| Omni Rankings™ | 2024-2025 Women's college basketball ratings | through 2/16/25 games | |||||||||||||||||
| NCAA probabilities | |||||||||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | ||||||||||||||
| Seed | Team | final 32 | final 16 | quarterfinals | semifinals | final | tournament | ||||||||||||
| 1 | UCLA | 99.26% | 72.11% | 55.29% | 37.94% | 21.19% | 8.77% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | LSU | 96.39% | 78.27% | 43.75% | 17.58% | 8.39% | 2.40% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | South Carolina | 99.10% | 87.91% | 76.09% | 40.03% | 24.28% | 15.87% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Texas | 98.72% | 83.97% | 68.33% | 45.79% | 22.65% | 14.66% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | USC | 96.81% | 81.02% | 50.76% | 25.13% | 9.70% | 5.24% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | UConn | 98.64% | 88.50% | 79.34% | 50.76% | 33.56% | 23.65% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Notre Dame | 97.50% | 84.71% | 67.62% | 49.81% | 33.81% | 16.32% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | TCU | 94.36% | 62.93% | 30.36% | 12.37% | 4.51% | 1.07% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Tennessee | 93.88% | 73.93% | 48.49% | 24.23% | 11.00% | 3.45% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Ohio State | 85.24% | 47.22% | 13.23% | 5.81% | 2.22% | 0.47% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | North Carolina | 85.57% | 56.33% | 10.12% | 2.57% | 0.63% | 0.18% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Duke | 95.17% | 70.45% | 35.49% | 15.49% | 5.11% | 2.44% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Oklahoma | 84.97% | 50.25% | 13.61% | 4.90% | 1.08% | 0.37% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Kentucky | 77.58% | 49.99% | 11.20% | 2.53% | 0.65% | 0.19% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Kansas State | 89.34% | 53.58% | 29.41% | 11.29% | 5.16% | 1.40% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | NC State | 81.23% | 47.70% | 15.13% | 6.76% | 2.20% | 0.46% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Michigan | 83.98% | 44.13% | 12.74% | 5.27% | 1.57% | 0.29% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Ole Miss | 85.96% | 42.29% | 21.13% | 7.18% | 2.93% | 0.68% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Maryland | 65.62% | 30.91% | 5.26% | 0.92% | 0.18% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Michigan State | 81.42% | 42.28% | 10.41% | 3.43% | 0.68% | 0.21% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Iowa | 80.16% | 26.37% | 8.47% | 2.27% | 0.42% | 0.12% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Illinois | 59.20% | 25.57% | 3.12% | 0.56% | 0.09% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Alabama | 74.37% | 41.67% | 11.94% | 5.35% | 2.08% | 0.46% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Georgia Tech | 64.72% | 18.13% | 7.06% | 1.82% | 0.41% | 0.06% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Creighton | 53.63% | 20.33% | 7.00% | 1.94% | 0.47% | 0.07% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Oregon | 37.81% | 4.36% | 1.37% | 0.33% | 0.07% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Baylor | 62.58% | 8.15% | 4.50% | 1.08% | 0.25% | 0.07% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Louisville | 44.99% | 7.65% | 1.87% | 0.32% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Utah | 49.71% | 7.88% | 3.49% | 0.97% | 0.16% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Vanderbilt | 51.13% | 6.26% | 2.95% | 0.49% | 0.09% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | South Dakota State | 44.14% | 8.49% | 1.81% | 0.25% | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | West Virginia | 74.21% | 24.11% | 14.72% | 7.58% | 2.93% | 0.75% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | California | 25.79% | 3.77% | 1.36% | 0.38% | 0.07% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Nebraska | 55.86% | 12.72% | 3.23% | 0.53% | 0.11% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Minnesota | 48.87% | 5.76% | 2.65% | 0.43% | 0.08% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Florida State | 50.29% | 8.05% | 3.59% | 1.00% | 0.17% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Oklahoma State | 55.01% | 10.86% | 3.05% | 0.60% | 0.08% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Richmond | 37.42% | 3.19% | 1.37% | 0.23% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Iowa State | 62.19% | 10.55% | 4.48% | 1.53% | 0.45% | 0.07% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Indiana | 46.37% | 16.13% | 5.08% | 1.27% | 0.28% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Washington | 23.88% | 4.96% | 1.46% | 0.27% | 0.04% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Colorado | 11.41% | 1.72% | 0.37% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Columbia | 25.63% | 8.30% | 1.12% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Mississippi State | 26.39% | 10.11% | 1.04% | 0.16% | 0.02% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Virginia Tech | 14.41% | 4.41% | 0.33% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | James Madison | 19.84% | 2.45% | 0.29% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Montana State | 18.58% | 4.08% | 0.32% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | UNLV | 34.38% | 11.25% | 1.16% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Grand Canyon | 14.04% | 2.24% | 0.36% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | USF | 16.02% | 3.10% | 0.24% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Fairfield | 18.77% | 5.07% | 0.52% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | FGCU | 10.66% | 1.89% | 0.28% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Middle Tennessee | 22.42% | 7.85% | 0.68% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Belmont | 15.03% | 3.39% | 0.24% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Norfolk State | 4.83% | 0.73% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Green Bay | 14.43% | 3.59% | 0.15% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Portland | 14.76% | 2.81% | 0.21% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Southeastern Louisiana | 6.12% | 1.26% | 0.15% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Lehigh | 5.64% | 0.61% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Vermont | 2.50% | 0.39% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Hawai'i | 1.36% | 0.16% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Kent State | 3.19% | 0.47% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | College of Charleston | 1.18% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | High Point | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | UNCG | 0.90% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Tennessee Tech | 3.61% | 0.52% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0.31% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Southern U | 0.43% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||||||||