.59% | 0.07% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Ohio State | 71.01% | 40.22% | 15.72% | 6.75% | 2.68% | 1.08% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | California | 89.69% | 62.84% | 20.28% | 9.82% | 3.56% | 1.32% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Illinois | 66.11% | 26.00% | 5.52% | 1.89% | 0.44% | 0.11% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | West Virginia | 77.16% | 42.94% | 16.61% | 7.06% | 2.78% | 1.11% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Oklahoma | 92.16% | 78.49% | 38.81% | 21.97% | 7.90% | 2.83% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Tennessee | 90.50% | 70.89% | 29.92% | 8.93% | 4.21% | 1.39% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Oregon | 72.56% | 14.00% | 2.94% | 0.90% | 0.29% | 0.06% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Kentucky | 55.49% | 20.49% | 6.16% | 1.55% | 0.25% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Penn State | 56.77% | 7.44% | 1.78% | 0.29% | 0.05% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Alabama | 44.61% | 18.44% | 4.72% | 0.91% | 0.17% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Virginia Tech | 36.55% | 5.33% | 1.59% | 0.21% | 0.02% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Miami (FL) | 18.25% | 3.47% | 0.47% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Texas Tech | 21.21% | 2.85% | 0.59% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Iowa State | 34.09% | 3.83% | 0.63% | 0.13% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Minnesota | 84.67% | 26.19% | 13.51% | 3.32% | 1.34% | 0.37% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Oklahoma State | 43.90% | 7.35% | 2.12% | 0.56% | 0.07% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Richmond | 53.63% | 9.51% | 3.15% | 0.76% | 0.17% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Quinnipiac | 11.95% | 0.45% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Michigan State | 88.05% | 16.27% | 7.19% | 2.58% | 0.64% | 0.16% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Nebraska | 46.37% | 7.35% | 2.21% | 0.48% | 0.10% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Saint Joseph's | 56.10% | 11.40% | 3.81% | 1.18% | 0.19% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | BYU | 15.33% | 1.29% | 0.24% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Ole Miss | 65.91% | 12.34% | 3.22% | 1.08% | 0.38% | 0.09% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Vanderbilt | 78.79% | 26.10% | 12.34% | 3.88% | 0.81% | 0.17% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Washington | 81.75% | 40.78% | 14.88% | 5.58% | 2.00% | 0.72% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Auburn | 63.45% | 13.83% | 5.85% | 1.15% | 0.22% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Ball State | 14.75% | 5.34% | 1.16% | 0.19% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Michigan | 40.64% | 21.03% | 7.14% | 1.88% | 0.49% | 0.13% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Gonzaga | 43.23% | 4.55% | 0.88% | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Creighton | 40.52% | 15.14% | 4.61% | 1.18% | 0.19% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Boise State | 3.99% | 0.58% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | UNLV | 27.44% | 2.49% | 0.25% | 0.04% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Fairfield | 9.50% | 2.88% | 0.23% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Toledo | 7.84% | 2.65% | 0.24% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Middle Tennessee | 22.84% | 6.40% | 1.12% | 0.21% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Drake | 33.89% | 8.88% | 1.15% | 0.25% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Temple | 10.31% | 2.28% | 0.15% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Columbia | 28.99% | 10.44% | 2.33% | 0.57% | 0.13% | 0.03% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | James Madison | 36.01% | 5.11% | 0.61% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | SFA | 19.77% | 2.18% | 0.14% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Norfolk State | 2.56% | 0.39% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Grand Canyon | 12.46% | 3.11% | 0.40% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Tennessee Tech | 1.96% | 0.30% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Drexel | 8.67% | 1.09% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Vermont | 4.23% | 0.82% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Jackson State | 1.94% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Eastern Washington | 7.55% | 1.68% | 0.28% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Hawai'i | 2.40% | 0.33% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Chattanooga | 1.77% | 0.15% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | High Point | 0.92% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Purdue Fort Wayne | 2.25% | 0.27% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Colgate | 0.33% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | FGCU | 3.74% | 1.01% | 0.19% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||||||||