| Omni Rankings™ | 2024-2025 Women's college basketball ratings | through 1/4/25 games | |||||||||||||||||
| NCAA probabilities | |||||||||||||||||||
| Probabilities based on current ratings and projected tournament bracket | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome realized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Outcome unrealized | |||||||||||||||||||
| Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Reaching | Winning | ||||||||||||||
| Seed | Team | final 32 | final 16 | quarterfinals | semifinals | final | tournament | ||||||||||||
| 1 | UCLA | 99.34% | 88.00% | 68.01% | 32.56% | 23.02% | 11.82% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | LSU | 96.15% | 63.46% | 42.23% | 23.79% | 8.12% | 2.93% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | South Carolina | 98.79% | 81.73% | 64.41% | 38.61% | 27.52% | 17.05% | ||||||||||||
| 1 | Georgia Tech | 97.26% | 62.07% | 24.51% | 8.29% | 1.88% | 0.52% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Tennessee | 92.24% | 54.18% | 23.62% | 13.06% | 4.19% | 1.60% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Maryland | 89.81% | 50.83% | 11.25% | 2.77% | 0.91% | 0.23% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | TCU | 93.84% | 62.52% | 29.89% | 15.12% | 4.19% | 1.24% | ||||||||||||
| 2 | Notre Dame | 96.41% | 83.38% | 35.91% | 20.16% | 13.78% | 6.72% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Texas | 98.12% | 72.66% | 49.46% | 33.66% | 26.49% | 16.27% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | Ohio State | 88.32% | 64.76% | 42.48% | 25.93% | 9.55% | 3.70% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | UConn | 97.20% | 88.02% | 75.30% | 44.46% | 31.28% | 19.06% | ||||||||||||
| 3 | USC | 95.41% | 69.97% | 46.13% | 31.15% | 13.70% | 6.92% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Michigan State | 84.13% | 31.49% | 17.62% | 6.09% | 1.41% | 0.40% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | NC State | 71.40% | 27.63% | 5.76% | 1.46% | 0.47% | 0.12% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | North Carolina | 82.26% | 45.30% | 18.42% | 7.76% | 1.76% | 0.43% | ||||||||||||
| 4 | Alabama | 82.21% | 54.78% | 18.22% | 4.91% | 2.40% | 0.72% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Kentucky | 74.71% | 33.67% | 8.35% | 1.60% | 0.61% | 0.13% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Vanderbilt | 74.68% | 42.48% | 17.78% | 7.70% | 1.81% | 0.46% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Duke | 90.52% | 64.08% | 20.80% | 7.75% | 3.66% | 1.38% | ||||||||||||
| 5 | Oklahoma | 90.26% | 64.27% | 46.35% | 23.88% | 8.88% | 3.86% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Iowa | 86.44% | 28.20% | 12.87% | 6.18% | 1.62% | 0.51% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Mississippi State | 55.25% | 6.38% | 2.50% | 0.40% | 0.09% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | California | 85.83% | 30.39% | 13.85% | 5.64% | 1.16% | 0.26% | ||||||||||||
| 6 | Kansas State | 81.10% | 25.08% | 12.27% | 5.99% | 3.68% | 1.52% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | South Dakota State | 54.08% | 9.09% | 1.11% | 0.22% | 0.06% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Michigan | 82.35% | 33.98% | 12.49% | 4.86% | 0.94% | 0.20% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Utah | 51.97% | 25.33% | 4.81% | 1.01% | 0.28% | 0.06% | ||||||||||||
| 7 | Louisville | 22.82% | 5.75% | 1.04% | 0.27% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Creighton | 58.57% | 24.01% | 7.30% | 1.84% | 0.30% | 0.06% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Ole Miss | 55.87% | 10.99% | 5.24% | 1.55% | 0.58% | 0.17% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | Florida State | 77.65% | 32.14% | 18.18% | 8.34% | 2.12% | 0.58% | ||||||||||||
| 8 | USF | 25.06% | 1.37% | 0.23% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Oregon | 74.94% | 10.59% | 3.89% | 0.53% | 0.15% | 0.02% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Illinois | 22.35% | 4.07% | 1.15% | 0.23% | 0.02% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Minnesota | 44.13% | 7.21% | 3.04% | 0.78% | 0.25% | 0.06% | ||||||||||||
| 9 | Nebraska | 41.43% | 13.78% | 3.31% | 0.64% | 0.08% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | West Virginia | 77.18% | 39.13% | 16.07% | 8.47% | 2.54% | 0.90% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Indiana | 48.03% | 22.52% | 4.05% | 0.80% | 0.21% | 0.04% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Miami (FL) | 17.65% | 2.64% | 0.32% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 10 | Saint Joseph's | 45.92% | 6.83% | 0.73% | 0.13% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Baylor | 16.44% | 2.00% | 0.48% | 0.11% | 0.04% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Harvard | 2.46% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Buffalo | 14.17% | 1.39% | 0.18% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Oklahoma State | 40.11% | 4.77% | 1.91% | 0.31% | 0.07% | 0.01% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Quinnipiac | 4.63% | 0.19% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 11 | Grand Canyon | 13.56% | 1.16% | 0.14% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | James Madison | 9.74% | 2.34% | 0.53% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Montana State | 9.48% | 2.06% | 0.12% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Columbia | 25.32% | 8.27% | 1.67% | 0.36% | 0.03% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 12 | Northern Iowa | 25.29% | 5.89% | 0.66% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Middle Tennessee | 17.79% | 5.66% | 0.64% | 0.05% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | UTSA | 17.74% | 3.95% | 0.53% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | UNLV | 28.60% | 6.22% | 0.63% | 0.08% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 13 | Fairfield | 15.87% | 1.90% | 0.38% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | SFA | 4.59% | 0.67% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | FGCU | 2.80% | 0.64% | 0.10% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Portland | 11.68% | 3.45% | 0.74% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 14 | Norfolk State | 1.88% | 0.13% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | College of Charleston | 3.59% | 0.71% | 0.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | UAlbany | 6.16% | 0.86% | 0.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | Green Bay | 10.19% | 1.32% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 15 | UC Davis | 7.76% | 0.94% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Fairleigh Dickinson | 0.88% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Chattanooga | 1.86% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Tennessee Tech | 1.21% | 0.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Lehigh | 3.85% | 0.33% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | Alabama A&M | 0.39% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| 16 | High Point | 0.26% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | ||||||||||||
| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||||||||